Thursday, April 21, 2022

The Electorate Chose. Cities Changing Names. Biden Foreign Policy Parody. Biden Not Deterred. La La Land. My Melanie. Hiatus.

There will be a hiatus in memos from April 24 to May 20.  Memos received from4/22 will have been written previously and posted for e mailing:

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Are more towns changing their name to fentanylville ?

Opinion: Biden’s border disaster fuels the crime wave in American cities

By Marc A. Thiessen

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Finally:

A parody on Biden's foreign policies:


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Iran Entangled: Iran and Hezbollah’s Support to Proxies Operating in Syria

By Nakissa Jahanbani and Suzanne Weedon Levy

At a time when power dynamics in the Middle East region are in flux due to the shifting circumstances of the Islamic State, the drawdown of U.S. troops in the region, and the intensification of Iranian-backed attacks on U.S. and Saudi Arabian targets in the region, an historical look at the support Iran and Lebanese Hezbollah (LH) provided to proxies during the Syrian civil war may yield insights into Iran’s past and present playbook not only in Syria but potentially other contexts. The civil war in Syria was a unique catalyst that intensified Iranian economic, political, and religious activity in the country, which was ongoing since the 1980s. During the conflict, Iran demonstrated the ability to exert influence tactically while also building a religious and social support base in Syrian society. Iran achieved these goals, in part, through raising and supporting various non-state militant groups in Syria.

Drawing on open sources and interviews with subject matter experts, this report investigates the nature of Iranian and LH support to proxies operating in Syria from 2011 to 2019. While the nature of Iran’s proxy network is dynamic, it is useful to investigate the network at its peak years to understand existing and potential future structures and capabilities for Iranian external operations. This report investigates support from Iranian actors—inclusive of the IRGC and its various components, notably the Quds Force (IRGC-QF), as well as the Iranian government more generally—and LH through the lens of kinetic (e.g., joint attacks between the militias and Iranian actors and/or LH, personnel placed with militias, and training and weapons provided to militias) and non-kinetic assistance (e.g., funding, logistical support, recruitment and social service assistance, and meetings between Iranian actors and/or LH and militias). Looking at these two categories of support provides a more holistic snapshot of Iranian influence and capacity-building with proxies in Syria.

The report’s findings indicate a pattern of support on the part of Iran and LH that potentially indicates a phased rollout of battlefield-related supports to be replaced with longer-term societal entrenchment efforts. Furthermore, Iran and LH share a division of labor between Iranian actors and LH for kinetic supports, but not non-kinetic ones. Specifically, this report found training, weapons provisions, funding, and joint attacks among the most common supports provided by Iran and LH. Finally, of all Iranian actors, this report found the IRGC to be the most prolific supporter to proxies operating in Syria.

About the CTC

The Combating Terrorism Center is an independent, privately funded, research and educational institution located in the Department of Social Sciences at the United States Military Academy, West Point. The Center is uniquely situated at the nexus of theory and practice, which enables it to serve as a focal point and an independent voice on terrorism and counterterrorism strategy within the government as well as the academic community.

WWW.CTC.USMA.EDU

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Ron Dermer grew up with our cousin in Hollywood Florida and now they both live in Israel and remain the closest of friends:

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Nothing will stop Biden Administration from signing new Iran nuclear deal

By RON DERMER AND MICHAEL MAKOVSKY (JNS)

President Joe Biden, joined by Vice President Kamala Harris, after delivering remarks on the CDC’s updated guidance on mask wearing for vaccinated individuals Thursday, May 13, 2021, in the Rose Garden of the White House. (Official White House photo by Adam Schultz)

 The pending Iran nuclear deal, and any decision to delist the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) from America’s list of Foreign Terrorism Organizations (FTOs), could put the United States at risk, according to former Israeli Ambassador to the U.S. Ron Dermer.

Speaking on this week’s episode of “Diplomatically Incorrect,” Dermer said that Iran’s ballistic missile program targets the United States, not Israel, and that the IRGC may be active in the United States right now.

“They’re trying to assassinate former [U.S.] officials,” said Dermer, noting how in the past Iranian operatives had tried to bomb a Washington cafe and murder the Saudi ambassador to America. There have also been attempts to attack the Israeli and Saudi embassies.

Since U.S. President Joe Biden took office, he has been set on America re-signing the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, otherwise known as the Iran nuclear deal. Then-President Donald Trump withdrew from the deal in 2018. As talks continue in Vienna around a possible return to the agreement, Dermer believes nothing will stop Biden from signing a deal. Rather, he said, it is Iranian hesitation that is at play.

“Iran is the only one that’s going to stop this from moving forward,” Dermer contended.

He again highlighted the “fatal flaws” of the current plan, including that under it the majority of so-called sunset clauses will be automatically activated within the next three to eight years, “which essentially means that Iran doesn’t need to sneak in or break in to the nuclear club, it can just walk into the nuclear club, by building an industrial-size nuclear enrichment program, with international legitimacy, and the breakout time effectively goes down to zero.”

Then, he continued, “At a time of their choosing, they can just decide to explode a nuclear device, which will be very dangerous for the region and for the whole world.”

Moreover, lifting sanctions will fuel Iran’s war machine in the region. Hundreds of billions of dollars will become available to invest in their missile programs and other terror efforts.

“In 2015, no one knew what was going to happen after the deal—but we saw exactly what happened. And I think it’s one of the reasons why the current administration is not making the bombastic claims that were made in 2015” by former President Barack Obama, Dermer explained. “There’s no question anymore. The archive that Israel stole exposed how much Iran has lied to the world.”

Temple Mount Violence

Dermer and Makovsky also discussed the recent escalation on the Temple Mount, including the incendiary comments made this week by Jordanian Prime Minister Bisher al-Khasawneh.

At a parliament meeting on Monday, the prime minister praised Palestinian rioters and condemned Israel’s “occupation government.”

“I salute every Palestinian, and all the employees of the Jordanian Islamic Waqf, who proudly stand like minarets, hurling their stones in a volley of clay at the Zionist sympathizers defiling the Al-Aqsa Mosque under the protection of the Israeli occupation government,” said Khasawneh.

Dermer said that the international community’s failure to reprimand Khasawneh over the statement will only lead to further escalation.

“The problem is going to get worse,” Dermer said. “He’s got to understand that a line has been crossed here… What the international community prefers to do is just kind of bury its head in the sand, to use the argument of Palestinian weakness—in this case, it’ll be Jordanian weakness—to never actually take a stand against it. And it’s a mistake, because it will only further inflame the situation. And it will lead to a chronic situation where we never get out of it.”

He said that if Jordan’s reputation in Washington was hurt by Khasawneh’s statements then the king of Jordan would be more likely to clamp down on the incitement, because “the king’s strength actually comes from the support he receives internationally.

“You are not helping him by not pushing back,” said Dermer.

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 The great Russian Army.

Many memo's ago, I wrote about my friend, the Israeli Consul General for the Southeast, Joel Arnon.  He told luncheon audiences, I arranged for him, that any nation that can deliver a million un-cracked eggs for breakfast should not fear Russia:

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Still more secret migrant

 flights, why is Biden

 keeping this off the

 books?

By Miranda Devine


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How America Became La La Land

By Victor Davis Hanson 


Nothing seems to be working. And no one seems to care.


America these last 14 months resembles a dystopia. It is becoming partly the world of George Orwell’s Nineteen Eighty-Four, partly the poet Homer’s land of the Lotus-Eaters.


Nothing seems to be working. And no one in control seems to care. 


The once secure border of 2020 vanished. Two-million people have crossed the southern border illegally in the last twelve months. Millions more are on the way. 


The Biden Administration unilaterally and simply destroyed existing immigration law. 


What followed was surreal. The administration claimed COVID was again on the horizon. So it justified forcing American citizens to keep wearing masks in public buildings and transportation. But at the same time, it waived all such requirements for illegal entrants.


Citizens who obeyed our laws had to mask up; foreign nationals who broke them did not need to take such precautions. 


Biden blasted as near-criminals mounted border guards who used long reins to steady their horses. When investigations cleared them of wrongdoing, he went mute. This administration apparently sees its own American law enforcement at the border as criminals, and non-Americans who break our laws as their moral superiors.


Biden then concocted the perfect recipe for bringing back the inflation of the 1970s.


Print more money. Run up multitrillion-dollar annual deficits. Borrow trillions on top of a $30 trillion national debt. Send generous checks to workers for staying home. Shrug at historic disruptions of the supply chain. 


When reminded that his deliberate policies are the classic roads to inflation, Biden went fetal and ignored the warnings. Or he lashed out and blamed anyone and anything for his own suicidal agendas. 


First, we heard inflation was transitory. Then it was a mere concern of the elite. Then it was only a matter of exercise equipment being in short supply. Then it was solely because of Vladimir Putin. Then, somehow, it was also the result of Donald Trump. Then it was an organic phenomenon that presidents had little power to stop.


America was energy independent until the arrival of the Biden Administration. On the orders of his Green New Deal masters, Biden immediately began canceling federal oil and gas leases. He stopped new pipelines. He jawboned against the private financing of fossil-fuel production.


Biden was hellbent on his way to fulfilling his campaign promises of eliminating the use of natural gas and oil on his watch. 


Then prices soared and the public grew irate. In response, still more incoherence followed. 


The Biden Administration would not reverse its destructive energy policies. But as it floundered in desperation, Biden begged American enemies Iran, Russia, and Venezuela to pump more oil on our behalf. In vain, it beseeched Saudi Arabia to produce more of the hated icky stuff that we had in abundance but would not fully produce ourselves. 


Biden tapped the strategic petroleum reserve. Yet the existential peril was not war or natural catastrophe but Biden himself and his far more dangerous policies.


Abroad, we looked at the relatively manageable situation in Afghanistan and simply fled. The terrorist Taliban quickly took over and restored its medieval rule. 


The administration abandoned a $1 billion embassy and dumped a $300 million refitted airbase at Bagram. Over $70 billion in military supplies and weapons were left for Taliban terrorists. 


Thousands of refugees were airlifted, unchecked, into the United States. Meanwhile, hundreds of known translators and helpers of the U.S. military were left behind. 


As public outrage grew, in typical Biden fashion, he blamed the Afghanistan debacle on his generals. Then he blamed Trump. Then he denied that he had ever claimed the war was going well. 


In the end, the public was told the humiliating flight was a near-perfect logistical evacuation, as if America should be proud of being better at running away than it is at fighting. 


What explains an America that suddenly no longer works? 


First, all of these problems are self-induced. They did not exist until Biden birthed them for ideological or political reasons. Apparently, his administration wanted a changing, more favorable electorate and demography at any cost. 


Perhaps Biden was privately happy that cash-short commuters had to burn less gasoline. Maybe the more he printed money, the more he would be rewarded politically.


Second, Biden has no solutions to these self-created problems because of the ideological restraints the Left has imposed on him.


The administration fears the anger of the hard Left more than the furor of the American people. So it will not change, preferring to be politically correct and a failure than to be ideologically incorrect and successful. 


Third, when people object, this administration answers either by blaming others for its self-created mess or by seeking distractions. Now it is faulting gun owners for the crime wave it fostered, supposed “white supremacists” for the racial tensions it fanned, and Putin, whom it appeased.


The common denominator? Biden knows that he inherited a stable, prosperous America and has nearly ruined it. 


And he knows the American people know that too.


And:

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