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I find it very revealing that we have one of the finest passenger/leisure travel fleets in the world which now may need subsidizing due to the virus from China. While we were creating these leisure fleets China was building their military fleet with the intent/object it will eventually control commercial Pacific trade routes.
We, being capitalists, are busy creating enterprises for producing profit. China, being Communistic, are busy building institutions that will rule the world including coral islands in the South China Sea to advance their military capability.
Interesting contrast.
Another interesting observation pointed out to me by a dear friend and fellow memo reader is the most serious virus attacks, to date, have occurred in four states who are and have been run by progressives (Democrats.)
Frankly, this does not surprise me because progressives tend to be irrational, embrace policies that defy natural law and which result in unintended consequences. ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Fighting CVID 19 involves doing so with a double edged sword. Staying home will help keep it from spreading . That is the good news. The bad news is staying home will likely bring about a recession.
Covid-19 Can’t Spread if You Stay Home
Unfortunately, a recession is part of the cure for an epidemic of communicable disease.
By
If a modeling study by the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Washington state is right, Seattle two weeks ago was approximately in the position of Wuhan, China, on Jan. 1. The big difference, as the Fred Hutch guys also note, is that Seattle’s people have been saturated in warnings that Wuhan’s population only started receiving two months into the epidemic.
Stay home, avoid crowds, wash your hands religiously. A few days ago Italians seemed not to be heeding the advice. Now they are. Caitlin Rivers, a Johns Hopkins epidemiologist, tweeted this week that “event closures have an important role, but individual behavior changes are even more important.”If this column has been telling you anything since January, it’s that the coronavirus was coming and protecting yourself is the best way to protect the country.
During the 2003 SARS panic in Hong Kong, routine cold and flu diagnoses declined sharply—influenza was down 88%—thanks partly to people practicing safer hygiene. Or take Japan right now: A harsh flu season appears to have abruptly reversed itself since Japanese citizens began adopting coronavirus precautions. Flu visits to doctors are down 60% in relation to past years. Though it’s still early, Japan has lost 19 people to the coronavirus—and 3,300 last year to the flu.
To state the obvious, measures that stop transmission of the flu also prevent transmission of coronavirus.
The U.S. did a bad job of being ready for Pearl Harbor, the Korean War, the Chinese entry into the Korean War, al Qaeda, Katrina, the 2009 H1N1 flu outbreak. While the press expects government to be far-seeing and efficient, it never is. The stumbles over testing are especially demoralizing but the effect can be overstated. Flu tests are only 50% to 70% accurate: In the early days, we might have sorted through thousands of unrecognized flu cases without detecting a single coronavirus case.
Now that the virus is established, testing is crucial so people know whether they are carrying the new virus or the common cold. The markets will be able to price in the reality rather than their worst fears. Thousands of Americans will discover they have the disease without debilitating effect. But nobody needs to be tested to know staying home is a good idea right now even if you aren’t old or otherwise in a vulnerable category.
Remember, the stock market is telling us nothing about the coronavirus death rate. It’s telling us about corporate earnings in a context where curtailing economic activity is how we fight the virus. Unfortunately, a recession is part of the cure for an epidemic of communicable disease.
To repeat, the market meltdown is a function of how we are choosing to fight the virus—in ways that disrupt industry after industry, from airlines to restaurants, theme parks, hotels and sports leagues.
The World Health Organization has used the word “contain” from the start, but the meaning has evolved. Increasingly the goal has been slowing the disease’s progress to spread out the impact on health-care providers of those patients who react badly to the virus.
When Angela Merkel or your favorite Twitter virologist says 70% of humanity will have it eventually, they mean the virus will take its place among common respiratory infections. With the best of intentions, Dr. Anthony Fauci has linked his name to fatality rates equal to the flu’s or 10 times the flu’s (which would be about 1%). But notice that South Korea, one of the hard-hit countries, reports 0.6%. When it comes to such degrees of precision, you probably would want to tune out if you knew just how fuzzy the underlying flu extrapolations are.
For another day let’s save the question of whether the best way to protect those who most need protecting is to cancel televised NBA games.
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Op Ed re China's involvement.
The Wuhan Virus Escaped from a Chinese Lab
First of all, Wuhan is a place and not a race, and to identify the coronavirus by its place of origin, like naming the Ebola Virus for a river in Zaire, is not racist or xenophobic — it's merely accurate. There is no racism or xenophobia in labeling an infection "Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever" or calling something "Lyme Disease" after a nearby town in Connecticut.
What calling this latest virus the Wuhan Virus is is a reminder of the multiple contagions China has spawned and released on an unsuspecting world. Nor is connecting some very big, ugly, and obvious dots just another conspiracy theory to be dismissed out of hand.
From the beginning China has been less than forthcoming about this virus and resisted sharing critical data and access to WHO and CDC specialists. And have we forgotten Dr. Li Wenliang, the 33-year-old ophthalmologist based in Wuhan, the epicenter of the contagion, who tried to tell the world that China was hiding something malevolent, only to be silenced and imprisoned by Chinese authorities for allegedly fabricating lies about the disease's deadly potential? He would later die of the disease he tried to warn us about and the Chinese tried to keep under wraps:
In an interview with the Communist Party–controlled Beijing Youth Daily newspaper in late January, Dr. Li recalled seeing reports in December of an unusual cluster of pneumonia cases linked to an animal market in Wuhan.
On Dec. 30, Dr. Li told the newspaper, he sent a message to former classmates on WeChat, a popular messaging app, warning them of new cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome, or SARS. He later corrected that, saying it was an unknown coronavirus.
Dr. Li was later interrogated by party disciplinary officials and hospital management, who accused him of spreading rumors and forced him to write a self-criticism, he told the newspaper.
"They told me not to publish any information about this online," Dr. Li told the Beijing Youth Daily in late January. "Later, the epidemic started to spread noticeably. I'd personally been treating someone who was infected, and whose family got infected, and so then I got infected."
In speaking out about the virus and about government efforts to silence him, Dr. Li drew comparisons to Jiang Yanyong, a surgeon who became a hero after blowing the whistle on Beijing's efforts to cover up the extent of the SARS crisis in 2003.
Initially, a live animal market in Wuhan, where exotic animals are sold for food, was blamed as the source of the virus. It may yet be proven to be the epicenter of the outbreak, but it was not the source of the virus. That honor goes to the Wuhan National Biosafety Laboratory, housed at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, a scant 20 miles away from Wuhan's live animal market. It was set up in the wake of previous leaks of the SARS virus from Chinese labs and to do research on the world's most dangerous viruses. As the Daily Mail Online reports:
It was the first ever lab in the country designed to meet biosafety-level-4 (BSL-4) standards — the highest biohazard level, meaning that it would be qualified to handle the most dangerous pathogens.
BSL-4 labs have to be equipped with airtight hazmat suits or special 'cabinet' work spaces that confine viruses and bacteria that can be transmitted through the air to sealed boxes that scientists reach into using attached high-grade gloves[.] ...
Upon opening, it planned to first take up a project that required only BSL-3 precautions to be in place: a tick-borne virus that causes Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever.
It's a highly fatal disease, killing 10 to 40 percent of those it infects.
SARS, too, is a BSL-3 virus. According to Nature's interview with the lab's director, Yuan Zhimin, the Wuhan National Biosafety Laboratory planned to study the SARS virus[.] ...
'After a laboratory leak incident of SARS in 2004, the former Ministry of Health of China initiated the construction of preservation laboratories for high-level pathogens such as SARS, coronavirus, and pandemic influenza virus,' wrote Guizhen Wu. ...
The Wuhan lab is also equipped for animal research.
To be clear, this is not to say the Wuhan Virus was part of any biological weapons program or that its release was intentional. It could just be that it was the result of Chernobyl-like sloppiness resulting from a bizarre blend of Chinese culture and global ambition. Indications of military involvement in the Wuhan lab are there and troubling.
In a New York Post op-ed, Steven W. Mosher, president of the Population Research Institute and the author of Bully of Asia: Why China's "Dream" Is the New Threat to World Order, documents the linkage connecting the Wuhan lab, the nearby live animal market, and the spread of the Wuhan Virus:
At an emergency meeting in Beijing held last Friday, Chinese leader Xi Jinping spoke about the need to contain the coronavirus and set up a system to prevent similar epidemics in the future.
A national system to control biosecurity risks must be put in place "to protect the people's health," Xi said, because lab safety is a "national security" issue.
What Xi didn't say is that the coronavirus that has sickened more than 76,000 and claimed more than 2,200 lives escaped from one of the country's bioresearch labs. But the very next day, evidence emerged suggesting that this is what happened, as the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology released a new directive entitled "Instructions on strengthening biosecurity management in microbiology labs that handle advanced viruses like the novel coronavirus."
As Mosher points out, not only is the Wuhan lab China's first level-4 facility, but it is the only one, and it is under close and active supervision by the Chinese military:
[T]he People's Liberation Army's top expert in biological warfare, Maj. Gen. Chen Wei, was dispatched to Wuhan at the end of January to help with the effort to contain the outbreak.
According to the PLA Daily, Chen has been researching coronaviruses since the SARS outbreak of 2003, as well as Ebola and anthrax. This would not be her first trip to the Wuhan Institute of Virology either, since it is one of only two bioweapons research labs in all of China.
Clearly, this People's Liberation Army officer was there not just to preserve the public order after something went awry in their quest to find a cure for the common cold. You don't need a general doing research on coronaviruses at bioweapons research labs to impose a quarantine.
Worse yet, the virus may have been released by underpaid researchers who sold contaminated lab animals to make a little extra cash on the side:
And then there is this little-known fact: Some Chinese researchers are believed to sell laboratory animals to street vendors after they have finished experimenting on them[.] ...
Instead of properly disposing of infected animals by cremation, as the law requires, they sell them on the side to make a little extra cash. Or, in some cases, a lot of extra cash. One Beijing researcher, now in jail, made the equivalent of a million dollars selling monkeys and rats on the live animal market, whence they likely wound up in someone's stomach.
This isn't the first made-in-China virus Beijing has sprung on the world. And it won't be the last unless we stop worrying about political correctness and sanction China for what amounts to economic warfare and negligent homicide on a global scale.
Correction: Lyme disease originated in Connecticut, not Ohio.
Daniel John Sobieski is a former editorial writer for Investor's Business Daily and freelance writer whose pieces have appeared in Human Events, Reason Magazine, and the Chicago Sun-Times among other publications.
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