Tuesday, December 7, 2021

IAF Strikes Syrian Port. Why? Can't Fix Stupid. Energy Transportation Statistics. Host Of Meaningful Op Eds.

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The IAF strikes Syrian Port and why.


Alleged Israeli airstrike targets Latakia port in Syria - report

Anna Ahronheim contributed to this report.

Photos reportedly from the scene showed what appeared to be a fire that had broken out at the port due to the alleged airstrikes.

Syrian air defenses responded to an alleged Israeli airstrike targeting the Latakia port in northwestern Syria on Monday night, according to the Syrian state news agency SANA.

Photos reportedly from the scene showed what appeared to be a fire that had broken out at the port amid shipping containers due to the alleged airstrikes.

A military source told SANA that Israeli aircraft fired several missiles from the direction of the Mediterranean towards the container yard at the commercial port in Latakia. A number of shipping containers caught on fire due to the airstrike and no casualties were caused, according to SANA.

The Latakia area is a stronghold for Russian forces in Syria, with the Russian Khmeimim Air Base located near Latakia.

In 2018, 14 Russian soldiers were killed when a Russian military aircraft was downed by a Syrian air defense missile during alleged Israeli airstrikes near Latakia. Russia expressed outrage at Israel at the time, largely blaming it for the incident.

Earlier this week, Syrian Foreign Minister Faisal Mekdad warned that Israel would respond to Israeli airstrikes against Syria, saying that such attacks "could not go unanswered."

The last alleged Israeli airstrike which targeted sites in Syria was reported about two weeks ago, when at least four people were killed in strikes targeting sites belonging to Hezbollah in the Homs Governorate in western Syria.

A number of additional airstrikes blamed on Israel targeted Syria throughout November.

Over the past year, while Israeli strikes have intensified in Syria, the response time by Syrian air defense batteries has become quicker, leading the Israel Air Force to change how it acts during such operations – including by having larger formations so that more targets can be struck at once during an operation instead of having jets return to the same target.

Iran has begun deploying advanced anti-aircraft missile batteries to the region in an attempt to challenge Israeli jets.

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Why an airstrike on Syria's Latakia Port matters – analysis

Reports of an airstrike in Syria’s Latakia could be a major shift and gamechanger as the port is a sensitive area and key to the Syrian regime as well as its backers in Moscow.

First of all the reports of an airstrike and the fact that Syrian air defenses were activated in the area are rare events. Syrian regime media SANA reported on the strikes and claimed shipping containers were targeted. Based on foreign accounts the importance of this incident can be examined and contextualized.  

Tony Badran, an expert on the region and a Research Fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, tweeted “if confirmed that this was an Israeli strike on Latakia port, it would be somewhat significant news. In July 2013, the Israelis reportedly struck a shipment of Yakhont missiles there, and again in October they struck other missiles meant for Hezbollah.”

Video from the area appeared to show a fire caused by the incident. An account online by Yoruk Isik, who is known as an expert and observer of maritime issues in Turkey, wrote that a ship of interest “sanctioned by the US Treasury for providing logistical services to Iran Ministry of Defense and Armed Forces, Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines’ Iran flag container ship Artabaz transited Bosphorus towards BlackSea en route from Bandar Abbas and Latakia to Constanta.”

He writes that the strike area matches an area where this ship unloaded containers in late November. It was not possible to confirm this but is part of the wider speculation about what happened at Latakia port. 

The airstrike comes as Syria’s foreign minister was concluding a visit to Iran and the UAE’s National Security Advisor had just been in Iran. Press reports in the region had scant details.

No Iranian media covered the attack in the morning, hours after it happened. Russia’s TASS state media did not have a report. Al-Ain media in the Gulf reported only that Syria had claimed it repelled “an Israeli attack.”

Al-Mayadeen media, which is generally sympathetic to Iran, Syria, and Hezbollah, had a more extensive report. It said sounds of explosions could be heard across the city. “Violent” explosions were heard around 1:32 am.

“A military source said in a statement to SANA that at around 1.32 a.m. today, the Israeli enemy carried out an air attack with several missiles from the direction of the Mediterranean, southwest of Latakia, targeting the container yard in the commercial port of Latakia.” 

The source said commercial containers were harmed. Latakia Governor Amer Ismail Hilal told SANA that "the firefighting teams were able to put out the fires that broke out in the port's container yard as a result of the Israeli aggression and are currently working to cool the site." 

Al-Mayadeen said that “Preliminary information about the Israeli attack indicates that the aggression was carried out through Israeli missiles launched from off the Syrian coast, within the territorial waters, targeting a dock containing a number of containers inside the port of Latakia city.”

Acording to this report, the Russians at Khmeimim airbase nearby had “announced that [they] had monitored ten bombing attacks by Jabhat al-Nusra elements in the Idlib region of the de-escalation zones in the northwest of the country.”

It wasn’t clear why this report was. intermingled with the report about Latakia, except to paint a picture of alleged coordination and connection between the two.

The report also claimed that the last airstrike was on November 24th when several soldiers were killed in Syria. “A few days earlier, the Syrian air defenses responded to missile aggression launched by Israeli planes from the direction of the occupied Syrian Golan, targeting an empty building south of Damascus. One of the hostile missiles was shot down.” 

The airstrike reports come amid other tensions in the region. Iranian-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen targeted Saudi Arabia’s capital on December 6 and Saudi air defenses were actively repelling the attack.  

Russia monitors closely what happens in Latakia. In October Russia said that “militants from Syria’s Idlib de-escalation zone have opened fire several times on populated localities in Latakia and Aleppo over the past 24 hours,” Lieutenant General Vladimir Savchenko, the chief of the Russian center for reconciliation of conflicting sides in Syria, told reporters. 

In February 2020 TASS media in Russia said that “Syria’s missile defense forces are intercepting aerial targets near Jebla, a town close to the seaport of Latakia, the country’s state-run Suraya TV reported on Wednesday. Russia’s Hmeymim airbase is located not far from Jebla.”

This is important because it notes the proximity and importance the area has to Russia. Russia has accused extremist groups in Idlib of using drones to target the Russian base. “On February 1, 2020 airspace control equipment of the Russian base detected a cluster air target of UAVs, launched from the militants-controlled territory of the Idlib de-escalation zone.

The Russian reconciliation center later reported that ‘the base’s electronic warfare systems took over control of the UAVs and knocked them down by jamming their command-and-control systems.’” 

This shows that Russia has sophisticated air defenses in this area. Syria also has air defenses. In September 2018 a Russian Il-20 plane "disappeared during an attack by four Israeli F-16 jets on Syrian facilities in Latakia province,” TASS reported at the time.

Syrian air defense shot down the plane, claiming to be responding to an Israeli attack, but Russia pointed fingers at Israel for causing the dangerous situation.

Israel expressed sorrow at the time for the incident. An ammunition warehouse was allegedly struck, according to an ImageSat International analysis published in 2018. Later Russia said it would improve Syria’s air defenses. In 2018 CNN reported this as a potential “blow to Israel.”

However not much appeared to happen and Syrian air defense continued to fire wildly, sending an S-200 toward Cyprus and also toward southern Israel over the last two years. In July 2021 Russian Rear Admiral Vadim Kulit claimed Israeli F-16s struck an area in Homs province, and he made more claims in October.

According to Paul Iddon at Forbes, these reports raised eyebrows because they appeared to highlight new capabilities of Syrian air defenses.  

It’s important to understand the layout of this area. Russia’s Khmeimim airbase, a center of operations for Russia, is only 25km from Latakia port. It is also around 50km from the Tartus naval facility that Russia maintains on the coast. From Tartus to Latakia port is around 85km or an hour drive.

What that means is that this is a small area. Air defenses in this area may range from some 250km with the S-300 to 150km for the S-200 or shorter ranges with the BUK out to some 20km and the Pantsir, which has a range of 12km. According to reports Russia’s S-300 was deployed to Tartus years ago and the S-400 to Syria in 2015. These are sophisticated systems with long-range radar.  

Previous reports indicated that Iran has sought to move advanced air defenses to Syria as well. In April 2018 Iran sought to move its 3rd Khordad system to T-4 airbase near Palmyra. The system was reportedly destroyed in an airstrike that month.

A report at Alma Research and Education Center by Yaakov Lappin noted on November 16 “Iran is attempting to smuggle its surface-to-air missile (SAM) system into Syria, as part of its ongoing efforts to entrench itself militarily in the country and turn it into a war front against Israel.”

Overall the context is then clear. A very rare incident occurred in Latakia. This is a very sensitive area near Russian forces in Khemeimim and Tartus. So far there has been no major media response in Iran or Russia, the two backers of the Syrian regime.

In the past, there has been controversy over airstrikes and incidents in this region. The explosions heard in the area can be attributed to air defense interceptions, secondary explosions of munitions in containers, or the airstrikes themselves.

Time will tell if satellite photos and open source information gatherers provide more clues as to what happened, or if regional media provide more reports.

The Syrian regime may appear to be humiliated after its foreign minister told Iranian counterparts on Monday it would respond to this kind of aggression. This may also ruffle feathers from Moscow to other states in the region that want the Syrian regime to be more stable and able to control its airspace.  

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This seems to be the period of blame shift by Biden.  First he attacked the press for being tougher on him than Trump and now he blames the oil industry for his ill-conceived ideas:




You can't fix "stupid"

And:

Biden's lies keep mounting:




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Sent by a friend and fellow memo reader:

For those who remember Russell Brand as a wacky British comedian, he is actually an extremely intelligent analyst of the current condition of our civilization. In his interview with Edward Snowden in the following link, we are taken to the many layers and tentacles of the global ruling classes and their lackeys that have perpetrated and will continue to perpetrate a snare on free peoples. Some might say it is  death by 1000 cuts. That may be true; but it may also be true that it’s far fewer cuts than than that.

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What you will not get from the mass media , the Biden Administration or Greens


 Pipelines vs. Trains vs. Cargo Ships
 
Someone with a sharp mind and the capacity to do a little research spent time putting some numbers together:
 
1 Train has 100 cars, 2 engines and weighs 27,240,000 LBS
 
1 Train carries 3,000,000 gallons of oil.
 
1 train uses 55.5 gallons of diesel per mile.
 
It takes 119,000 gallons of diesel to go 2150 miles from Hardidsy, AB to Freeport, TX.
 
Keystone pipeline was to deliver 34,860,000 gallons of oil per day.
 
It would take 12 trains and 1,428,000 gallons of diesel to deliver that amount. PER DAY!
 
521,220,000 gallons of diesel per year.
 
The oil will still go to market with or without the pipeline.
 
By stopping the pipeline billions of gallons of diesel will be wasted and pollute needlessly. Does that make you feel good?
 
Stop the Tar Sands all together? Then we must ship the oil from the overseas sandbox.
 
1 large oil tanker can haul 120,000,000 gallons of oil
 
1 boat takes 15 days to float across the Atlantic.
 
1 boat uses 63,000 gallons of fuel PER DAY, that is about 1 million gallons of the most polluting type fuel in the world PER TRIP.*(See below) 
 
Or take 3.5 days of Keystone Pipeline to move the same amount of oil with a fraction of the pollution.
 
In international waters ship emissions remains one of the least regulated parts of our global transportation system. The fuel used in ships is waste oil, basically what is left over after the crude oil refining process. It is the same as asphalt and is so thick that when cold it can be walked upon . It's the cheapest and most polluting fuel available and the world's 90,000 ships chew through an astonishing 7.29 million barrels of it each day, or more than 84% of all exported oil production from Saudi Arabia.
 
Shipping is by far the biggest transport polluter in the world.There are 760 million cars in the world today emitting approx 78,599 tons of Sulfur Oxides (SOx) annually. The world's 90,000 vessels burn approx 370 million tons of fuel per year emitting 20 million tons of Sulfur Oxides. That equates to 260 times more Sulfur Oxides being emitted by ships than the worlds entire car fleet. One large ship alone can generate approx 5,200 tones of sulfur oxide pollution in a year, meaning that 15 of the largest ships now emit as much SOx as the worlds 760 million cars
 
Eliminate all gas consuming cars and diesel vehicles?
 
Worldwide car gas consumption is 403,583,712,000 gallons a year. That's billion.
 
Worldwide oil consumption is 1,500,000,000,000 gallons a year. That's trillion.
 
It takes 2.15 gallons of oil to make 1 gallon of gasoline/petrol, and 06 gal of diesel.
 
So it takes 867,704,980,800 gallons of oil to run the worlds cars, most diesel vehicles for a year and some ships
 
That leaves 632,295,019,200 gallons of oil for other uses.
Passenger vehicles are only a very small percentage of the problem. If emissions are the problem why not just capture them at the exhaust? Create an industry to clean exhaust instead of crushing an entire industry and building a complete untested, replacement industry?
 
So are we willing to dramatically increase mining to get all the minerals necessary to make all these batteries and electric motors?   Mining is far worse for the environment than oil extraction.
Killing Keystone was glibly decided by emotional idiots without brains! Destructive idiots who are fooling America to boost their standing with Foreign paymasters.
THAT DOESN’T WORK FOR REAL AMERICANS!
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Interesting op eds:

The luxury of having no rival in the world induced the United States into the first bout of self-hate in its history. We are now faced with navigating reality under such conditions.

By Conrad Black, AM GREATNESS

A vacuum was created 30 years ago by the peaceful collapse of both the Imperial Russian state constructed over centuries from Peter the Great to Stalin, and the Bolshevik dictatorship of the Soviet Union that was purporting to perfect Marxism and spread it to a yearning and grateful world. That vacuum has been filled by China, assisted at least tentatively by selected opportunistic allies. So thorough, sudden, and bloodless was the American-led triumph over the Soviet Union, that it has required 30 years for a serious replacement challenge to the West to emerge.

At the end of World War I, when Germany effectively surrendered but was not occupied, the supreme Allied commander, France’s Marshal Foch, correctly described the 1919 Treaty of Versailles as “a 20-year armistice.”

Read more...

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Is Israel-Iran War Inevitable

By  Mordechai Ben-Menachem    7  December 2021

The Biden Mal-Administration is occupied to foment war in the Horn of Africa.  They also press to foment war between Morocco and Algeria.  And most important to them, the Maladroit team has been assiduously working to cause war between Israel and Iran. 

What is going on, really?

The Biden Team is as inefficient at fomenting conflict as they have been in managing the economy and Covid-19.

Read more...

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A Large Number Of Small Things: A Porcupine Strategy For Taiwan
by James TimbieAdmiral James O. Ellis Jr. via Texas National Security Review

As China’s rhetoric about “reunification” with Taiwan and the military’s gray-zone activities intensify, Taiwan should adopt a strategy that includes a large number of small things in order to leverage Taiwan’s geographic and technological advantages, exploit the People’s Liberation Army’s vulnerabilities, and help to deter an attempt to take the island by force

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Q&A: Hoover Senior Fellows David Brady And Morris Fiorina On Trump, Populism, And The Future Of The Republican Party
via Questions & Answers

Hoover senior fellows David Brady, Morris Fiorina, and Douglas Rivers have authored a new report on the future of the Republican Party. In this Q&A, Brady and Fiorina detail where the Republican and Democratic parties have each stood historically on various policy issues beginning in the mid-1960s. Since that period, the parties have become increasingly polarized to an extent that today elected officials rarely share positions on major issues with their colleagues on the other side of the political aisle.

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Does Government Debt Matter Anymore?
by John H. Cochrane via PolicyEd

While proponents of deficit spending argue that increased economic growth will offset increasing government debt, it is much more likely that greater spending will lead to slashed benefits, higher inflation, and an overall weaker economy.

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