Friday, July 6, 2018

Future Facts? Police Facts vs A Myth. Off To Tybee.


Frightening thought above and food for thought below. (See 1 below.)

And:


https://www.youtube.com/embed/VpFNgfbebY
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Amazing how facts matter and reveal much or more than the hysterical pitch about "black lives matter." (See 2 below.)
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Off to Tybee for a week.
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Dick
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1) Facts & Predictions!

1. Auto repair shops go away. A gasoline engine has 20,000 individual   parts. An electrical engine has 20.Electric cars are sold with   lifetime guarantees and are only repaired by dealers.It takes only 10   minutes to remove and replace an electric engine. Faulty electric engines are not repaired in the dealership but are sent to a regional   repair shop that repairs them with robots. I am thinking...your   electric engine malfunction light go on so you drive up to what looks like a Jiffy-auto wash, Your car is towed through while you have a cup of   coffee and out comes your car with a new engine. 

2. Gas stations go away. Parking meters are replaced by meters that    dispense electricity.  All companies install electrical recharging stations. 

3. All major auto manufacturers have already designated 5-6 billions dollars each to start building new plants that only build electric cars 

4. Coal industries go away. Gasoline/oil companies go away.Drilling for oil stops. 

5. Homes produce and store more electrical energy during the day and then they use and will sell it back to the grid. The grid stores it and dispenses it to industries that are high electricity users.   A baby of today will only see personal cars in museums.  

1. The FUTURE is approaching faster than one can handle!   In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt.   What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next    5-10 years and, most people won't see it coming.   Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on film again?   Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law.  So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became way superior and became mainstream in only a few short years. It will now   happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution. 

2. Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.   

3. Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world.   

4. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties.   

5. Artificial Intelligence:  Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.   

6. In the U.S., young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM's Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70%accuracy when done by humans. So, if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future, only omniscient specialists will remain.

6A. Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, its 4 times more accurate than human nurses.   

7. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can 
recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.   

8. Autonomous cars:  In 2018 the first self driving cars will   appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to bedisrupted. You don't want to own a car anymore.. You will call a car with your phone, it   will show up at your location and drive you to your   destination. You will not need to park it you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving. The very youngchildren of today will never get a driver's license and will never own a car. 

8A. It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that. We can transform former parking spaces into parks.   1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 60,000 mi (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident   in 6 million mi (10 million km). That will save a million   lives worldwide each year.   

8B. Most car companies will doubtless become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.   

8C. Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of Tesla.   

9. Insurance companies will have massive trouble because, without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.   

10. Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.   

11. Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020.   Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.   

12. Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact.   

13.  Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that simply cannot continue - technology will take care of that strategy. 

14.  With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant   water. Desalination of salt water now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter(@ 0.25 cents). We don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.   

15. Health:  The Tricorder X price will be announced this   year. There are companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood sample and you breath into it.It then   analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any   disease.
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2) New Study Busts Narrative of Police ‘Systemic Racism’
America’s cops are racist bigots who prey on young black men and shoot them without cause — at least that’s what many anti-police voices and media narratives claim.
Shockingly, that sentence isn’t far off from what countless people on the far left seem to believe.
“Black Lives Matter” activist Shaun King, for instance, frequently uses inflammatory rhetoric that treats all police officers as the enemy, and phrases like “systemic racism” imply that anyone with a badge is biased toward assaulting and even killing Americans of color.
But is it true? A detailed new study says “no,” and it confirms other research showing that systemic police racism is a dangerous myth.
Researchers from two major universities set emotion aside to look at the data and found no racial disparity in the use of force by American police toward suspects.
“When adjusting for crime, we find no systematic evidence of anti-Black disparities in fatal shootings, fatal shootings of unarmed citizens, or fatal shootings involving misidentification of harmless objects,” the study explained.
The research was conducted by two Michigan State University psychology professors in conjunction with William Terrill, an Arizona State University professor of Criminology and Criminal Justice and noted police behavior expert.
According to The Daily Wire, the joint research project pored over two years of shooting data from 2015 and 2016. The professors discovered that when officer-involved shootings appeared to be higher than normal, it was almost always tied to a higher crime rate.
In simple terms, areas of high crime may tend to have more police use of force, but there was no evidence of that force being disproportionate or targeted toward one race.
“Multiverse analyses showed only one significant anti-Black disparity of 144 possible tests. Exposure to police given crime rate differences likely accounts for the higher per capita rate of fatal police shootings for Blacks, at least when analyzing all shootings,” the study explained.
That conclusion isn’t all that surprising. Previous studies have found similar facts, essentially dismantling the liberal narrative of widespread racism within America’s police departments.
Contrary to the picture painted by the Black Lives Matter movement and other radical groups, there is evidence that police are actually less likely to use force on black suspects than they are against white perpetrators.
“Officers’ use of lethal force following an arrest for a violent felony is more than twice the rate for white as for black arrestees, according to one study,” reported The Wall Street Journal.
“Another study showed that officers were three times less likely to shoot unarmed black suspects than unarmed whites,” The Journal continued.
Remember that unarmed suspects may still warrant legally justified lethal force if officers have a reasonable belief that they or the public are in danger. “Unarmed” does not always mean “not a threat.”
Even more evidence confirms that the anti-police narrative is complete bunk.
“A new study of over a thousand police-involved shootings found what researcher Harvard Prof. Roland G. Fryer Jr. calls ‘the most surprising result of my career’: There is no racial bias in police-involved shootings,” Daily Wire reported about a Harvard University study in 2016.
“Not only are blacks not more likely to be fired upon by police than whites in tense moments, the study found that, if anything, they are less likely to be shot at,” the report continued.
It’s worth noting that the lead researcher in that study, Professor Fryer Jr., is himself an African-American who dug into the evidence after being upset by the Michael Brown and Freddie Gray cases, but ended up having his mind changed by the actual facts.
Once again, a liberal narrative falls apart. The truth is that America’s law enforcement officers are by and large a non-biased force for good — and it’s time they got the appreciation they deserve for doing a difficult job under dangerous circumstances.
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