Thursday, September 24, 2020

Florida Prospects Improving? Market Conversation. Personal Campaign Concerns and Thoughts. It Is You.














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Florida prospects for Trump appears to be improving.  No reason not. Good Governor, Trump, now a native,  has served the interests of the Hispanic community well. They also have two good Senators and several strong Reps. in Congress and I suspect Bloomberg's attempt to buy the election is resented as an interloper jerk.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/09/24/florida-republicans-voter-registration-surge-420936

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Soon Trump should reveal some ideas regarding a long awaited health plan. I am betting it will include portability and existing conditions among some other positives.

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Had an interesting chat this morning with a young, former Goldman Sachs PM, who now runs his own Investment Management Organization in Tampa. He manages part of our very small Charitable Foundation we establish some 20 years ago that supports our 6 favorite named charities.

He believes, as I do, the disparity between value and growth is a bit wide and should narrower as the world economy improves.  Up market if Trump re-elected, down if Biden elected,  basing and then a modest recovery depending upon how things go.

He favors the financial, health care (drugs and supplies) sectors and believes  energy has modest upside as world economy and pandemic end and declining drilling will resolve some inventory and above ground supply issues.

He is a value manager, has a credible record but has taken it on the chin in the past two quarters.

Personally, I have been taking profits in some stocks that have had run ups and moving the proceeds into higher quality companies with better yields and holding  some of the excess cash.  I started a position in DTEGY  in the hope of catching a modest economic recovery in Europe and the end of Merkel's nonsense and am looking at PFE for quality and some nice yield but have not pulled the trigger because I see  more downside volatility near term.  I believe the first debate will set the tone for the market as well as the success of the Supreme Court hearings.

Negatives continue to be the rioting, nasty politics, that impedes the well being of our children, and all the unknown questions of a resurging pandemic. The only thing Biden has going for him is beating Trump over his head for the way he responded to the pandemic challenge and he is doing so, hoping repetition, not facts, will catch on in the mind of those who want to believe this nonsense. 

Hard to tell impact of Hunter revelations:

https://www.dailywire.com/news/breaking-hunter-biden-received-millions-from-wife-of-ex-moscow-mayor-paid-suspects-allegedly-tied-to-trafficking-had-contacts-with-chinese-military-senate-report-alleges?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=mjk&fbclid=IwAR2LmqehrT64ZwbGEODFf4BPM8-4VVNx-2y4lN-banrI-dYG17D5KO31f4E

And whether, if released, the Durham Report will stir the pot.
"The complexity of a crafty fraud is difficult to follow, at times,  the delays due to investigatory demands and the willingness for the mass media to under-report are weighty matters in terms of assessing public impact etc.

The most important concern is Democrat hatred which  demands they make every effort to steal the election evident by  the way they are already trying through mail in voting.  Lamentably, they will stop at nothing to regain power. It is part of their hypocritical DNA.  Theft means nothing to them. Nation be damned.

Nevertheless, I still believe it is Trump's to lose and the deplorables and patriotic Americans, who are the ones Obama disparaged, are fed up with what radical Democrats are doing to "our" country.  I certainly place myself in their number and, perhaps, this distorts my views.  If it does America has changed radically and could be beyond hope of repair I cannot bring myself to believe we have sunk that low. 

Finally:

This from some one who is far more articulate than I expressing his justified contempt and this is who I suspect will wag the tail ultimately - we are pissed off, fed up, angry and have had it with liberals, Hollywood hypocrites, progressive nonsense,  uneducated radicals, socialist's, martyrs, anarchists and the level of our discomfort is up to our ears. 


Dear Liberals:


If you are a liberal who can’t stand Trump, and cannot possibly fathom why conservatives would ever vote for him let me finally fill you in.  Right Now!!!

It’s not that we love Donald Trump so much. It’s that we just can’t stand you.  And we will do whatever it takes — even if that means electing a rude; obnoxious; unpredictable narcissist (your words not ours) to the office of President of the United States — because the only thing we find more dangerous to this nation than Donald Trump is you.

How is that possible you might ask? Well, you have done everything in your power to destroy our country. From tearing down the police, to tearing down our history, to tearing down our borders. From systematically destroying our schools and brainwashing our kids into believing socialism is the answer to anything (despite being an unmitigated failure everywhere), while demonizing religion and faith, and glorifying abortion, violence, and thug culture.

From calling us racists every time we expect everyone of any skin color to follow our laws equally, to telling us that our “tolerance” of lifestyles we don’t agree with isn’t nearly enough — no we must “celebrate” any lifestyle choice or gender option (forget science) you throw our direction or you think it’s fine to call us homophobic or some other degrading slur you decide is okay to call us — ironically all while lecturing us on hate speech. While you gaslight us about 52 genders, polyamory, grown men in dresses sharing public locker rooms with little girls, and normalize the sexualization of young children, you simultaneously ridicule us for having the audacity to wish someone a “Merry Christmas” or hang a flag on the 4th of July, stand for the national anthem, or (horror or horrors) don a MAGA hat in public. So much for your “tolerance.” (See why we think you are just hypocrites??)

We’re also not interested in the fact that you think you can unilaterally decide that 250 years of the right-to-bear-arms against a tyrannical or ineffective government should be abolished because you can’t get the violence in the cities you manage under control. That free-speech should be tossed out the window, and that those who disagree with your opinions are fair game for public harassment or doxing, That spoiled children with nose-rings and tats who still live off their parent’s dime should be allowed to destroy cities and peoples livelihoods without repercussions. That chaos, and lawlessness, and disrespect for authority should be the norm. This is your agenda. And you wonder why we find you more dangerous than Donald Trump?

Your narrative is a constant drone of oppressor/oppressed race-baiting intended to divide the country in as many ways as you possibly can. You love to sell “victim-hood” to people of color every chance you get because it’s such an easy sell compared to actually teaching people to stand on their own two feet and take personal responsibility for their own lives and their own communities and their own futures. But you won’t do that, you will never do that, because then you will lose control over people of color. They might actually start thinking for themselves, God forbid!

This is why we will vote for Donald Trump. Not because he is the most charming character on the block. Not because he is the most polite politician to have ever graced the oval office, but because we are sick to death of you and all of the destructive crap you are doing to this once beautiful and relatively safe country. Your ineffective and completely dysfunctional liberal “leadership”(?) has literally destroyed our most beautiful cities, our public education system, and done it’s damndest to rip faith out of people’s lives.

However bad you think Donald Trump may be,  every day we look at you and feel that no matter what Donald Trump says or does there is no possible way he could be any worse for our country than you people are.

We are sick to death of your stupid, destructive, ignorant, and intolerant behavior and beliefs — parading as “wokeness.” We are beyond sick of your hypocrisy and B.S.

We are fed up with your disrespectful divisiveness and constant unrelenting harping and whining and complaining (while you live in the most privileged nation in the world), while making literally zero contributions of anything positive to our society. Your entire focus is on ripping things down, never ever building anything up. Think about that as there is something fundamentally very wrong in the psychology of people who choose destruction as their primary modus operandi.

If Donald J Trump is reelected, don’t blame us, look in the mirror and blame yourselves. Because you are the ones that are responsible for the rise of Donald Trump. You are the ones who have created this monster that you so despise, by your very actions. By your refusal to respect your fellow Americans, and the things that are important to us.

You have made fun of the “fly-over states,” the people who “cling to their guns and religion,” the middle class factory workers and coal miners and underprivileged rural populations that you dismissively call “yahoos” and “deplorables.” You have mocked our faith and our religion. You have mocked our values and our patriotism. You have trampled our flag and insulted our veterans and treated our first responders with contempt and hatred.

You have made environmentalism your religion, while trashing every city you have taken responsibility for. You scream from the rooftops about “global warming” and a “green new deal” while allowing tens of thousands of homeless people to cover your streets in literal sh*t, garbage, needles and plastic waste without doing a single thing to help them or solve the environmental crisis your failed social policies are creating. But we’re supposed to put YOU in charge of the environment while gutting our entire economy to institute this plan when you can’t even clean up a single city?? You complain — endlessly — yet have failed to solve a single social problem anywhere. In fact, all you have done is create more of them.

We’ve had enough. We are tired of quietly sitting by and being the “silent” majority. So don’t be surprised when the day comes when we finally respond. And trust me it’s coming, sooner than you might think. And also trust me when I say it won’t be pretty. Get ready.

If Donald Trump is reelected it will be because you and your “comrades” have chosen to trash the police, harass law-abiding citizens, and go on rampages destroying public property that we have all paid for and you have zero respect for.

If Donald Trump is reelected it will be because we are sick of your complete and utter nonsense and destruction. How does it feel to know that half of this country finds you FAR more despicable than Donald J. Trump, the man you consider to be the anti-Christ? Let that sink in. We consider you to be more despicable, more dangerous, more stupid, and more narcissistic than Donald Trump. Maybe allow yourself a few seconds of self-reflection to let that sink in. This election isn’t about Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden. This is about Donald Trump vs. YOU.

So if on the morning of November 4th Donald J. Trump is reelected, the only people you have to blame is the left-wing media drones and yourselves. You did this. Yep YOU!!!!!

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