"Laser uranium enrichment is so attractive that that it will be implemented --- and Iran will become the test case. What must be demanded is the complete opening of the country to appropriate inspection. Anything else would be too little - much too little." Hans Ruhle

German nuclear weapons expert Hans Rühle warned in the daily Die Welt May 21 that Iran can enrich uranium using laser technology that is much harder to detect than centrifuges. Rühle headed the German Defense Ministry's policy planning staff during the 1980s. In a widely-discussed commentary last February 17, he argued that Israel has the capacity to cripple Iran's nuclear weapons program. He also presented evidence in Die Welt that Iran may have tested a nuclear weapon in North Korea.

"Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadihejad announced in 2010 the 'good nuclear news' that Iran then possessed laser technology for uranium enrichment. Iran would not use this technology immediately, Ahmadinejad insisted, but his extremely positive characterization of the new technological option casts strong doubt on Iran's intentions and suggests that Iran's voluntary restraint on enrichment is an attempt at diversion," Rühle wrote in his May 21 analysis.

"Laser enrichment is the silver bullet in this field," Rühle continues. "By the estimate of Australia's leading expert, laser enrichment is sixteen times more efficient than earlier enrichment technologies. This begs the question of why this sensational enrichment procedure was not put into effect earlier. The answer is that laser enrichment was long considered to be the technology of the future, too expensive and complicated for practical application."

As an alternative to mechanical separation of fissile uranium-235 through centrifuges, laser separation has been used experimentally since the 1960s, without bringing the new technique into industrial application. But the major nuclear powers had little incentive to invest in a new technology, Rühle argues, because their centrifuge installations could enrich uranium at comparatively low cost.

All that changed in 2006, Rühle adds, when an Australian laser enrichment technology, the "SILEX" method, began official tests. A billion-dollar laser enrichment facility is planned in the United States, large enough to provide enough fuel for 60 large reactors filling the energy needs of 60 million households. The facility could also produce enough highly-enriched uranium for 1,000 warheads per year.

Iran may have acquired laser enrichment technology from Russia, Rühle argues, starting with support for Iran's nuclear weapons program under agreements dating back to the Yeltsin administration. "It was no great surprise," Rühle argues, "that in the spring of 2000, America's spy services discovered a pilot program for laser enrichment between Iran and the D.V.-Efremov Institute in St. Petersburg. American diplomats at the time demanded that Russia cease this activity, on the stated grounds that "there can be no doubt that this installation can and will be turned to military nuclear applications in no time at all."

The project came up in talks between Presidents Clinton and Putin in September 2000, Rühle reports, and the Russians assured the American side that the project would be suspended pending an investigation: "That was a favorite Russian formula to remove controversial issues from current discussions and avoid potentially disadvantageous decisions, while shifting the project quietly to industrial and scientific institutes."

Ahmadinejad's boast that Iran possesses laser enrichment technology has a factual background, Rühle concludes. During the past year, the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency has demanded on several occasions that Iran explain its laser enrichment program, with no response from the Iranian side.

If Iran has acquired this technology, it can enrich uranium far more cheaply and quickly, in inconspicuous facilities that are far harder to detect than centrifuge installations, Rühle warns. Laser enrichment requires a quarter of the physical space and much less energy than centrifuges. "For the international community's negotiations with Iran, this implies that what must be demanded is the complete opening of the country to appropriate inspection. Anything else would be too little-much too little."

Both in Germany and the United States, Rühle adds, the professional associations of nuclear physicists have warned about the consequences of uncontrolled dissemination of "SILEX" laser enrichment technology. "Despite all the experience of the preceding decades, this warning went heard," Rühle concludes. "Laser uranium enrichment is so attractive that it will be implemented-and Iran could become the test case."
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5) > Wayne Allyn Root
>
> May 30, 2012 Town Hall Alert Most political predictions are made by
> biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting
> for Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian
> Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas odds maker with one
> of the most accurate records of predicting political races. Neither
> Obama nor Romney are my horses in the race. I believe both Republicans
> and Democrats have destroyed the U.S. economy and brought us to the
> edge of economic disaster. My vote will go to Libertarian Presidential
> candidate Gary Johnson in November, whom I believe has the most
> fiscally conservative track record of any Governor in modern U.S.
> political history. Without the bold spending cuts of a Gary Johnson or
> Ron Paul, I don't believe it’s possible to turnaround America. But as
> an odds maker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking
> political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to
> call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years
> Predictions. I predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had
> been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP
> competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would
> easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide.
> I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney
> would be very close until election day. But that on election day
> Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.
> Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding
> Romney victory. 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing
> by 9 points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls.
>
>
>
> So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?
>
>
>
> First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense. Here
> is my gut instinct. Not one American who voted for Mc Cain 4 years ago
> will switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of
> people who voted for an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry,
> disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. Voters know
> Obama now- and that is a bad harbinger. Now to an analysis of the
> voting blocks that matter in U.S. politics:
>
>
>
> *Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His
> endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going
> Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in
> 2008. This is not good news for Obama.
>
>
>
> *Hispanic voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group.
> If Romney picks Rubio as his VP running-mate the GOP may pick up an
> extra 10% to 15% of Hispanic voters (plus lock down Florida). This is
> not good news for Obama.
>
>
>
> *Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many
> Jewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict
> Obama's Jewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60’s. This is
> not good news for Obama.
>
>
>
> *Youth voters. Obama’s biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4
> years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are
> disillusioned, frightened, and broke- a bad combination. The
> enthusiasm is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young
> voters, as will actual voting percentages. This not good news for
> Obama.
>
>
>
> *Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That
> won’t happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to
> war with the Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued
> by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for
> Obama.
>
>
>
> *Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time
> around, and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands
> of small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of
> friends, fans and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to “give
> someone different a chance.” I warned them that he would pursue a war
> on capitalism and demonize anyone who owned a business...that he'd
> support unions over the private sector in a big way...that he'd
> overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My friends didn't
> listen. Four years later, I can't find one person in my circle of
> small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not
> good news for Obama.
>
>
>
> *Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White
> working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox
> fans feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.
>
>
>
> *Suburban moms. The issue isn’t contraception…it’s having a job to pay
> for contraception. Obama’s economy frightens these moms. They are
> worried about putting food on the table. They fear for their
> children’s future. This is not good news for Obama.
>
>
>
> *Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is
> winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama,
> the more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama. Add it
> up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008? Will
> anyone in America wake up on election day saying “I didn't vote for
> Obama 4 years ago. But he’s done such a fantastic job, I can't wait to
> vote for him today.” Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes
> their job more secure?
>
>
>
> Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas odds maker and common
> sense small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and
> a world-class repudiation of Obama’s radical and risky socialist
> agenda.
>
>
>
> It's Reagan-Carter all over again.
>
>
>
> But I'll give Obama credit for one thing- he is living proof that
> familiarity breeds contempt.
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6)
Netanyahu and Mofaz:  Broadening the Middle Eastern Perspective?
By Yisrael Ne'eman

While Israeli PM Benyamin Netanyahu may be seen as a strong virtually irreplaceable leader he certainly faces overwhelming challenges.  As daunting as domestic issues appear the full existential threat is erupting on the outside in the form of the Iranian nuclear threat and the Islamic Awakening in the Arab World.  On the local level, the continuing stand offs with Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Gaza and the potential instability in the PA/Fatah ruled West Bank (Judea and Samaria) produce daily conflicts.  Add in the continued economic deterioration of Israel's largest trading partner in the Euro zone and the future is at best unsure.  Here are just a few more reasons why Netanyahu preferred Shaul Mofaz's Kadima faction at his side and did not want to be dependent on the ultra-orthodox factions for coalition stability.

As concerns EU economic relations Israel has a small economy and a fair amount of flexibility in finding other markets.  Since the mid 2000s Israeli entrepreneurs with government support are opening markets in the world's two most populous countries, mainland China and India.  Israeli exports need to be and are being redirected for a more balanced trade picture. 

The security issues are far more dire.  All may be coming to a head by July first when full European sanctions are expected to go into effect against the Khomeinist Shiite Iranian regime should they not halt their nuclear weapons program.  Recent negotiations between Tehran and the West came to nothing and even should there be an agreement, the Iranians will follow the North Korean example and violate all commitments.  It is well known Pres. Ahmedinejad & Co. are committed to Israel's destruction and are only buying time.  The Israeli dilemma remains in place:  When does the West knock out the Iranian nuclear potential?  If the West delays to the point of Iranian nuclear armament at what point does Israel take matters into its own hands and strike?  And what will be the political – diplomatic price to be paid by Jerusalem?  What will be Tehran's rocket response?  As declared "centrists" Netanyahu wants Kadima's consent to whatever policy decisions must be implemented.  Let's recall that Kadima leader Mofaz is against attacking the Iranian facilities but this too can change as everything is a matter of timing.

Here Iran's Syrian and Lebanese Hezobllah allies/proxies come into play when ordered to drop rockets on Israel.  As for Syria, Israel needs to prepare for the fall of Assad, but no one knows which Syrian opposition will replace his Baath Party.  The best bet is the Muslim Brotherhood, meaning a worse option than the present reality.  The Lebanese cannot take on Hezbollah and win.  Only a complete Iranian demise will end that threat.  

The Islamic Awakening and removal of Arab secular regimes is the most serious long term concern for Israel and the West.  Egypt's military is attempting to hold off a full Muslim Brotherhood election sweep but in the end they will be forced to concede defeat.  It appears that Gen. Tantawi and the SCAF military rulers were hoping for some form of hybrid arrangement with the Brotherhood in an attempt to hold back a much more fanatical Islamic takeover by the Salafists and Al Qaeda down the road. Mohammed Morsi may have taken the presidential elections but his declared moderation cannot be expected to last.  The street will speak and the military, despite the amount of force used, will fail in the long run.  Israel faces a low intensity conflict (LIC) on the Negev border in the short term as Islamic terror groups increasingly operate in Sinai to the detriment of Egyptian security forces.  The Egyptian military brass view the 1979 peace treaty as a strategic pillar for national security and are not willing to initiate a full scale war in the name of Jihad, Allah or anyone else.  To do so means to break ties with the West and get crushed on the battlefield.  The smoldering border conflict with Gaza is moving south and spilling over onto the Egyptian frontier. Israel needs a measured response not endangering the already fragile relations with Cairo while simultaneously damaging Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood and/or Al Qaeda terrorists in Sinai.  To win, the Egyptian army needs to regain control of the region.  It is here that Netanyahu wants to hear from former army chief of staff and ex-defense minister Mofaz in the hope of outmaneuvering the more right wing elements in his government.

Much worse is the long term forecast.  The revolution may peak with a Salafist extremist push replacing a "cold peace" with a very hot border, if not a war.  But should they only try and fail, deeper turmoil in Egypt can be expected with no positive outcome in sight.  It just might take longer for an extremist victory.

Turning to the Palestinians Kadima is once again part of the larger picture.  To retain calm on the West Bank (Judea and Samaria) front Netanyahu needs at least the semblance of negotiations and someone to take the blame whether they succeed or not.  The issue here is less one of keeping Palestinian Authority PM Mahmud Abbas happy and more of satisfying the Americans and Europeans.  Any agreement with the Fatah led West Bank administration will ignite an anti-government reaction by the settler activists who enjoy support in the Likud's right wing.  Netanyahu needs bolstering from the center, meaning Kadima, to ensure any advancement on the peace front.  No major shifts are to be expected, rather there may be a broadening into Stage II of the Bush Road Map whereby an interim Palestinian State is formed but without permanent borders.  Netanyahu is consistent in first demanding an "economic peace" whereby there is Palestinian state-in-the-making development and something to lose should such a future regime prove belligerent.  This may very well be the "price" the Likud must pay not only to stay in power but to ensure US and EU support in the continuing confrontation with Iran.  The West wants to prove that not all the Arab/Muslim world will go Islamist.  The Abbas regime is to be an example of a secular western leaning Arab nationalist regime bringing development, security and peace to its people.  Such an option is to stand in full contradiction to the Hamas Gaza radicals.

Speaking of Gaza, every three months there is another round of shelling into the Negev and counter attacks by Israel - so here we are again.  Israel has every interest in a quiet border but cannot take major action until the Iranian contest is solved and that may take until the end of summer.  Afterwards Israel will have a much freer hand, in particular with Kadima in the government and even more so should there be a "peace process" on the Fatah/West Bank front. 

Netanyhu moved towards the middle to allow more room for maneuver.  Any price to be paid especially as concerns the Palestinians or containing of the settlement movement will be blamed on Kadima.  Any credit for "success" on these fronts will be claimed by Mofaz.  Each side will take credit or appropriate blame for their own advantage.  Behind closed doors both are seeking similar policies and outcomes.  With the Likud as the front runner by far the pressure is more on Mofaz to prove Kadima can impact policies by shifting them more middle road.

On the foreign policy front there are far too many factors completely beyond Israel's control to predict any sort of direction.  One aspect appears fairly sure, European sanctions will intensify against Iran as of July.  The Iranian reaction will determine much of what happens this summer, at least as a first step.  What that response will be nobody knows.  Quite possibly it is here where the dominoes will begin to fall.
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