Voters thought they were trading bad tasting fruit and wound up with poison meat.
We all knew Biden was a little bit…umm…out there.
But no one thought he’d be crazy enough to try this.
Turns out, he is just that crazy.
And the bill is now going through Congress.
This could impact America in a way we’ve never seen before.
And not in a good way.
In a scary way.
Click here to find out what’s happening.
You’ll be glad you did.
Regards,
Roberto Rodriguez
Sr. Client Services, Palm Beach Research Group
Robert Kaufman on Conservative Versus Liberal Approaches to the Middle East
Robert Kaufman, Robert and Katheryn Dockson Professor of Public Policy at Pepperdine University, is a political scientist specializing in American foreign policy, national security, international relations, and other aspects of American politics. He spoke to a February 18 Middle East Forum Webinar (video) hosted by Clifford Smith, director of the Middle East Forum's Washington Project, about conservative and liberal approaches to the Middle East in the past and their impact on future policies.
According to Kaufman, "both parties had a pro-Israel element before 1968," although at the time, he noted, the Republican party had more reservations about aligning with Israel than the Democratic party. That has changed "substantially," with "inflection points" occurring during the Reagan and Carter administrations. Currently, the new meaning for "liberal" and "conservative" is such that the Republican party is increasingly pro-Israel, while the Democrats are increasingly anti-Israel.
Under the George W. Bush administration, the Republican Party's consensus view on Middle East policy that emerged was that "enemy number one is Iran, and the most reliable partner is Israel." In contrast, the Obama administration pursued a nuclear deal with Iran in a "misguided strategy," while crafting its foreign policy in the belief that the major problem in the Middle East was the Arab-Israeli conflict. The progressive wing of the Democratic party has pulled the party further to the left, casting blame on Israel and influencing domestic energy policy, which has a major impact on the party's Middle East policy.
Democratic strategy on energy has "no logic other than blind ideology in sacrificing energy independence on multiple fronts." |
Under the Trump administration, the Republicans endorsed "unleashing the free market," which put the U.S. on track to being "a world's energy superpower." That contrasts sharply with the Biden administration, which returned to Obama's policies in prioritizing "the Green New Deal and climate change." Kaufman characterized the Biden administration's eagerness to re-enter the nuclear deal with Iran as "Obama 2.0." He said that Biden has empowered and emboldened both Russia's Putin and the Iranian mullahs by "filling [their] coffers" and making America once again dependent on "Middle Eastern regimes." The Democratic strategy, according to Kaufman, is one of "no logic other than blind ideology in sacrificing energy independence on multiple fronts."
In response to Smith's question about the complexities of dealing with "dictatorships and double standards" that operate in the Middle East, Kaufman noted Jeane Kirkpatrick's position: "When there is not a viable, democratic alternative" – admittedly a rarity in the Middle East – "an authoritarian regime that is pro-American, or at least not anti-American, is the lesser moral and geopolitical evil." Kaufman believes this is the most advantageous approach for American policy in the Middle East, because "these regimes have the capacity to reform," as did South Korea and Taiwan. While the Bush doctrine to transform the Middle East into democracies "proved to be a bridge too far" given the lack of U.S. political will, Kaufman contrasted that with Obama administration's "misguided" policy toward Egypt. That approach misread the Muslim Brotherhood, and Kaufman said he wasn't sure Obama "cared whether the election in Egypt that yielded the Muslim Brotherhood was like Nazi Germany in 1932" in having "one election for one time for the purpose of eliminating elections forevermore."
The Abraham Accords achieved under the Trump administration support Kaufman's endorsement of the "lesser evil" as the more appropriate approach to the Middle East, with "Saudi Arabia ... the lesser evil to Iran," given the Kingdom's "rapprochement" with Israel. John F. Kennedy expressed a similar view when he said about the Dominican Republic that "democracy was his first choice, but he would take a dictator if the more likely outcome of the choice before him was the third choice of the anti-American Soviet totalitarian." That same logic applies, he added, to the Middle East "with greater salience probably than any other region in the word."
In prioritizing Israel as America's ally, Trump "called the bluff of generations of Arabs" and the region "adjusted to the reality" of Israel's existence. |
Trump's diplomacy in the Middle East is a "fundamental distinction that emanates from Reagan," although Reagan "did not bring it to full fruition." Trump "abandoned the idea of a disinterested mediator." By prioritizing Israel as an American ally, Trump "called the bluff of generations of Arabs, who warn that if you move the capital to Jerusalem, if you didn't focus on the Palestinians as the key variable of stability, you'd have absolute chaos."
Instead, the reverse happened: "By taking Jerusalem off the table," the region "adjusted to the reality." Kaufman called Trump's move of the embassy to Jerusalem a "reverse inflection point," the "opposite of Obama's cave-in" on Syria and Biden's "cave-in" on Afghanistan. By keeping his campaign promise, "Trump sent a signal – and a salutary one – to the rest of the world that he meant what he said and said what he meant." The beneficial consequences of moving the embassy extended well beyond the Mideast, Kaufman said. Putin did not make the move on Ukraine under Trump that he is poised to make under Biden, and China did not intimidate Taiwan by violating its airspace under Trump. In contrast, the "Obama-Biden cave-ins had negative repercussions, not just regionally, but globally."
Turning to Turkey, Kaufman recalled that Obama called Erdoğan his "favorite leader" and began his "infamous apology tour" in Turkey. When he took office, Obama believed "the fundamental problem in the world" was "the Arrogance of American Power." This explains his administration's soft policies toward Iran, Russia, and China, which rested on the conviction that we and our allies "had been the problem." The Biden administration is following Obama's approach, which Kaufman said "was delusional then and delusional now."
Kaufman is skeptical that the Biden administration will follow through with its tough stance, believing that "if there's teeth to the democratic disdain for Turkey," it's "more rhetorical than real." He sees Trump's Turkish policy as "one of the deficiencies of his otherwise relatively successful policy in the Middle East, compared to his predecessor." Trump "downplayed the significance of the regime type and ideology to an excessive extent," seeing the nation as a "counterweight" rather than grasping that "it's an adversary," "no longer an ally," and does not belong in NATO.
Kaufman worries about the "quasi-isolationist" faction of the GOP and its "sanguine assumption that history is demolished." |
Even though Kaufman sees the Republican party as the "healthier of the two parties when it comes to conservative internationalism in general and applied to the Middle East [in particular]," he is concerned about a faction in the party that is "quasi-isolationist." He maintains that it is dangerous to assume that in lieu of "America's global responsibility," the Europeans or East Asians will form "an effective counterbalancing coalition." Kaufman believes both Republicans and, to a greater degree, Democrats, are ignoring what he calls "inflection points" that in the past "have aroused us from our slumber."
That slumber is self-evident to our enemies, says Kaufman, who see that "we can't defend our borders," that our cities are "descending into Hobbesian chaos," that we've "sacrificed being an energy superpower" and cut our defense budget.
With the absence of Democrats like "Scoop Jackson, Pat Moynihan, 'Fritz' Hollings," who the past formed "an effective bipartisan consensus," Kaufman does not see a "corrective mechanism" within the party's leadership. He hopes that, given three more years of Biden, the Republicans can regain control of Congress this November, and that the "Republican party [will] galvanize us to the urgency of conservative internationalism with all its implications."
Marilyn Stern is communications coordinator at the Middle East Forum.
++++++++++++++++++++++++
Hoover Daily:
Putin Misunderstands History. So, Unfortunately, Does The U.S.
by Niall Ferguson via Bloomberg
Biden is making a colossal mistake in thinking he can bleed Russia dry, topple Putin and signal to China to keep its hands off Taiwan.
+++
Pennsylvania US Senate race has an emerging Front Runner
By Salena Zito
BUTLER, PENN. — David McCormick starts most days talking to strangers before the sun is barely up. Gifted with a broad smile, vigorous handshake and sharp wit, people rarely turn him away when he tells them he is running for US Senate.
McCormick, who entered the race for Pennsylvania’s open Senate seat in mid-January, has shot from mere unknown to the top of the polls by traveling across the state in his charcoal pickup truck, meeting voters in every single county.
Click here for the full story.
+++++++++++++
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Russia launched hypersonic missiles due to a low stockpile, sources say
BY ALEXANDER WARD
This handout photo provided by the U.S. Navy shows a common hypersonic glide body launching from the Pacific Missile Range Facility, in Kauai, Hawaii, March 19, 2020, during a Department of Defense flight experiment. | Luke Lamborn/U.S. Navy via AP
The leading theory for why Russia launched hypersonic missiles into Ukraine last week is that it’s running out of precision-guided weapons to strike faraway targets, a senior U.S. defense official and a Western official familiar with assessments told POLITICO.
Russia said it shot Kh-47M2 Kinzhal hypersonic missiles at a weapons depot in western Ukraine on Friday, though it remains unclear if that was actually the target. Still, President Joe Biden confirmed Russia’s use of the weapons Monday, stating the Russian military launched them “because it’s the only thing that they can get through with absolute certainty.”
That was the first known use of hypersonic missiles in war. Those weapons, which Russian President Vladimir Putin announced he was adding to his arsenal in 2018, survive atmospheric conditions at very high speeds and move in flight, making them extremely hard to shoot down.
The best explanation Western governments have for Putin's reach for the hypersonic missiles is that his stockpile is low after launching more than 1,100 missiles into Ukraine since Feb. 24, leaving it with fewer weapons to reliably hit positions deep in the country.
“We think that could be one reason,” the senior U.S. defense official told POLITICO. “They’re running out of material,” said the Western official. Both spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive development.
There are other theories the two people noted, namely Russia seeking leverage at the negotiating table with Ukraine, the Kremlin messaging to the West not to interfere any further and, as Biden suggested, growing frustrations with the success of Ukraine’s air and missile defenses. “As all things with Russia, they could be signaling all of this even if the main reason they used the hypersonic weapon was because they had little else to shoot,” the Western official said.
Speaking Sunday on CBS News’ “Face the Nation” news show, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said Russia opted for the hypersonic missiles to gain momentum in its bumbling invasion. But he also hinted at another potential reason: A lack of available weaponry. “You kind of question why he would do this. Is he running low on precision-guided munitions?” Austin said.
As allies share information about the Russian attack — including where, precisely, the missiles hit — the answer to Austin’s hypothetical question appears to be “yes.”
“It’s really a significant sign of weakness,” the Western official said. “You only fire this thing if you’re desperate.”
The expectation is that Russia won’t launch many hypersonic missiles in the near term since they don’t have a lot of them. Instead, Moscow will likely drop more “dumb” bombs in the weeks ahead — almost certainly leading to more civilian casualties around Ukraine.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
No comments:
Post a Comment