Thursday, November 17, 2022

Palestinians Troublemakers. The PHOTO. Russia And Arctic. Humble Advice. TF UGH. Money In Wrong Hands. Can GOP Walk/Chew Gum?

Probably last memo until Monday after Thanksgiving. Stay Well.



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Palestinians come over here and do nothing but create problems.
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 Northwestern University Students for Justice in Palestine Target Jewish Student Writer

by Dion J. Pierre, 

……On Monday, the university’s Students for Justice in Palestine (SJP) chapter tacked together copies of an op-ed by a Jewish student, Lily Cohen, graffitied it with the slogan, “From the river to the sea, Palestine will be free,” and zip-tied it to fences enclosing the Deering Library. SJP painted the same slogan, which is interpreted as calling for the ethnic cleansing of Jews living in Israel, on a campus monument that serves as an unofficial student message board.

…..SJP took responsibility for the offensive displays that evening in a Twitter post charging that “US and Israeli law enforcement agencies collaborate to develop violent tactics to subjugate Black and Palestinian communities — in the name of American and Israeli racism, materialism, and militarism.” 

CONTINUE

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Who Shook The Jar
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NewsGlobal.com

Featured Today

Police REFUSE To Release This Photo!

Read More >>>

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If Putin can't garner a victory in Ukriane he can always try The Arctic:
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RUSSIA Taking Over the ARCTIC?

Western space programs use the largest global satellite base station, located on Svalbard island off the coast of Norway, to collect important signals from polar-orbiting spacecraft.

One of the two fiber-optic cables connecting Svalbard to the country was broken in January of this year. Norway was forced to use a backup connection.

Cables Possibly Sabotaged
In April of 2021, a second cable utilized by a Norwegian research center to observe Arctic bottom activity was severed.

Norway’s defense chief Eirik Kristoffersen informed Reuters that the fractures, which garnered little media publicity outside Norway, could have occurred by mistake.

However, Kristoffersen emphasized that Russia is certainly capable of carrying out such a sabotage operation.

A few months later, in September, troublemakers caused huge breaches to unexpectedly explode in pipelines from Russia to Europe on the bottom of the Baltic Sea.

He was commenting in a broad sense and did not provide any proof to demonstrate that the damage was intentional. The Russian Ministry of Defense did not answer a request for clarification.

As Russia’s incursion on Ukraine ends a post-Cold War period of low strain and partnership, such events demonstrate how difficult it is for nations to supervise their own seas.

This is especially true in the Arctic, an ocean 1.5 times the size of the United States, in which satellites are essential for real-time surveillance and detection of action.

Stepping Up Training Ops

In current history, NATO partners and Russia have increased training operations in the region; in September, Chinese and Russian ships participated in a combined drill in the Bering Sea. In October, Norway increased its military alert status.

However, the West lags behind Russia in military involvement.

Since 2005, Russia has rebuilt dozens of Soviet-era Arctic military outposts, modernized its fleet, and created new missile systems meant to bypass U.S. detectors and defenses.

According to four Arctic specialists, it would require at least ten years for the West to close the gap on Russia’s forces in the area if it so desired.

It is so huge that there are minimal civil surveillance capabilities.
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Can GOP chew gum and walk? Time will tell. 

As for Trump I would not count him out yet.  If he proves reliable and stays within the limits of being disciplined he is capable of articulating the message, identifying the problems, pledging to do things that could solve them based on his previous accomplishments.

Experience is worth something.
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Can he take it?

Some Humble Advice for Donald Trump

By Derek Hunter

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CHAOS! Republicans Control House, Barely, and Trump Is In-and-Out - The American Spectator | USA News and Politics
By Arnold Steinberg


Here’s how to avoid a similar debacle in 2024.

Republicans will control the House of Representatives, barely. The instability will require strategic brilliance, which is in short supply.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump wants to run again, but he is done.

Eventually, Joe Biden, who makes a fool of himself, will not run.

China intends to dominate the world, the opening gambit being an increasingly likely invasion of Taiwan. But Biden’s priority for our military remains woke indoctrination, and he inexplicably says that China does not threaten Taiwan. China should be paying reparations for COVID. Yet Biden at the Global Summit won’t even discuss China’s coverup.

Instead, our disoriented president just met with China’s Xi Jinping about “climate change” and then boasted about (supposedly) partnering with the world’s greatest polluter.

So much is at stake for the U.S. and the world, and the disappointing (for Republicans) midterm elections have emboldened Biden, in midlife crisis at age 79, to double down on his destructive policies. Never considered intelligent, now the pathetic Biden is in mental decline, as is apparent when he is televised live, before CNN edits his comments. Thus, Biden remains the ideal vessel for the so-called progressives who dominate our declining culture.

Trump did lose in 2020 because of a stolen election. It was stolen not by the vote-counters but by the dishonest, agenda-driven media — print, broadcast, internet, social — that covered Trump critically and Biden uncritically and discredited or even buried stories (think Hunter Biden) counter to its narrative. But all this now is noise. While Trump’s policies were solid, he lacks credibility, and his self-inflicted wounds are overdone. He is generally being persecuted politically and unfairly, but his possible indictment may be grounded, and friendly media like Fox News may not circle the wagons around him.

Simply highlighting problems is not enough. Republicans nearly succeeded in nationalizing the crime issue but failed, as with inflation, to explain how Democrats caused the problem.

Biden and his neo-Marxist ideologues have torn down America’s heritage, divided our nation by race, brainwashed and sexualized little kids, unsecured our borders, repudiated energy independence, and condoned and enabled violent crime. Biden even nominated a Supreme Court justice who says she believes in women’s rights, but who cannot define a woman. And the once-plausible American Civil Liberties Union gives the Biden administration a pass on its routine infringement of civil liberties. But even Biden’s complicit media could not ignore the sharply rising prices at the gas pump and at the grocery market.

Only 28 percent of U.S. voters said the country is heading in the right direction. So why not a tsunami, or at least a wave election, for Republicans to gain dozens of seats in the House of Representatives and become a tight majority in the U.S. Senate?

We are told of triumphs, such as the unseating of Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, which marks the first time in more than four decades that Republicans unseated the chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. That last time was a campaign I created in 1980 to unseat 20-year incumbent DCCC Chair Jim Corman. The National Republican Congressional Committee then refused to target his California district (62 percent Democrat; 31 percent Republican, and with unfavorable demographics). When the NRCC belatedly targeted it, it was not to win but to keep Corman occupied in his own district rather than raising money for Democrat target districts around the country.

Beltway Republican leaders don’t create reality. In fact, they are typically behind the curve, as the saying goes, looking in the rearview mirror. They now fail to grasp the paradox that securing independent votes for a Republican means playing down partisanship. In this election, they were spread too thin and thus lost too many close races. Nor did they consider the impact of weak statewide Republican candidates. In contrast, the gains in New York congressional districts reflected Lee Zeldin’s incredible showing, as well as New York’s independent, fair redistricting that provided the margin to take the House. Otherwise, the Democrats would be in control!

The week before the election, I wrote a postelection strategy that assumed major gains to control the House and at least a couple of seats to control the Senate. (Nonetheless, the bulk of that strategy paper still holds.) Yet, as I had reviewed daily the RealClearPolitics compilation of major polls, I never saw consistent “red wave” data. Despite my professional experience of conducting more than 1,500 political surveys, I watched too much Sean Hannity and drank the Kool-Aid. Put another way, I naively assumed Beltway Republicans had internal upbeat tracking polling and real-time turnout models behind all the intoxicating predictions.

Forty years ago, in the 1982 California campaign for governor, George Deukmejian defeated Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, despite polls showing Bradley ahead. The liberal media said polls failed to uncover a prejudice against black candidates, and that myth persists. Actually, Bradley did win on Election Day, but Deukmejian handily won the absentee ballots, tabulated afterwards, and thus won overall. The California Republican Party had quickly adapted after California law changed to allow absentee ballots for any reason, and it mailed to solicit and “bank” absentee ballots. Now, the Democrats dominate non–Election Day balloting, in California and nationally.

Using COVID in 2020, Democrats have made elections a continuing process, with emphasis on mail-in voting and (especially union) ballot harvesting. Government unions seek Election Day holiday to vote and turn out voters. Republicans had two years to get their act together. They didn’t.

The national generic party vote is informative, but not decisively. Much of the Republican advantage likely puffed up numbers in safe Republican seats. Besides, national polls require confirmation, not cheerleading, and only the relevant state or congressional district polls can be dispositive. As I did years ago for absentee ballots cast, polling must allocate for mail-in voters who voted and thus need to be polled; their voter propensity is retroactively 100 percent. Those continuing data are combined, as mathematically appropriate, with polls of those yet to vote, to identify trends and forecast. Until Republicans can change the new rules and protocols (Florida modified some), they must actively pursue pre–Election Day voting, especially mail-in ballots. Banked ballots obviously are certain votes. And polling also failed to account for measurable higher-than-expected Democrat turnout.

On the issues, the biased media implied that the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision outlawed abortion when it simply returned the matter to the states, which for nearly a half century was the conservative rationale to reverse Roe. Republicans moved too quickly at the state level, but, worse, Sen. Lindsey Graham introduced federal legislation to limit abortions (though even a Republican-controlled Senate/House would never pass it). Voters juxtaposed the Dobbs decision (“anti-democratic” with a small “d”) with the media hyping Democrat talking points, notably the Republicans’ alleged “threat to democracy” — a phony issue but one that nonetheless animated the turnout of Democrats and appealed to independents.

You do not nationalize an issue that will jeopardize your probability of victory. Abortion was more of a motivating factor for Democrat voters. Review the dominant media, including the major networks and newspapers, to analyze how, through labels like calling Republicans “election deniers,” the media pushed the Democratic Party agenda and raised turnout. It’s time to confront the phony “democracy is on the ballot” catchphrase with the obvious: The authoritarian Biden really argues that if you don’t vote for him and his party, you’re against democracy.

Simply highlighting problems is not enough. Republicans nearly succeeded in nationalizing the crime issue but failed, as with inflation, to explain how Democrats caused the problem and why electing Republicans would make a difference. Republican strategists still don’t realize, as Zeldin showed in New York, that you campaign in New York City to reach the New York City media market — Nassau, Suffolk, and Westchester counties and beyond, just as the crime issue in Los Angeles City reaches its media market, including Orange, Ventura, San Bernardino, and Riverside counties. This is how you reach the target-rich suburbs!

Govs. Glenn Youngkin last year and Brian Kemp and Ron DeSantis this year won great victories because they remained aloof from Trump, who twice cost the GOP control of the U.S. Senate — two years ago in Georgia and now in multiple states. The loss of the Senate majority in 2020 cost the nation trillions of dollars in extra spending and some awful new judges. Trump had discouraged mail-in balloting two years ago. This year he endorsed candidates less likely to win in a general election, then contributed little financially to help them, and his campaigning was primarily about himself. His possible run in 2024 is anathema to the pivotal independent voters. Worse, during the crucial preelection week, he predicted his likely 2024 run. Trump’s choice in Ohio, J.D. Vance, won only because Trump’s nemesis Mitch McConnell deployed nearly $30 million there. Ironically, Trump’s Kari Lake for Arizona governor was a solid candidate who should have won. And Michigan’s impressive Tudor Dixon also failed to reach sufficient independent voters. Independents voted handily for John Fetterman in Pennsylvania and gave the edge to Raphael Warnock in Georgia. Trump candidates emulate Trump in confusing a general election with a Republican primary.

I voted for Trump against Biden and would do so again. I recognize his flaws, but I’m a policy guy. I supported most of Trump’s policies and worked with the administration on criminal justice reform and other matters. But he would never have been impeached if Republicans controlled the House. And given “peace and prosperity” — his successful foreign policy and robust economy — absent his tweets and dysfunctional behavior, Republicans in 2018 might have kept control of the House by a few seats. Back then Trump apologists dismissed his destructive behavior as eccentric (“that’s Trump”); now, it’s admittedly toxic. Republicans should not confront him but simply stand down and ignore him.

Trump won the nomination in 2016 with a plurality in early winner-take-all primaries against a large field of candidates who only dropped out one by one. In 2024, DeSantis will be the alternative, and, unless he stumbles, others will drop out early rather than risk a Trump plurality win. Perhaps the Republican National Committee will repeal the winner-take-all rules, which were originally crafted to give Jeb Bush the nomination in 2016 but instead facilitated Trump’s ascendancy. This almost certainly denies Trump a path to the nomination but also could divide the party for the eventual nominee.

The signature Trump name-calling already backfires, not among the incorrigible Never-Trump Republicans, many of whom morphed into Never Republicans, but among disenchanted conservatives who want it all in 2024 — to claim the Senate, the House, and the presidency.

Nearly 50 years ago, hardly anyone expected that both President Richard Nixon and Vice President Spiro Agnew would vacate their positions. The House speaker needs to demonstrate gravitas and seriousness, as he is second in line for the presidency. Biden will not be the nominee, and a successor would not favor his running mate Kamala Harris, whom Biden’s team will continue to sabotage, risking a convention revolt among black delegates.

With the president unpopular, Republicans wanted 2022 to be a referendum on Biden, not Trump. And, looking forward, the new speaker of the House can praise Trump administration policies but remain agnostic on Trump. But the inexcusably tiny Republican margin in the House provides no cushion for the speaker to preside over a government in exile. Still, Republicans can paint the Senate and Biden as obstructionists. The good news is that some Democrats who barely won reelection may no longer always shill for Biden.

Democrats already have a 50-seat majority in the U.S. Senate, but electing Herschel Walker remains critical. The plainspoken Walker seems more authentic than the polished Warnock, especially among black voters who see the attacks on Walker as a takedown. If Trump stays out of it, and Kemp helps, Walker could win. Perhaps then one or two Senate seats will open up next year, where a Republican governor appoints. Given his preelection tirade against Biden, Joe Manchin likely considered switching parties if Republicans won a majority and offered him a committee chairmanship. If Biden continues to disrespect Manchin and continues his attack on West Virginia coal, and if Manchin fears a Republican challenger in 2024, he could switch parties.

In 2022, Democrats pushed abortion/pro-choice policies and a strategy of scaremongering about threats to democracy/election denial. In 2024, abortion should be a state issue, unless Republicans stupidly nationalize it. And democracy/election denial should finally be off the table. If Trump persists, most Republican candidates will ignore him. The Republican Party, sans Trump, will have a new lease on life in 2024.

Looking ahead, Republicans will antagonize independent voters if their agenda is mainly clumsy investigations, but serious hearings could unearth major scandals, including on COVID policy, especially the long-term effects of mandated vaccinations. Republicans also need to build on their inroads among nonwhite voters. And they need to reach younger voters who will turn out in a presidential year.

Republicans must ensure that Biden is blamed for continued inflation, higher interest rates, a tech meltdown, unemployment, any recession, racial division, culture disintegration, open borders, and foreign-policy debacles, while Republicans get credit for anything positive. There are preemptive ways to do all that and propose alternative policies. Finally, Republicans must create a permanent sentiment
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Tom Friedman loves to capture headlines but he ain't generally right. His accuracy is distorted by an often closed mind
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Tom Friedman – mistaken or disingenuous?
Ambassador (ret.) Yoram Ettinger, "Second Thought: a US-Israel Initiative"



On November 4, 2022, the New York Times' Tom Friedman, who reflects the worldview of the State Department's establishment, lamented that "The Israel we knew is gone."

Should one rely on T.F.'s assessments concerning the Middle East?

*In September 1993, T.F. welcomed Arafat as a peace-seeking statesman.  He established (an immoral) moral equivalence between a role-model of terrorism, Arafat, and a role-model of counterterrorism, Prime Minister Rabin: “Two hands that had written the battle orders for so many young men, two fists that had been raised in anger at one another so many times in the past, locked together for a fleeting moment of reconciliation.”  T.F. was trapped by Arafat’s strategy of dissimulation ("Taqiyya"), highlighting Arafat's peaceful English talk, ignoring Arafat's violent Arabic talk, and playing down Arafat's unprecedented terroristic walk since the 1993 Oslo Accord.

*In July, 2000, T.F. posed the question: “Who is Arafat? Is he Nelson Mandela or Willie Nelson?” A more realistic question would be: “Who is Arafat? Is he Jack the Ripper or the Boston Strangler?”

*T.F.’s pro-Palestinian stance dates back to his active involvement, while at Brandeis University, in the pro-Arafat radical-Left “Middle East Peace Group” and “Breira'” organizations.  It intensified during his role as the Associated Press’ and New York Times’ reporter in Lebanon. There he played down Arafat’s and Mahmoud Abbas’ rape and plunder of Lebanon, and their collaboration with Latin American, European, African and Asian terrorists, while expressing his appreciation of the PLO’s protection of foreign journalists in Beirut (who responded in kind…).   

*The 2020 peace accords between Israel and the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco and the Sudan were concluded - in defiance of T.F.'s worldview - because they centered on Arab interests, bypassing the Palestinian issue, denying the Palestinians a veto power over the Israel-Arab peace process.

* In a July 15, 2022 column, T.F. asserted that Saudi Arabia considered the Palestinian issue central on its agenda. He ignored the gap between the warm Saudi talk and the cold-to-negative Saudi walk on the Palestinian issue.  Contrary to T.F.'s assessment, all pro-US Arab regimes do not welcome a Palestinian state, which they expect to be a rogue regime, and therefore have never flexed their military or diplomatic (and barely any financial) muscle on behalf of the Palestinians.  They consider Palestinians as a role-model of intra-Arab subversion, terrorism and ingratitude, based on the Palestinian terrorist track record in Egypt (early 1950s), Syria (mid-1960s), Jordan (1968-1970), Lebanon (1970-1982) and Kuwait (1990).

Contrary to T.F.'s worldview, all pro-US Arab regimes have realized that the Palestinian issue is not the crux of the Arab-Israeli conflict, neither a crown-jewel of Arab policy-makers, nor a core cause of regional turbulence.

*In the July 15, 2022 column, T.F. referred to Mahmoud Abbas as a moderate, peace-seeking and anti-terrorism leader, ignoring Abbas' K-12 hate-education system, inciting sermons in Palestinian mosques, public monuments honoring terrorists, and his monthly allowances to families of terrorists.  Since Oslo 1993, Abbas' Palestinian Authority has been a most effective production-line and hot house of terrorists.

*In January and June, 2000, T.F. was charmed by Bashar Assad’s background:  a British-trained ophthalmologist; married to a British citizen of Syrian origin; fluent in English and French; and, President of the Syrian Internet Association.  He compared the eventual leader and Butcher from Damascus to Deng Xiaoping, who led China’s economic reforms, modernization and rapprochement with the USA.  Swept by wishful-thinking, T.F. assumed that Bashar could liberalize Syria, attract international investors, end the Arab rejection of the Jewish State, and demolish the Iran-Syria axis and terminating Iran’s involvement in Lebanon.  According to T.F., the prerequisite for such a scenario was Israel's withdrawal from the Golan Heights.  However, as expected, Bashar decided to adopt his ruthless father's brutality, demolishing T.F.’s assumptions and slaughtering Syria’s domestic opposition, irrespective of the Golan Heights and Israel’s existence.

*In August, 2006, T.F. told NPR Radio that Bashar Assad’s Syria was not a natural ally of Iran. He maintained that Syria could become an ally of the pro-US Arab Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, ignoring Syria’s anti-US track record since 1946 and pro-Iran stance since 1979.

*In June, 2009, T.F. stated that “for the first time, [Middle East] forces for decency, democracy and pluralism have a little wind at their backs.”  According to T.F., “the diffusion of technology – the Internet, blogs, YouTube and text messaging via cellphones” – tilted the Middle East in favor of the US. He was determined to prohibit Middle East reality to alter his vision, which is consumed by globalization, modernity, democratization and the Internet. Unfortunately, the increasingly boiling and seismic Arab Street from Morocco to the Persian Gulf has repudiated T.F.’s Pollyannish vision.

*In February, 2011, T.F. determined that “the Muslim Brotherhood is not running the [anti-Mubarak] show…. Any ideological group that tries to hijack these young people will lose…. The emerging spokesman for this uprising is Wael Ghonim, a Google marketing executive.”

Swept by the Arab Spring ("Facebook and Youth Revolution") delusion, T.F. concluded that the Egyptian Street “tried [radical] Nasserism, tried Islamism and is now trying democracy.”  He was convinced that “the democracy movement came out of Cairo's Tahrir Square like a tiger…. Anyone who tries to put the tiger back in the cage will get his head bitten off…. The first pan-Arab movement that is focused on universal values….”

T.F. underestimated the surge of the trans-national Muslim Brotherhood and its credo:
"Allah is our objective; the Quran is our law; the Prophet is our leader; Jihad [Holy War] is our way; and martyrdom for the sake of Allah is the highest of our aspirations."  To T.F.’s frustration, the Muslim Brotherhood aims to consolidate Islamic Sharia’ as the legal foundation in Muslim and “infidel” lands, as a prelude to the establishment of a global Islamic Caliphate.

*In a May 25, 2021 column, T.F. opines that a Palestinian state west of the Jordan River would serve US interests, ignoring the fact that such a state would doom the pro-US Hashemite regime east of the Jordan River, and triggering a domino scenario southward, threatening the survival of all pro-US oil-producing regimes in the Arabian Peninsula, according a geo-strategic bonanza (including a military foothold) to Iran's Ayatollahs, Russia and China.

*On July 15, 2022, T.F. wrote that sustaining Israel's control of Judea & Samaria (the West Bank) will doom Israel to lose its Jewish majority. T.F. ignores Israel's unique demographic reality, with an unprecedented momentum of Jewish fertility (number of births per woman), especially among secular women, which exceeds the dramatically westernized Arab fertility. He overlooks Jewish net-immigration and Arab net-emigration (from Judea & Samaria); the 50% inflated Palestinian census (1.5mn Arabs - not 3mn - in Judea & Samaria,); and the 68% Jewish majority in the combined area of Judea, Samaria and pre-1967 Israel, which benefits from unprecedented fertility and a net-migration tailwind.

Has Tom Friedman been mistaken? Or, has he been disingenuous?


And:

There is more money in the hands of those who hate America like Soros but still more bodies among the deplorable crowd who love this country.  They just need to be motivated to get off their duff and save it.  Inertia is a powerful force.
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Let The Blame Games Begin?
By Victor Davis Hanson 

For Republicans either different leaders or different strategies—or both—are needed to ensure different results. 

Who or what was responsible for the Republican nationwide collapse in the midterms? After all, pundits, politicos, and pollsters all predicted a “red tsunami.” 

Moreover, the average loss of any president in his first midterm is 25 House seats. And when his approval sinks to or below 43 percent—in the fashion of Joe Biden—the loss, on average, expands to over 40 seats. 

Barack Obama in 2010 lost 63 seats. Is Biden, therefore, more charismatic or more energetic than Obama? Was his agenda more successful and popular? 

Given such high Republican expectations, the blame game for the loss is as strident and confusing as was the election itself. 

Here are some of the most common targets of criticism. 

Donald Trump is being blamed on various counts. Before the midterms, he strangely attacked Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. And he loudly hinted that he would run again. 

Those histrionics supposedly took attention away from Republican candidates. Trump turned off some DeSantis fans from Trump-endorsed candidates, and energized Trump-hating left-wingers to go out and vote to stop the momentum for a second Trump presidency. 

Yet the idea that Trump was erratic or reckless was not really new and surprised no one on either side of the political divide. 

Two, Trump promoted many losing candidates, often on the narrow basis of whether they had accepted his charges of a rigged 2020 election. His critics countered that while his MAGA candidates won primaries in states like Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, they had little chance of going on to win general elections. 

Yet, some important Trump-supported candidates did win, including J. D. Vance in Ohio and Ted Budd in North Carolina. At the same time, many centrists and moderates, such as Joe O’Dea in Colorado, lost. 

Three, why did Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and the fossilized Republican hierarchy short candidate Blake Masters in Arizona, while pouring money into an internecine fight in Alaska on the side of the less conservative Republican candidate? 

Nevertheless, Republican House and Senate coffers probably gave MAGA candidates more than Donald Trump did from his $100 million-plus campaign stash. 

Four, are we not in the midst of the greatest political revolution of our age? Election Day voting in most states has been reduced to about 30 percent of the electorate. What replaced it is an utter mess of early balloting, absentee balloting, mail-in balloting, ranked voting, run-off voting, and endless counting. 

The Left saw winning advantages with these radical changes, many made under the pretext of the COVID-19 lockdowns. And it has mastered them to such a degree that most Republicans with small leads at the end of Election Day now expect to lose over the subsequent days and weeks. 

Yet, the Republicans already got burned in 2020 by these ongoing radical changes. Did they not have ample time to avoid their recurrence? 

Five, this time the silent and undercounted voters were not disillusioned MAGA supporters who hung up on pollsters’ calls. 

Instead, pollsters missed the 70 percent of those under 30, along with single women, who voted straight Democratic tickets. 

Mannered Republicans may have scoffed at how Biden and the Left demagogued the abortion issue, or slandered Republicans as semi-fascists, and un-American insurrectionists. They shrugged at Biden’s hokey efforts at buying off young voters with amnesties for marijuana convictions and student loans or offering slightly cheaper gas by draining the strategic petroleum reserves. 

But all those low-minded strategies resulted in high left-wing enthusiasm and turnout. 

Six, usually reliable conservative pollsters forecast a huge Republican victory. Apparently, they oversampled conservative voters, reasoning that left-leaning pollsters usually undersampled them. 

They were not just wrong, but way off. And the ensuing hubris of certain victory led to nemesis as Republicans let up the last few weeks. Thousands of conservative voters may have passed at the chance to go to the polls deeming their votes superfluous. 

Seven, the Left smeared conservatives as democracy destroyers and violent insurrectionists. So, when the Republicans offered nonstop negative appraisals of Biden’s failed policies without commensurate alternative positive agendas, they unknowingly fed into the Democrats’ false narrative of cranky nihilists. 

Could not Republicans have offered an upbeat and coherent contract with America that offered uplifting, concrete solutions to each of Biden’s messes? 

Finally, Democrats are now the party of the very rich. The neo-socialist Democratic Party has more billionaire capitalists than do the free-market Republicans. 

In almost every important Senate or gubernatorial race, the Democratic candidate was the far better funded of the two. In some races, like the New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, the Democrat outspent his Republican counterpart by a staggering 17-1. 

Has the Republican Party of capitalism forgotten the power and role of money in politics? Why is it once again so easily out funded, outspent, and outsmarted? 

All these writs variously explain the otherwise inexplicable dismal Republican performance. 

Yet there is a common denominator for Republicans to all these multifaceted problems: either different leaders or different strategies—or both—are necessary to ensure different results
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I know Pawlicki, play tennis with him. Nice guy,  writes well, a committed liberal so have to discount his comments.

Herschel can eke out a win  if Kemp and Trump get on the same page. Trump spoke out in a positive fashion a few days ago.  

What possible reason is there to get enthused about a mean spirited minister with baggage?   

Kemp and Trump  have to explain the significance of a Herschel win regarding Biden's ability to continue on his destructive policy path. If you want inflation and high gas prices etc. then don't vote and let Herschel lose.
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The GOP can't win Senate majority in Georgia's runoff. There's no incentive to vote for Walker.

By Robert Pawlicki


This is a commentary by Robert Pawlicki, a member and former president of the Hamiltons, a non-partisan, civic-minded men’s organization based on Skidaway Island. Pawlicki is also a semi-retired psychologist who regularly contributes content to the Savannah Morning News regarding mental health and wellness.

The votes are in. The Democrats will retain their hold of the U.S. Senate. There is no need to vote for Hershel Walker in the Georgia U.S. Senate runoff.

Walker is not a strong Republican candidate. Gov. Brian Kemp far outperformed Walker, earning approximately 163,000 more votes. Many Republicans held their nose and voted for Walker to deny the Democrats the majority in the Senate. Now that the Senate is in the hands of the Democrats, there is no need to vote for a poorly qualified candidate.

Read more: Board of Elections releases list of polling places for Dec. 6 Warnock-Walker showdown

Even if Walker should win in the runoff, the Democrats will still have 50 senators and, with the vice president's tiebreaking vote, the majority. Since the goal of a Republican majority has not been met, it makes sense for Georgia Republicans not to vote for Walker in the runoff.

"I'm this country boy. I'm not that smart. And he's that preacher. He's a smart man, wears these nice suits." That's Walker speaking as he inoculated himself in preparation for a debate with Sen. Raphael Warnock. Inoculation is what psychologists call it when the speaker lowers expectations to avoid potential shame.

It was also an attempt to hide what we should all know: Walker is unsuitable material for a U.S. senator.

Why Sen. Hershel Walker is dangerous for Georgia

A trip to Walker's website reflects the candidate's primary credentials in running for a Senate seat: football. Noticeably muted are his views on policies. While he talks about lowering taxes and curtailing discussion of critical race theory in public schools, we are not told his beliefs on inflation or climate change.
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