My response is very simple. Obama is no longer the first black president to be elected. He already is the first black elected president and he has a record and his record is pitiful.
That means enthusiasm for him will wane across all voting sectors. Thus, I would expect a sharp reduction in the white guilt factor vote though Obamaites will continue to play the race card and accuse those, like myself, of being racist. It is Obama who has the black heart, who demeans success, who plays the politics of envy and who has set citizen against citizen with his class warfare crap
Second, as the campaign gathers momentum and Obama's dismal record is brought to the attention of the country, it will be more difficult for the biased press and media to sound credible every time they defend him or ignore his failed achievements.
Finally, you beat Obama with his own words. Our prez loves to orate. He loves the sound of his voice. Thus, we now have a lot of bizarre commentary that demonstrates how Far Left and out of touch with what America is all about Obama is and these views will serve as clubs to beat him over his head.
To sum it up: Black youth is unemployed so where is their enthusiasm? Jews are not giving as much and are already down to 61% from 78% according to everything I read. The economy is going to continue being an albatross so again where is the enthusiasm for voting for more of the same. I doubt Obama will be able to buy more loyalty beyond the goodies he has already dispensed - amnesty for illegals, tuition debt deferments and/or reductions for unemployed college graduates. There are no more auto companies he can buy with your money to pay off union members and finally, Wall Street is hurting so I don't see the same amount of money or votes rolling in from the caverns of New York's financial district. Then we have small business people who have been told they are not worth much without government. No doubt the Gay vote is his but that fact is probably balanced by the turn-off effect. Finally, we come to the frustrated women vote. Females may continue to salivate over Obama as they did over Clinton because so many are excited with their enhanced status of being free to take on more and more responsibilities as the marriage failure rate hovers over 50% but, here again, their numbers are about topped out as well..
As for polls and pollsters, most of them generally have proven wrong because people love to lie to pollsters and most pollsters have their own bias which causes them to generally even lie to themselves.
In my book Larry Sabato is the best and most reliable of the pollsters .
If I am wrong then I will eat some crow but eventually those who vote to re-elect this pathetic pathologically insecure president will be the ones who will most regret it and of this I am even more sure than my prediction that Romney wins. Perhaps I am blinded by my own bias but it is inconceivable for me to believe Americans have sunk so low in judgement and intellect to re-elect this man but then maybe P.T was right. (See 1 below.)
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Dick
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1) Poll: Democrats Lose Desire to Vote for Obama
Enthusiasm among Democrats to voting in the presidential election is slipping, according to a new USA Today/Gallup poll.
The survey shows that only 39 percent of Democrats and those who lean Democratic are "more enthusiastic about voting than usual" in the race between President Barack Obama and Republican candidate Mitt Romney. That compares with 61 percent in 2008 and 68 percent in 2004, when Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., was running against President George W. Bush.
Those numbers obviously aren’t good for Obama, and it gets worse. Among Republicans and those who lean Republican, 51 percent are more enthusiastic about voting. That’s up from 38 percent in 2008 and unchanged from 2004.
“The Republican advantage may indicate a greater likelihood of voting among Republicans, but also greater optimism about a Republican victory than was the case in 2008,” writes Gallup’s Jeffrey Jones. “In turn, Democrats are probably less optimistic about their chances of winning than they were in 2008.”
The portion of overall voters who are more enthusiastic about voting than usual has slipped to 44 percent from 48 percent in 2008 and 59 percent in 2004.
“With voter enthusiasm down significantly from 2004 and 2008 levels, it is reasonable to expect that turnout will be lower this presidential election than in the last two elections, both of which had above-average turnout,” Jones writes.
“Republicans' greater enthusiasm about voting is a troubling sign for the Obama campaign, especially given the fact that registered voters are essentially tied in their presidential voting preferences, and that Republicans historically vote at higher rates than Democrats do.”
To be sure, it may just be that Democrats are depressed by the prospects of an Obama defeat and will still vote in large numbers, Jones says.
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