Tuesday, December 29, 2015

R's Born to Lose, Even To A Loser?




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As long as our president is elected by the Electoral College and not the raw vote, odds continue to favor Demwits.  To offset this built in advantage, Gerrymandering has helped Republicans win and control Congress.  If this dichotomy continues ,we are likely to have divided government and the ship of state will continue to take on water, list and eventually sink as we elect more Obama types.

Hillarious benefits from this structural fact and thus, Republicans must nominate a candidate who can gain favor among the Latino population because the more Conservative Caucasian vote is declining and is not always dependable when it comes to going to the polls.

Trump may be the Party's Nominee but he is unlikely to win the necessary core number needed among Hispanics so Hillarious appears favored unless she is indicted, as she deserves to be.

Cruz is Cuban but Hispanics seem unenthused about him because he too is hard nosed on the immigration issue and, like Trump, has appeal among the very conservative of his party but turns off the Rockefeller Establishment types. So I suspect  Hillarious has the edge over Cruz, unless she is indicted etc..

There is no reason under the sun why Hillarious should win but the electoral odds favor her notwithstanding the fact that she is an unmitigated liar, is distrusted, is not likable and has no legitimate record of achievements.

Add to this, Obama's declining popularity, is no longer trusted and you would think, since Hillarious was his Sec. of State and implemented Obama's foreign policies which have proven disastrous and remains married to a man of questionable character who besmirched the Oval Office , this would preclude her from becoming president.

Then why do most pundits still believe Hillarious wins since most Demwit policies have proven miserable and costly failures? Part of the reason is the Electoral College favors large states whose citizens depend upon government benefits and other destructive welfare  policies which have supplanted opportunity and personal dignity.

The second reason is that liberals are emotional and are turned on by social issues which have come to be the tail wagging the dog.

A third reason is liberals feel good about themselves for embracing political correctness and cannot conceive aligning themselves with "heartless" conservatives who favor birth, bibles, guns , Pledge of Allegiance and freedom etc..

The conservative message, which embodies respect for the Constitution, adherence to laws, patriotism, sacrifice and respect for one's fellow "man," should sell. However, conservatives , like Israelis, lost the propaganda battle, for different reasons, eons ago. Until R's repackage their message and sell it in a more effective and technologically savvy way they will continue fighting an uphill battle.

This is why Republicans find it difficult nominating a president who appeals to their core conservative values and principles but feel compelled to go with bland half loafs, aka Dewey, Ford, Rockefeller, Dole, McCain and Romney. Not one of these candidates knew how to fight a politically astute battle because, though they all had some core principles, they proved they were always ready to compromise them away. What is there left to sell when you are not willing to die for it, so to speak?

Watching Republicans struggle over selecting a candidate from among a host of generally competent candidates to run against a thoroughly disreputable loser named Hillarious, is indeed sad but  history has proven  Republicans are better at losing than winning.

Once again R's seem to be proceeding in a fashion that should not reverse this trend. Are they just born to lose, even to a loser? (See 1 and 1a below)
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Dick
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1)
Are House Republicans Finally Growing a Backbone?
It seems that way. In a stunning move, the House plans to vote on a bill that would defund Obamacare. Via Townhall:
Before the holidays, the Senate passed a reconciliation bill that guts key portions of Obamacare and defunds Planned Parenthood for a year. The use of the legislative tactic was discussed during the 2015 GOP Retreat in Hershey, PA last January. The Republican leadership finally got their act together and began drafting a bill by the fall of 2015; Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) promising the Senate would take up the measure as soon as it passes the House. This piece of budget reconciliation legislation, which only requires a simple majority to pass, easily cruised through the House (240-189), and went onto the Senate, where they did pass it by a 52-47 vote. The Senate version was different, so now it goes back to House, where this business is set to be settled as soon as members of Congress return from their holiday break (via The Hill):
This is great news. Due in part to President Obama's myriad foreign policy failures, the disaster that is Obamacare has managed to stay out of the news. This is bad for Republicans, who need to a domestic policy angle to bash Hillary Clinton with. By forcing Obama, and perhaps Hillary, to defend his signature legislation right before the State of the Union, they'll remind the American public just how bad healthcare has deteriorated.

The key here is formulating a plan. Republicans need a well drawn healthcare plan to take to the American people to suggest that they're not just bomb throwers. If they can convince the American public that their health care is in good, safe hands with the GOP, it should be smooth sailing to the White House. 

1a  The Way We Were in 2015 - THE WEEK magazine,

How are we feeling?
Pretty dismal. 69% of Americans think the nation is on the wrong track, the most pessimistic we’ve been in four years, and 72% believe the country isn’t as great as it once was (Bloomberg Politics). 59% believe the economy is doing poorly (CNN/ORC), with 47% saying their family is scraping by, making only enough to pay bills and obligations. 19% say they can’t afford some basic expenses (NBC News). 61% believe the American Dream is broken and that only the wealthiest can now get ahead (The New York Times/CBS News), and 56% believe most children in the U.S. will grow up to be worse off than their parents (NBC News). But despite our troubles, we’re still proud of our country. 40% think the U.S. is the greatest nation on earth, while another 34% say it’s “among” the best.
Whom do we blame for our problems?
Washington politicians, mostly. 54% don’t like President Obama’s handling of the economy, and 59% think he’s dealt poorly with foreign policy. We’re also not that keen on government’s other branches: A record 50% disapprove of the Supreme Court’s recent actions, and 86% have an unfavorable opinion of Congress (Gallup). Indeed, 55% think “ordinary Americans” could do a better job of dealing with the nation’s woes than our current elected officials (Pew Research Center). 50% of Pennsylvanians would rather be represented by the groundhog Punxsutawney Phil than by their current members of Congress (Public Policy Polling).
How has society changed?
In some ways, we’re more accepting. A record 61% now support same-sex marriage (Washington Post/ABC News), 61% say it’s morally acceptable to have a baby out of wedlock, and 58% think marijuana use should be legal (Gallup). But religious intolerance is rising: 57%don’t like the idea of a Muslim becoming president (HuffPost/YouGov), and 56% believe Islam isn’t compatible with traditional American values—up from 47% in 2011 (Public Religion Research Institute). Our growing reliance on technology troubles many Americans. 73%believe our smartphones and other gadgets are making us lazy, 59% say they have a negative effect on literacy, and 69% think those devices are ruining interpersonal communication (Harris Poll). They could be right: 36% say they “constantly” check their smartphone, and 35%admit their phone is the first thing on their mind when they wake up (Braun Research).
What do we do for fun?
Kick back and watch a football game. 50% of Americans follow the NFL, more than keep up with any other pro sport (Mintel). For a lot of fans, watching sports is a religious experience.26% believe God plays a role in deciding which team will win a game, and 53% say the Almighty rewards athletes who have faith with good health and success (Public Religion Research Institute). Despite our love of sports on TV, 28% of Americans say they didn’t engage in any exercise or physical activity over the past year—the highest percentage since 2007 (Physical Activity Council).
What are we afraid of?
A lot. 83% of voters fear there’ll be a large-scale terrorist attack in the U.S. in the near future (Washington Post/ABC News), and 60% think it’s likely that terrorists are living in their hometown (Fox News). 63% are worried that they or an acquaintance could be a victim of gun violence (McClatchy/Marist), and 40% personally know someone who was fatally shot or committed suicide with a firearm (HuffPost/YouGov). 45% fear that the federal government could use a military exercise to covertly seize control of some states (Rasmussen), and 44%think machines with artificial intelligence could wipe out the human race (Monmouth University Poll). Sadly, many Americans can’t even shake off their worries and relax at the beach—38% are afraid a shark will eat them when they take a dip in the ocean (Ipsos).
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