Will Obama pardon Hillary?


If reports of an imminent indictment for Hillary Clinton are true – that is, if we’re not being played by the administration – then Democrats must be immersed in intense, behind-the-scenes maneuvering to avert a disaster or mitigate the fallout.  That surely involves the White House, which may well have the final say on Hillary’s future.  Depending on the extent of the evidence, the administration might be unable to quash an indictment outright without threatening another Saturday Night Massacre, but it might be able to navigate a lesser charge.  With an assist from the president, that could conceivably make an indictment politically survivable.

Obama is already on record in a 60 Minutes interview in October stating that he didn’t believe Clinton’s use of a private email server, though a “mistake,” endangered national security.  “I don’t think it posed a national security problem,” he told Steve Kroft.  “I do think that the way it’s been ginned up is in part because of – in part – because of politics.”

If he feels that way after an indictment, and the indictment is only for email offenses, Obama could pardon Clinton from further prosecution, much as President Clinton pardoned the indicted financier Marc Rich 20 years ago.  He could claim that a pardon was crucial to preserve the election process and therefore necessary for the good of the country.

The political backlash would be tremendous, but that has never bothered the Obama administration.  Its political backlashes never incite media interest for long, and Democrats in general – and Obama and Clinton in particular – write off all criticism as partisan and groundless.  The base might even become energized in support of its beleaguered candidate.  Soon we’d be hearing that it’s time to move on, that the matter had been dealt with and was “in the past.”  Given the Republican reluctance to press the attack against Democrats in national elections – witness McCain and Romney – that might be the end of the scandal.

However, if the indictment were for corruption and not just for email misuse, a pardon becomes problematic and Clinton’s continued political viability much less likely.  Withdrawal still wouldn’t be automatic, not for a Clinton, but the party bosses might mobilize against her, believing her vulnerability too much of a risk.  That could depend on how late in the election cycle an indictment comes.

We were told last week, through an interview with former U.S. attorney Joseph DiGenova and a report on Fox News, that the FBI was widening its investigation to include corruption and possibly other charges.  We are also being assured that the FBI and its director James Comey, an Obama appointee, are impartial and independent.

But could these leaks be setting the stage for a complete exoneration of Clinton?  She could claim, as she already has, that she only made a mistake with the email handling, one that she regrets, and that now the FBI has cleared her of other charges after an exhaustive investigation.  At that point, a pardon cleanses her résumé.
    What effect the outcome of this investigation, let alone a pardon, will have on the public’s trust and faith in America’s justice system is another matter.  For that reason alone, this probe – the latest of many in the careers of the Clintons – will be one of the most politically significant investigations in the history of the republic.  How politicized has our government become?  Is justice still blind?  We’re about to find out.

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    3)

    American Tax Dollars for the Mullahs

    Tehran gets more cash while its U.S. victims get nothing.



    Ali Khamenei congratulated Iran’s diplomats on Tuesday for making the “front of arrogance and bullying”—that would be the U.S.—retreat. Iran’s Supreme Leader has good reason to be happy. Having preserved the core of his nuclear capabilities, his regime is now on the receiving end of a financial windfall.

    Take the financial component of the nuclear accord that took formal effect on Saturday. In addition to lifting most sanctions and releasing more than $100 billion in frozen Iranian assets, the Obama Administration over the weekend agreed to pay the mullahs a separate $1.7 billion to settle an Iranian claim dating to the 1970s.

    That amount includes a $400 million trust fund used by the Shah to purchase American arms before the 1979 Islamic Revolution, plus $1.3 billion in interest. You can argue whether the trust fund properly belongs to the regime that overthrew the Shah, but at least that $400 million was originally Iranian money.

    The $1.3 billion interest payment will come from U.S. taxpayers, which U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry claims “was fixed at a reasonable rate of interest.” Maybe so, but it happens that $1.7 billion is also the amount at issue in a case brought by American victims of Iranian terrorism against the Central Bank of Iran. The plaintiffs include victims and survivors of the 1983 Beirut barracks bombing and the 1996 Khobar Towers bombing, among other Iranian-directed atrocities.

    The victims argue that a statute passed by Congress in 2012 entitles them to use $1.7 billion held by the Iranians in a New York account to satisfy judgments they’ve won against Tehran in U.S. courts. All told, such victims hold $45 billion in civil judgments awarded by American courts over two decades, but they have no way to collect except to attach Iranian assets in U.S. banks.

    The Iranian regime has challenged the constitutionality of the pertinent portion of the 2012 law. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments in the case last week and is expected to rule by June. The Obama Administration argued in favor of the victims. Yet President Obama and Mr. Kerry didn’t press for fair settlements for these victims as part of the nuclear deal and now seem to be pre-emptively reimbursing Tehran for its potential losses from the claims. The State Department told us Wednesday the settlement isn’t connected to the claims of terrorism victims.

    This week also has delivered another diplomatic triumph to Tehran, with the quashing of international arrest warrants for 14 alleged Iranian nuclear proliferators and arms smugglers. These include two figures associated with Mahan Air, an airline that the U.S. alleges helps arm Bashar Assad’s regime in Syria and transports members of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

    The Treasury in September warned that it “will continue to expose Mahan’s front companies, and to remind governments and the private industry in the 24 cities where Mahan continues to fly that they risk exposure to U.S. sanctions.” Yet as research by the Foundation for Defense of Democracies has shown, Mahan planes continue to fly routes from Tehran to destinations in Syria, and the airline acquired nine new aircraft last year. The quashing of an Interpol red notice for Mahan’s CEO belies Treasury’s promise.

    Mr. Obama has repeatedly assured Congress and American allies in the Middle East that his nuclear deal wouldn’t foreclose the U.S. from punishing Iranian terrorism and regional aggression. Mr. Khamenei will conclude otherwise after the American President’s most recent concessions.
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    4)

    The Many Contradictions of Hillary Clinton

    By Victor Hanson

    Hillary Clinton recently said she would go after offshore tax "schemes" in the Caribbean. That is a worthy endeavor, given the loss of billions of dollars in U.S. tax revenue.

    Yet her husband, Bill Clinton, reportedly made $10 million as an advisor and an occasional partner in the Yucaipa Global Partnership, a fund registered in the Cayman Islands.
    Is Ms. Clinton's implicit argument that she knows offshore tax dodging is unethical because her family has benefitted from it? Does she plan to return millions of dollars of her family's offshore-generated income?
    Clinton is calling for "huge campaign finance reform," apparently to end the excessive and often pernicious role of big money in politics. But no candidate, Republican or Democrat, raised more than the $112 million that Clinton collected in 2015 for her primary campaign.
    In 2013, Clinton earned nearly $1.6 million in speaking fees from Wall Street banks. She raked in $675,000 from Goldman Sachs, and $225,000 apiece from Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley and UBS Wealth Management. Did that profiteering finally make Clinton sour on Wall Street's pay-for-play ethics?
    Clinton has also vowed to raise taxes on hedge fund managers. Is that a way of expressing displeasure with her son-in-law, Marc Mezvinsky, who operates a $400 million hedge fund?
    For that matter, how did Clinton's daughter, Chelsea, who worked for a consulting firm and a hedge fund despite having no background in finance -- reportedly become worth an estimated $15 million?
    Hillary Clinton recently proposed a new $350 billion government plan to make college more affordable. Certainly, universities spike tuition costs, and student-loan debt has surpassed $1 trillion. Colleges spend money indiscriminately, mostly because they know that the federal government will always back student loans.
    Yet, since she left office, Clinton routinely has charged universities $200,000 or more for her brief 30-minute chats. Her half-hour fee is roughly equal to the annual public-university tuition cost for eight students.
    It's been said that Clinton is trying to rekindle President Obama's 2012 allegations of a Republican "war on women." That charge and the war against the "1 percent" helped deliver key states to Obama. Renewing that theme, Clinton recently declared on Twitter, "Every survivor of sexual assault deserves to be heard, believed, and supported."
    Does Clinton's spirited advocacy of "every" survivor include the array of women who have accused Bill Clinton of sexual misconduct? In other words, does Hillary now trust the testimonies of survivors such as Juanita Broaddrick, Kathleen Willey and Paula Jones, whose allegations must be "believed and supported?"
    Ms. Clinton has also called for more financial transparency and greater accountability in general -- something needed after scandals at government agencies such as the IRS, VA and GSA. But Clinton's use of a private email server probably violated several federal laws. Her laxity with confidential communications was arguably more egregious than that of Gen. David Petraeus, a national icon who pleaded guilty to mishandling classified materials.
    Perhaps Clinton assumes that the electorate is still in the ethical world of the 1990s. Back then, it was somewhat easier to dampen scandals -- at least the ones that didn't involve sex in the White House. But in the age of social media, 24-hour cable TV, instantaneous blogging and a different public attitude toward political corruption and sexual assault, Hillary Clinton now appears to be caught in the wrong century.
    Womanizing and sexual coercion can no longer be so easily dismissed. The financial antics of the Clinton Foundation don't past muster amid populist anger at the global profiteering of billionaires. In age of instant Google searches, railing against big money no longer squares with making and enjoying it.
    Ms. Clinton at times tries to offset scandals by her pointing to her record as secretary of state. But few believe that her handling of Russia, Iran, China, Benghazi or Islamic terrorism made the world calmer or America more secure.
    In debates, Clinton points to her support of Obama's agenda. But the president currently has an approval rating of 46 percent. If the country is in dire need of Clinton's suggested remedies, were the past eight years too short a time to see similar reforms enacted under Obama?
    All this confusion raises the question of whether Hillary Clinton is running to complete Bill Clinton's third term, running to cement Barack Obama's legacy -- or running against her prior self.
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