Friday, October 12, 2018

Government Cannot Do It. Bhutan #3. Wishbone and A Backbone. Democrat Knives Out To Gut Collins and Trump For Different Reasons.


See Bhutan # 3 below.)
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Should Democrats win the November election will they seek to heal the divide their intransigence and obstinate actions have caused? (See 1 below.)
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I supported Phil Gramm when he sought the Republican nomination. He attended my former prep school, is bright and a solid economist.  He also understands why government does more harm than good.(See 2 and 2a below.)
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Bhutan 3.  Travelogue from my friends. (See 3 below.)
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Oh to have a wishbone attached to a backbone.(See 4 below.)

And now Susan Collins is being targeted by Democrats. Yes, Susan Collins, the same Rino Republican who has actually been , politically,  more of a friend to Democrats.

She made a brilliant speech, voted her conscience, saved Kananaugh and now the long knives are out for her as Democrats seek to knock her off with someone who has proven to be both a liar and incompetent, ie. Susan Rice.

Frankly, I would not even think of throwing  Ms Rice at a departing wedded couple.

Liberals Targeting Collins is…Well, an Interesting Strategy

When you think logically, is there any kind of Republican better for Democrats than a Susan Collins Republican is?  Read in browser »
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The disappearance of the Saudi reporter, who also worked for WAPO, could eventually turn into a destabilizing international event for two reasons.

First, our ties to The Saudis are historical and close and should their new young titular ruler have engaged in a murderous event it would put tremendous strain on the Administration and our Saudi relationship.

Second, Democrats will try and connect Trump's previous business connections to his alleged reticence to jump the gun and accuse The Saudis. because it is claimed Trump is reluctant to attack tyrannical leadership, ie. Putin, etc.

After their Kavanaugh defeat, Democrats are ready to intensify their attacks on Trump knowing he is vulnerable in the like-ability area.
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Dick
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1) Democrats, Don’t Succumb to Retribution

The deepening rift between America’s two parties will heal only if one takes the lead.

By William A. Gaston

During the past week, I have heard the phrase “civil war” more than at any other time since 1968. Though few are predicting outright violence, more and more sober observers fear that our national divisions are too deep to be bridged by politics as usual.


Let me be clear: I believe that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s decision in 2016 to block a hearing for Judge Merrick Garland was an unprincipled exercise of raw power. Mr. McConnell achieved his long-held aim—a conservative majority on the Supreme Court—at the cost of deepening partisan divisions and dragging the court even further into the political fray.
Sen. McConnell is not a political neophyte. He must have anticipated the collateral damage his strategy would inflict on our politics and institutions. He proceeded anyway, an act for which history won’t judge him kindly.
The temptation to respond in kind is almost irresistible. This is why my party, the Democratic Party, must ask itself some hard questions.
If they regain control of the House, should their first order of business be to reopen the Kavanaugh debate? Should they launch a new investigation and, if new evidence surfaces, move to impeach him? If this strategy falls short, should they seek to do what FDR tried and failed to do when a conservative Supreme Court hobbled the New Deal—namely, expand the number of justices?
These are not easy questions, because there is sometimes a case for a strategy of deliberately exacerbating divisions and raising the stakes.
In a speech delivered 160 years ago in Springfield, Ill., the Republican Party’s Senate candidate famously declared, quoting the Gospel of Matthew: “A house divided against itself cannot stand. This government cannot endure, permanently half slave and half free.”
Less well remembered is the political claim that formed the body of this speech. Abraham Lincoln argued in detail that there was an organized conspiracy to make it legally impossible to prevent the spread of slavery, backed by President James Buchanan, Chief Justice Roger Taney and Stephen Douglas, Lincoln’s Democratic rival for the Senate seat. The progress of their conspiracy had produced an emergency to which the opponents of slavery were compelled to respond.In a speech delivered 160 years ago in Springfield, Ill., the Republican Party’s Senate candidate famously declared, quoting the Gospel of Matthew: “A house divided against itself cannot stand. This government cannot endure, permanently half slave and half free.”
The antislavery response couldn't be simply an effort to restore the status quo. The assumption that slave and free states could coexist indefinitely in the same country could no longer be maintained. If the U.S. didn’t commit itself to the proposition that slavery must come to an end, the cause of free government would be forever lost.
Republican Party operatives considered the speech too radical and argued that it contributed to Lincoln’s defeat at the hands of Douglas. Lincoln’s closest friend, legal partner William Herndon, agreed. But it laid the foundation for Lincoln’s selection as the Republican presidential candidate in 1860—and for the greatest presidency in U.S. history.
And yet a strategy of division entails consequences that are hard to predict and even harder to control.
On his first day in office, President Lincoln sought to reassure the South that he had no intention of interfering with the institution of slavery where it already existed. It is not exactly surprising that most Southerners didn’t believe him; he had insisted that slave and free states couldn't indefinitely coexist. If opponents of slavery were not only to block its spread into new states but also to set it on the “course of ultimate extinction,” as Lincoln had insisted in Springfield, why should slaveholders trust the legal and constitutional niceties to which the new president devoted the bulk of his inaugural address?
In vain did Lincoln plead in his peroration: “We must not be enemies.” The two sides had become enemies, divided by clashing principles that seemed to brook no compromise. And the war came, a war so terrible that only eradicating the sin of slavery could possibly justify it.
Are the matters that divide Americans today so momentous as to warrant a strategy of unending tit-for-tat escalation into the political equivalent (at least) of civil war?
In an op-ed in Tuesday’s New York Times, David Marcus, a writer at the Federalist, urges fellow conservatives to end the epidemic of “gloating” that broke out after Justice Kavanaugh’s confirmation and adopt instead a “muted and conciliatory” tone. The legitimacy of U.S. institutions and the ability of Americans to talk to one another is at risk, he rightly insists.
In the same vein, if Democrats regain control of one or both houses of Congress in 2018, they should defend our democratic institutions while showing the American people they are capable of governing on a basis broader than partisanship. If they don’t, our descent into ungovernability will continue, and even a victory in 2020 may prove hollow.
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2)
Federal programs have reduced material poverty at the cost of promoting idleness and dependency.


By  Phil Gramm and John F. Early

‘The War on Poverty is not a struggle simply to support people,” declared President Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. “It is an effort to allow them to develop and use their capacities.” During the 20 years before the War on Poverty was funded, the portion of the nation living in poverty had dropped to 14.7% from 32.1%. Since 1966, the first year with a significant increase in antipoverty spending, the poverty rate reported by the Census Bureau has been virtually unchanged.
Last year a United Nations investigator using census data found “shocking” evidence that 40 million Americans live in “squalor and deprivation,” in a country where “tax cuts will fuel a global race to the bottom.” He continued: “The criminal justice system is effectively a system for keeping the poor in poverty,” and reported that “the demonizing of taxation means that legislatures effectively refuse to levy taxes.”
If that doesn’t sound like the country you live in, that’s because it isn’t. The Census Bureau counts as poor all people in families with incomes lower than the established income thresholds for their respective family size and composition. The thresholds, first set in 1963, are based on a multiple of the cost of a budget for adequately nutritious food, adjusted for inflation. While the Census Bureau reports that in 2016 some 12.7% of Americans lived in poverty, it is impossible to reconcile this poverty rate, which has remained virtually unchanged over the last 50 years, with the fact that total inflation-adjusted government-transfer payments to low-income families have risen steadily. Transfers targeted to low-income families increased in real dollars from an average of $3,070 per person in 1965 to $34,093 in 2016.
Even these numbers significantly understate transfer payments to low-income families since they exclude Medicare and Social Security, which provide large subsidies to low-income retirees. Compared with what they pay in Social Security taxes, the lowest quintile of earners can receive as much as 10 times the lifetime benefits received by the highest quintile of earners and three times as much as the middle quintile.
Government Can’t Rescue the Poor
PHOTO: DAVID KLEIN
The measured poverty rate has remained virtually unchanged only because the Census Bureau doesn’t count most of the transfer payments created since the declaration of the War on Poverty. The bureau measures poverty using what it calls “money income,” which includes earned income and some transfer payments such as Social Security and unemployment insurance. But it excludes food stamps, Medicaid, the portion of Medicare going to low-income families, Children’s Health Insurance, the refundable portion of the earned-income tax credit, at least 87 other means-tested federal payments to individuals, and most means-tested state payments. If government counted these missing $1.5 trillion in annual transfer payments, the poverty rate would be less than 3%.
The 3% poverty rate determined by counting more of the government transfers to low-income families is virtually identical to the number economists Bruce Meyer and James Sullivan found in a 2016 study, which measured actual consumption by poor families. The number also reconciles the current disparity between the low income levels used by the Census Bureau to define poverty and studies such as the Department of Energy Residential Consumption Survey, which find consistently rising spending among poor families on cars, home electronics, cable, household appliances, smartphones and living space. The 3% poverty rate would fall even further if it accounted for transfers within families, some $500 billion of private charitable giving, and the multibillion-dollar informal economy, where income is unreported.
Transfer payments essentially have eliminated poverty in America. Transfers now constitute 84.2% of the disposable income of the poorest quintile of American households and 57.8% of the disposable income of lower-middle-income households. These payments also make up 27.5% of America’s total disposable income.
The stated goal of the War on Poverty is not just to raise living standards, but also to make America’s poor more self-sufficient and to bring them into the mainstream of the economy. In that effort the war has been an abject failure, increasing dependency and largely severing the bottom fifth of earners from the rewards and responsibilities of work.
In 1965, before funds were appropriated for War on Poverty programs, all five income quintiles had more families in which at least one person worked than families in which the head of household was of prime working age. So broadly based was the work ethic that the lowest income quintile had only 5.4% more families with working-age heads and no one working than did the middle quintile. The lower-middle quintile actually had proportionately fewer families where no one worked than did the middle quintile.
The expanding availability of antipoverty transfers has devastated the work effort of poor and lower-middle income families. By 1975 the lowest-earning fifth of families had 24.8% more families with a prime-work age head and no one working than did their middle-income peers. By 2015 this differential had risen to 37.1%. And by that same year, even families in the lower-middle income quintile headed by working-age persons were almost 6% more likely to have no one working than a similar family in the middle-income quintile.
Even these numbers understate the decline in work among low-income Americans that has accompanied the War on Poverty. Compared with the low-income quintile, the lower-middle quintile today has three times as many families with two or more workers, and the middle quintile has five times as many. The trend illustrates how the War on Poverty produced an unprecedented decline in work effort among those who received benefits.
The massive reduction in material poverty that government transfers have allowed has come at a considerable underappreciated cost. The War on Poverty has increased dependency and failed in its primary effort to bring poor people into the mainstream of America’s economy and communal life. Government programs replaced deprivation with idleness, stifling human flourishing. It happened just as President Franklin Roosevelt said it would: “The lessons of history,” he said in 1935, “show conclusively that continued dependency upon relief induces a spiritual and moral disintegration fundamentally destructive to the national fiber.”

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