|
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Illegal Immigration It's About Power - YouTube
And:
BDS bill debate is about anti-Semitism, not speech - Jonathan Tobin
http://www.jewishworldreview.
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There was a period when brilliant minds were capable of equally brilliant insults. Now, it seems, female idiots are leading the parade and they also happen to be Democrat House members. (See 2 and 2a below.)
Like all progressive radicals, they are full of heartfelt ideas but have no idea how to pay for them. (See 2b below.)
While I am on the subject of insults, let's take a shot at California whose new governor is prepared to spend whatever it takes to wreck the state causing more residents to flee. (See 3 below.)
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This from a dear New Englander friend and fellow memo reader whose family have been in this country for centuries and one of his close relatives served in FDR's Cabinet. (See 4 below.)
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Investigating Trump and his family becomes a Democrat priority. More piling on by petulant Demwits. (See 5 below.)
And:
Just the first day. (See 5a below.)
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While I was waiting for a new computer I had some random musings on several subjects. (See 6 below.)
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Is there a real opportunity to bring Israel and The Saudis together because of the threat from Iran? (See 7 below.)
And:
Will Bibi win? My friend and fellow memo reader gives us his thinking. (See 7a below.)
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As Democrats swing to the radical left and the Governor of California and Mayor of New York promise to give away the store, my hope is they will drive away voters who remain rational and concerned about the political appetite for open ended spending.
I further hope Republicans will hang tough on immigration and become a barrier against the hypocrisy of Pelosi and Schumer. Pelosi and Schumer voted, two years ago, to spend billions of dollars for those "immoral" walls but the minute Trump was elected they decided they could not allow Trump to meet another campaign commitment.
What I find interesting is why existing walls are allowed to stand if they are so immoral? Does this mean walls built by Democrats are moral and those by Republicans are immoral?
If Radical Democrats have their way you can kiss goodbye the America most conservatives believe is
still worth saving. The Founding Fathers did not intend for America to become a sanctuary nation for illegals, for American citizens to become dependent upon a bloated government run by non-elected bureaucrats and those elected to office who enrich themselves and place their selfish interests above those of the nation.
More and more voters are concluding the two parties are irrelevant and the unaffiliated ranks are increasing. Time will tell where this all leads.
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Catching up on some postings after old computer crashed. (See 8 and 8a below.)
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Finally, comment from a dear friend and fellow memo reader:
"Dick,
Op Ed in 1/10/19 Savannah Morning News RIGHT ON - as is your usual keen observation of all events! Thanks for writing this one. I'm at wits end with this border situation. Got interested in history of United States immigration. Read excellent book "American Passage - The History of Ellis Island," by Vincent J. Cannato. Period covered is 1800 - forward.
My key learnings from the book:
1800- 1855 80% of all immigrants arrived at Port of NY - they just off loaded the ships and filtered into society (granted at great risk to many innocent immigrants who fell prey to gangs and hooligans pretending to represent their ethnicity, religion, or country of origin).
1855 - 1892 Castle Rock located in Battery of Manhattan became the designated immigrant landing port - NY City government was somewhat involved, but there was no viable governmental immigration policy or administration to speak of.
1892 Ellis Island opened - strict measures taken to screen immigrants - elites (Sen. H. C. Lodge Mass for one) convinced best immigrant was English or N. European WASP - little interest in any others - turns out 80% of those who reached Ellis Island (1892-1954) succeeded in gaining authority to enter.
ELLIS ISLAND FACTS (1.) families were often separated; (2.) children were denied entry - family had to decide all go back, or child denied entry be returned to family o/seas; (3.) Newly admitted immigrant had to prove ability to support self/family; (4.) Immigrant was monitored for 3 Years - many were deported during that period to avoid prospect of "BECOMING A PUBLIC CHARGE"; (5.) ELLIS ISLAND WAS DECLARED NEUTRAL ZONE - NOT U.S. SOIL - "No Anchor babies" - but children were born to Ellis Island occupants during processing. SCOTUS Oliver W. Holmes Court (1905) decision upheld "Neutral Zone" policy; (5.) Various immigration laws were passed - many ineffective; (6.) 1920's U. S. set Annual Immigrant Totals by Nation.
We now have devolved to Chain Migration, Foreign Nation Lottery selection of immigrants, VISA over-stays, and "storming"/ "invasion" of our southern border aggravated by the inchoate policy of "catch and release." SO THE U. S. IS RIGHT BACK TO WHERE IT WAS 1800 - 1892 - immigrants can just fly & overstay Visa, or swim, walk, or climb in.
My next bit of research is to look into how we handled Cuban and Haitian immigrants arriving by boat in Post WW II era. My recollection is we turned most of them back. I need to verify that recollection, and under what law or policy we turned them back. Seems we are on a path to a 2019 repeat Simpson - Mazzoli (1986) - that is; grant amnesty to another group of millions, promise action on border security, but do nothing about it.
Your friend, T--"
And
" Another from a dear friend, fellow memo reader and tennis partner: "Good letter in this morning's SMN. You can't make a convincing argument that physical barriers don't work unless your target audience is ignorant, naive, or are mindless ideologues. Queen Nancy may possibly realize that. That's why we have the "wall is immoral" argument. If the concept defies common sense, Democrats invoke the "morally superior" position. Of course, none of us could argue with that. We all know they have the high ground in that department. T----"
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Dick++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
1) The ironies of illegal immigration
By Victor Davis Hanson
Estimates suggest that there are 11 million to 13 million Mexican citizens currently living in
A recent poll revealed that one-third of Mexicans (34 percent) would like to emigrate to the United States . With Mexico having a population of about 130 million, that amounts to some 44 million would-be immigrants.
Such massive potential emigration into the United States makes no sense.
First, Mexico is a naturally rich country. It ranks 19th in the world in proven oil reserves and is currently the 12th-largest oil producer. Mexico certainly has significantly more natural advantages than do far wealthier per capita Singapore , Taiwan or Chile .
In addition to being strategically located as a bridge between
It is not an overcrowded country: Mexico ranks in the lower half of the world in population density. Too many people and too little land are certainly not the reasons why millions of Mexicans either emigrate or wish to emigrate to the United States .
Second, popular progressive narratives in both Mexico and the United States cite America for all sorts of pathologies, past and present. The United States is often damned for prior colonialism and imperialism, as well as current racism and xenophobia.
Why, then, would millions of people south of the border leave their own homeland and potentially risk their lives to encounter a strange culture and language, to live in such a purportedly inhospitable place, and to adopt to an antithetical system based on supposedly toxic European and Protestant traditions?
The answers to these two paradoxes are as obvious as they are politically incorrect and therefore seldom voiced. Life in Mexico is relatively poor, dangerous and often unfree. In contrast, the United States is rich, generous and secure.
To the degree that Mexico can make strides toward these goals, its population will stabilize and become more affluent -- and also become less likely to emigrate.
More importantly, millions of Mexican citizens recognize (at least privately) that the United States is not the bogeyman of mostly elite critiques. Instead, it is one of the world's rare multiracial, equal-opportunity societies. It is generous with its entitlements even to those who cross its border illegally, and far more meritocratic than most of the world's highly tribal societies.
Maybe that is why millions of impoverished people from Mexico have left their homes in expectation that they will be treated far better as foreign, non-English speakers in a strange land than they will at home by their own government
Indeed, if the
In sum, illegal immigration is both logical and nonsensical.
After all, the Mexican government is quick to fault the U.S. , but it is rarely introspective. It does not explain publicly why its own citizens wish to flee the country where they were born -- or why they are eager to enter a country that is so often ridiculed by the Mexican press and government.
Real and would-be emigrants themselves also act ironically.
On both sides of the border, they often fault the U.S. and demand that U.S. immigration law be suspended -- but only in their case.
Emigrating Mexican citizens wave Mexican flags at the border as they try to enter America, while their counterparts inside the U.S. do the same when they protest being sent back home.
Apparently, no one in Mexico or in the U.S. ever wishes to admit that Mexican citizens really like the United States -- apparently far more than they do their own homeland.
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2) A member of Parliament to Disraeli: "Sir, you will either die on the gallows or of some unspeakable disease.”
"That depends, Sir, " said Disraeli, "whether I embrace your policies or your mistress"
He had delusions of adequacy ."
-Walter Kerr
"He has all the virtues I dislike and none of the vices I admire."
- Winston Churchill
"He has no enemies, but is intensely disliked by his friends."
-Oscar Wilde
"I've just learned about his illness. Let's hope it's nothing trivial."
-Irvin S. Cobb
"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination."
-Andrew Lang (1844-1912)
2a)
MELTDOWN: Ocasio-Cortez Explodes After Fact-Check, Doesn't Want To Be Held To Same Standards As Trump
Socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) exploded on Monday after multiple left-wing publications fact-checked her and criticized her defense of the numerous falsehoods she has told.
By RYAN SAAVEDRA
The former bartender claimed on CBS News' "60 Minutes" on Sunday that people were too focused on being "factually" accurate, and not focused enough on being morally right, which drew widespread criticism.
2a)
MELTDOWN: Ocasio-Cortez Explodes After Fact-Check, Doesn't Want To Be Held To Same Standards As Trump
Socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) exploded on Monday after multiple left-wing publications fact-checked her and criticized her defense of the numerous falsehoods she has told.
By RYAN SAAVEDRA
The former bartender claimed on CBS News' "60 Minutes" on Sunday that people were too focused on being "factually" accurate, and not focused enough on being morally right, which drew widespread criticism.
That criticism carried over into news reports today from left-leaning publications, including The Washington Post and CNN, which published reports titled, "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s very bad defense of her falsehoods" and "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's very slippery slope on facts," respectively.
Even leftist Whoopi Goldberg slammed Ocasio-Cortez, advising her to "sit still for a minute and learn the job .. .before you start pooping on people and what they’ve done, you got to do something ... "
Ocasio-Cortez then suggested that it was not fair that she was, in her own mind, being held to the same standards as President Donald Trump.
2b)
"How are you going to pay for all of this?" Cooper asked.
2b)
WATCH: Ocasio-Cortez Gets Asked How She'll Pay For Her Programs. It Was A Disaster.
"No one asked how we're going to pay for the Space Force."
By Alex Saavedra
Socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) was again unable to explain how she intends to pay for $40 trillion in far-left big government programs during a Sunday interview on CBS News' "60 Minutes" with host Anderson Cooper.
This marks the second time that Ocasio-Cortez was unable to explain how she would pay for the programs that she wants the government to pay for, with the other instance occurring during an interview with CNN's Jake Tapper."How are you going to pay for all of this?" Cooper asked.
Ocasio-Cortez got defensive, responding: "No one asks how we're gonna pay for this Space Force. No one asked how we paid for a $2 trillion tax cut."
"We only ask how we pay for it on issues of housing, health care and education," Ocasio-Cortez said. "How do we pay for it? With the same exact mechanisms that we pay for military increases for this Space Force. For all of these-- ambitious policies."
"There are Democrats, obviously, who are worried about your affect on the party," Cooper responded. "Democratic Senator Chris Coons said about left-leaning Democrats, "If the next two years is just a race to offer increasingly unrealistic proposals, it'll be difficult for us to make a credible case we should be allowed to govern again."
"What makes it unrealistic?" Ocasio-Cortez asked.
"How to pay for it," Cooper responded.
"We pay more per capita in health care and education for lower outcomes than many other nations," Ocasio-Cortez answered, as she still could not provide an answer about how to pay for her programs. "And so for me, what's unrealistic is-- is what we're living in right now."+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
3)
You know you’re from California if . . .
1. Your co-worker has 8 body piercings and none are visible.
2. You make over $300,000 and still can't afford a house.
3. You take a bus and are shocked at two people carrying on a conversation in English.
4. Your child's 3rd-grade teacher has purple hair, a nose ring, and is named Flower.
5. You can't remember . . is pot illegal?
6. You've been to a baby shower that has two mothers and a sperm donor.
7. You have a very strong opinion about where your coffee beans are grown, and you can
taste the difference between Sumatran and Ethiopian.
8. A really great parking space can totally move you to tears.
9. Your car insurance costs as much as your house payment.
10. Both you AND your dog have therapists, psychics, personal trainers, and cosmetic
surgeons.
11. If you drive illegally, they take your driver's license. If you’re here illegally, they want to
give you one.
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4) Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is the personification of the bobble head, and just as empty.
But, she’s really good at fooling the public. During the recent campaign for the United State Senate, she
assured potential voters that she was not running for president. If you took the time to look over her
Federal Election Commission reports, which I did, it was painfully evident that Liz had her eye on 1600
Pennsylvania Avenue for a long time. Her campaign raised $35 million, and ended with $12,503,000 cash
on hand.
Where did the $19 plus million go? Very little was used for traditional campaigning, as the record shows,
because she didn’t take challengers State Representative Geoff Diehl and businessman John Kingston
very seriously. Her money was spent on a staff of at least 50 headquartered in Charlestown, Massachusetts,
on fundraising, polling, office supplies, and on multiple airline trips to Houston, Chicago, Dallas, Atlanta,
Seattle, and Salt Lake City. Very few Massachusetts voters in those locales. And, oh how very sincere
she tried to appear when she told FoxNews “Let me be clear, I am not running for president in 2020.”
All of the fundraising was for just one thing, to bankroll a presidential bid. Financially, she’s way ahead,
the first out-of-the-box so to speak.
Good. Her increasingly leftist pronouncements and those of the other potentials move the Democrat Party
so far out of mainstream reality, that they become unreal. They have and will continue to take positions
from which it is impossible to pull back. What we currently have in the Oval Office is authenticity. Hard
charging. Sometimes hard to take. But effective. Nothing succeeds like success.
L---"
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 5) House Dem Announces Trump Jr. is Target Number One By TTN Staff
House Dems have announced that they will use their new power to target Trump
and his family. Specifically Dems plan to target Donald Trump Jr. first. According to The Daily Wire:
According to Democratic House Intelligence Committee member Rep. Jackie Speier
(CA), the House Democrats are going to use their newly-acquired power to begin targeting President Trump and his inner circle, starting with Donald Trump Jr. During a panel discussion at the Woman's National Democratic Club Tuesday night, Rep. Speier revealed who the first target of the intelligence committee's investigation would be: Donald Trump Jr., the Washington Examiner's Paul Bedardreports. "There are a number of persons that testified before the committee that I feel were not telling the truth," she said. Among them is Trump's son who spoke to the GOP majority intelligence committee about his much-reported meeting in Trump Tower with the Russia-connecting lawyer during the 2016 campaign. Trump Jr. denied any "collusion" allegations and dismissed the media as a run of the mill oppo-research-type attempt to get some dirt on Hillary Clinton that turned out to be a waste of time. Trump Jr. spoke with the Republican-led committee privately on December 6, 2017. White House senior adviser and Trump son-in-law Jared Kushner met with the committee a few months earlier, in July 2017. The committee wrapped up its collusion investigation, finding no evidence of it, but Speier told CNN that the Democrats are committed to cranking it back up. Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner has also been mentioned by Dems as being one
of the first family members they will focus on as well.
5a) DAY ONE
Wednesday was a big day in Washington. As newly-elected members of Congress were
sworn in, control of the House of Representatives flipped from Republican to Democrat.
While this is usually a run-of-the-mill process, a lot of things happened Wednesday that
should concern anyone who cherishes American values and who was hoping for compromise
from the new Congress.
has been hailed by cultural and media elites as "the wave of the
office. (Yes, they have a flag.) abolish the Electoral College.
provide money to promote abortions overseas, but did not provide one me for better border security to protect American citizens.
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6)
a) What I know about football you could put in a thimble but last night Bama was a bummer and I believe it is partly attributable to the fact that Saban’s coaching staff is in a state of constant flux. Those who sign up are looking to benefit from their association and then move on so Saban is always training and melding new people and then they leave. This has to have an impact on the team .
This is not the case with Clemson which has a more stable coaching staff.
Just my thoughts.
b Back to Trump. I do. Not believe he is wise to engage in jaw boning when it comes to getting involved in
discussing pricing of drugs, energy and other commercial items including The Fed’s interest rate manipulations.
Other presidents have done it from Truman , to Kennedy etc. but I believe the markets should be allowed to
determine pricing.
Trump can express himself as a way of sending a preferential message and leave it at that and go no further.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
7) Is Trump About To Make a Move In Middle
East?
Editorial of The New York Sun
Is President Trump about to make his move in the Middle East? We ask because Secretary of
State Pompeo leaves Tuesday for a swing through the region at a time when the stars seem to
be aligning for something big. Is it possible that President Trump’s talk with Prime Minister
Erdogan, our plan pull GIs out of Syria, John Bolton’s visit to Israel, and Prime Minister
Netanyahu’s call for an election are linked?
Feature the latest from one of the most sagacious scoop artists on the Middle East beat, Karen
Elliott House of the Wall Street Journal. She’s out with a column in tomorrow’s Journal
alerting her readers not to be surprised if Prime Minister Netanyahu fetches up in Riyadh to
meet with the Crown Prime, Mohammed bin Salman — and “soon.” Ms. House doesn’t write
something like that off the top of her head.
A Netanyahu-MBS parley would be stunning. With Iran on the warpath, it would underline that
Israel and the Saudis have bigger issues than the Palestinian Arabs. It comes after what Ms.
House calls two years of effort by the Trump administration to get “Riyadh and Jerusalem
openly working together.” She reckons MBS “loves risk” and wants to get past the murder of
Jamal Khashoggi.
This is the context in which Ms. House suggests that Mr. Pompeo’s Mideast swing seems
“choreographed for a dramatic finale starring the crown prince.” Mr. Trump’s national security
adviser, John Bolton, was in Israel today. Mr. Pompeo starts Wednesday in Jordan, and will
deliver what Ms. House calls a “major speech in Cairo,” and will visit Riyadh.
What gets us about this is not only the capacity of a Netanyahu-Saudi sit-down to impact the
Middle East. We’re still, after all, highly skeptical of the Saudis. We have, though, a lot more
confidence in a Trump-Pompeo-Bolton team than a team led by President Obama or any dovish
Democrat and an apostle of appeasement like, say, Secretary of State Kerry. Mr. Trump is just
more credible.
The bigger impact may be at home. The way the papers tell it, the Trump administration’s
foreign policy is in “chaos” (Los Angeles Times) or “confusion” (Politico). Yet what would the
Democrats be able to make of an entente between a hard line Israel premier and the House of
Saud? Could it finally force the President’s critics to address the substance of what Mr. Trump
is at least trying to do?
From a distance it looks like one big question mark is in Israel, where the possibility is that
between now and the election, set for April 9, Mr. Netanyahu could be brought up on
corruption charges. We have our doubts about the investigation, but conceivably the case
against Mr. Netanyahu could prove to be stronger than any desire to give him a chance to forge
a relationship with the Saudis and an alliance against Iran.
Ms. House reckons a Saudi summit would have only “upsides” for Messrs. Trump and
Netanyahu. For MBS, she writes, “openly cooperating with Israel without resolving the future
of Jerusalem and its Islamic holy sites surely would provoke opposition from religious Saudis.” That, though, would be “sotto voce” given the prince’s repression of his opponents.
Our own view is that if there is a chance for Israel and the Saudis to begin an open and
constructive working relationship, American recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital may
have actually had a positive effect. It certainly made clear that nothing would be gained by
waiting for final status talks — a logic the Sun has been sketching for years. So we wish them
luck.
7a) Political Dysfunctionality and Electoral Chaos By Isi Leibler Setting aside the Gaza confrontations, 2018 was one of Israel’s best years since the establishment of the state. President Trump’s Administration has become the most Israel-friendly U.S. government in history, appointing pro-Israeli officials in the administration, reinstating sanctions on Iran, championing Israel’s cause at the U.N by stating the truth for the first time, recognizing Jerusalem as the capital, terminating funding for fictitious UNESCO refugees, demanding an end to payment of Palestinian Authority- sponsored financial incentives to terrorists and their families, and rejecting the Palestinian demand for the right of return of 5 million “refugees”. In short, a stark reversal from Obama who appeased the Iranians whilst treating Israel almost like a rogue state.Likewise, our relationship with nations which hitherto refused any association with Israel has improved dramatically. Whilst many still tend to vote against us or abstain at the UN, Israel today has good relations with Russia, India, China, Australia, Africa and South East Asia and a host of countries in Latin America - most recently Brazil. In addition, we have established a covert association with the Saudis and Arab Gulf States - which was inconceivable until recently.
But now storm clouds are gathering and we face serious new and
intensified threats. We are at a loss to anticipate where Trump is heading
after his precipitous and totally unexpected decision to withdraw U.S.
forces from Syria.
Although the precise scope of the withdrawal has been qualified in recent
days, Trump’s allies now fear that with the Russians effectively controlling
the region, it will be a boon for the Iranians.
The IDF is probably at its highest level of preparedness and claims it would
ably defeat an attack from all its adversaries but concedes we would face
heavy civilian casualties from missiles. We cannot become complacent and
should remind ourselves of the disastrous events preceding the Yom
Kippur War exacerbated by our hubris and note that the IDF Ombudsman
warned of weaknesses on the ground and the need for additional supplies.
Notwithstanding deployment of Russian anti-aircraft missiles, the Israel
Air Force is continuing its sorties in Syria whilst the Iranians remain
engaged in preparing for a war to destroy us. In addition, Israel continues
to face intensified terror from Hamas on the Gaza border.
Israel is also concerned at the recent signs indicating that Russia has
downgraded the warm relationship hitherto displayed by Putin. Whilst
there is military coordination of sorts still prevailing with the Russians, it
is a highly fragile relationship which could easily break down.
In the context of these new threats, the burden of leadership falls primarily
on our prime minister who, aside from holding four ministerial portfolios,
is diverted virtually every day by police interrogations and the imminent
announcement by Attorney General Avichai Mandelblit poised to indict
him for corruption. Yet, despite the immense pressure, he remains in
control and is effectively the only person capable of making the necessary
decisions that could determine war.
At times like this, the focus of the government should be to concentrate on
the current security threats. Alas, in lieu of this we have been thrust into an
election season where most politicians are bent on seeking votes rather
than serving the national interest.
What a contrast today to the personalities of yesteryear, like that of
recently deceased Moshe Arens, a man of unquestioned integrity and
political stature, a diplomat and leader who was utterly dedicated to the
national interest.
Despite being more powerful militarily than we have ever been, it is the
height of irresponsibility to be engaged in self-seeking electoral issues at a
critical time when we should be uniting.
We remain saddled with a proportional preference system, which may be
the most democratic, but gives disproportionate power to smaller parties,
enabling them to hold the balance of power and extort the majority for its
own sectoral objectives.
We are in a period of political chaos. With the total collapse of Labor
following Avi Gabbai’s ousting of his partner Tzipi Livni, there is no
coherent mainstream opposition party. Ministers Naftali Bennet and
Ayelet Shaked defected from Bayit Yehudi to form a new party, and
individuals like Benny Gantz decided to join the political fray and create
yet another new party (Israeli Resilience) but as of now has disclosed no
policy beyond claiming to be centrist.
However, on the crucial issue of security and foreign affairs, if in
government the centrist parties would undoubtedly promote the path
supported by the vast majority of Israelis who believe that the goal should
be to separate ourselves from the Palestinians - if we could achieve this and
still retain security. They would emphatically oppose the creation of
another terrorist state on our borders which would serve as a launching
pad for the Iranians against us. Until that happens, the consensus is that
the status quo must be maintained until the emergence of a Palestinian
leadership willing to accept our existence and co-exist peacefully.
This approach, given minor nuances, is that of Prime Minister Netanyahu.
The current prediction is that, despite his bitter personal adversaries and
the demonizing media, Netanyahu will be reelected prime minister. Of
course, with the present confusing proliferation of small parties and the
impending indictment there is always the risk that opposition parties will
merge and form a non-Likud government. There is also a genuine chance
that many mandates of the right shall be lost by votes cast for parties not
passing the minimal electoral threshold.
However, on the assumption that Netanyahu does form the next
government, it will likely be his final term. If he were to publicly announce
this, it would be admired by the entire nation. He should then appoint
ministers capable of fulfilling the vital jobs to enable him to concentrate
exclusively on his role as prime minister.
Then he should approach the opposition and invite those willing to join a
national unity government to deal with security issues and relations with
the Palestinians. It should be noted that Menahem Begin despite his
perpetual venomous relationship with the Labor party, managed such a
move before the Six Day War. Today, one could only dream that most
opposition leaders - aside from the Arab Joint List and probably Meretz -
could set aside their short term personal and political ambitions and come
to a consensus in supporting the government in relation to security issues
and foreign affairs. Whatever his failings, few could deny that for the
immediate future there is nobody who would be remotely as effective as
Netanyahu in leading the nation at these levels.
In the highly unlikely event that such an arrangement could be achieved
with the leading opposition parties, Israelis may begin to respect their
political leaders, contrary to what is currently the case when most of them
are despised as selfish opportunists rather than lawmakers concerned with
the national interest.
Aside from creating a sense of real unity in the nation, it will also have a
major positive impact on Diaspora Jews who would be incentivized to
support the state of Israel rather than identifying with partisan political
groups.
It could also have a constructive influence on the many nations which
currently distance themselves or oppose us.
Alas the probability of this becoming a reality is slim because most
politicians are more concerned with their short term personal ambitions.
The likely outcome is that Netanyahu will be reelected, but there are many
unpredictable factors that could deny voters their preference. Sadly, the
next government is likely, once more, to be dominated by small parties led
by egotistical individuals pursuing their own partisan self-serving interests,
often at the expense of the national interest.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
8)Trump Can’t Afford to Lose
The cost of defeat would be higher for President Trump than for Speaker Pelosi.On Tuesday night, President Trump will deliver a prime-time address to the nation “on the Humanitarian and National Security crisis on our Southern border.” It will be his first big address from the Oval Office, a signal that the president recognizes, at least on this issue, that to succeed he must reach beyond his base to rally the American people. He further promises to travel to the border Thursday to “meet with those on the front lines.”
The Oval Office speech and trip to the border suggest the stakes are rising as the government
shutdown is now in its third week. In the received Beltway wisdom, the trick for shutdowns is to
pin blame on your opponents, in the way that then-Speaker Newt Gingrich was blamed for the
1995 shutdown by Bill Clinton, and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer took the hit for the
quickly aborted shutdown early last year. Because Mr. Trump took full responsibility for this
shutdown even before it started, the thinking goes, he is fated to lose.
But is he?
Unless he offers something new in his speech, Mr. Trump’s position has been clear and
categorical: He won’t sign a deal that doesn’t include $5 billion for a wall. If that means the
shutdown continues for “months or even years,” so be it.
The Democratic speaker of the House is likewise absolute. “We’re not doing a wall,” Nancy
Pelosi says. “Does anybody have any doubt about that?”
Which leaves the Beltway in a game of chicken. Perhaps Mr. Trump will jump off the track first,
especially if Republicans in Congress begin to abandon him. It’s possible there will be a game-
changing concession in his speech, but Mrs. Pelosi has said there’s nothing he could give
Democrats that would change their position. In the meantime, three factors may encourage Mr.
Trump to hold his hard line.
The first is his pain tolerance. Many a political stance has buckled when people started seeing
human faces on the consequences of some tough policy. But on trade, where tariffs have proved
painful to some businesses and industries, Mr. Trump has demonstrated he’s willing to endure
the costs his stands can impose on innocent third parties.
Second, border politics have shifted. A few months ago, the dominant news and images were
children separated from families, children sleeping in cages, and so on. The political dynamic
has now flipped, mostly as a result of the organized and lawless effort to bum-rush the border,
better known as the caravan.
More recently, the Border Patrol fired tear gas into Tijuana, Mexico, on New Year’s Eve after
people trying to cross illegally threw rocks at agents. Just before that came the murder of a
California police officer—a young father and legal immigrant from Fiji—allegedly at the hands
of a gang-affiliated illegal alien from Mexico during a drunken-driving stop.
Mr. Schumer says a wall isn’t necessary for border security, and he has an argument there. But
the arguments Democrats make aren’t about security. Instead, they talk about sanctuary cities and
abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement. The Democratic indulgence of these causes
has helped Mr. Trump make the case that the only choice before America today is between his
wall or no border security at all.
The third and biggest incentive for the president to dig in is this: He has more to lose than the
Democrats do. This shutdown was neither necessary nor inevitable. In the testy Oval Office
meeting in December with Mr. Schumer and Mrs. Pelosi, it was the president who delivered the
ultimatum: Fund the wall, he demanded, or he’d be “proud to shut down the government for
border security.”
In “The War of the Roses”—a dark comedy about an epic marital breakup between Michael
and Kathleen Turner—divorce attorney Danny DeVito famously warns, “There is no winning.
Only degrees of losing.” On the shutdown, most of the pundit class appears to agree.
But Washington knows degree makes all the difference in politics. If Mrs. Pelosi is forced to
give Mr. Trump enough wall money for him to claim victory, she would take some nasty hits
from her caucus—but she could also argue that she behaved as the adult in the room and the
press would support her. And if she could in return wrangle legalization of the Dreamers, people
brought here illegally as children, she could claim, rightly, that she had delivered on a key
priority that has thus far eluded Democrats.
The possibilities of anything but outright victory are more stark for Mr. Trump. Oh, sure, if he
accepts a deal that doesn’t give him a wall he can blame Democrats along with any Republicans
who abandon him. But he still would have lost a fight that he picked. He’d end the shutdown
weaker than he started. And some of his most ardent supporters could well turn on him for
selling them out on his signature issue, affecting his re-election in 2020.
None of this guarantees a Trump victory. It does suggest the president realizes he is now in a
fight he can’t afford to lose.
8a)
What Trump Means by‘America First’His historical antecedent? Not Charles Lindbergh but the ‘belligerent isolationism’of Sen. William Borah.By Dennis RossThere’s more than one type of isolationist. Some in the 1930s were pacifists onphilosophical grounds; others opposed Franklin Roosevelt’s support for the British,fearing it would drag America into a European war; and some even admired theNazis. The America First Committee, for which Charles Lindbergh was spokesman,contained the full range of these views. Since President Trump has made “America First”his calling card, one might assume that Lindbergh & Co. are the antecedents ofhis foreign policy.
But they’re not. “Belligerent isolationists,” a group identified by diplomatic historian Manfred
Jonas in his 1966 classic, “Isolationism in America, 1935-41,” are Mr. Trump’s true forerunners.
More than isolationists, these thinkers and politicians from the first half of the 20th century were
unilateralists, reflecting a traditional impulse in American thinking. They did not want the U.S.
encumbered. International institutions would inhibit the U.S., so it should have little to do with
them. They saw alliances as too constraining, imposing costly obligations and limiting American
freedom of action. Whether the U.S. should ally with other countries or intervene in conflicts was
for them a question only of U.S. interests, narrowly defined. Values and humanitarian concerns
should not play a role. Sen. William Borah, an Idaho Republican who served from 1907 until his
death in 1940, was for Jonas the driving political force of the movement.
Mr. Trump is a 21st-century belligerent isolationist. He believes multinational institutions and
agreements do nothing for America. Alliances are encumbrances: Either the allies don’t pay their
fair share, or if they do, like the Baltic states in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, they
might drag the U.S. into a war if Russia attacks them. For Mr. Trump, international commitments
tie America down and are expensive to fulfill.
Belligerent isolationism does not require withdrawing from the world. It means, instead, guiding
relations with other countries, or non-state actors like the Kurds, by the sole criterion of what they
are doing for America now. The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces may be doing the brunt
of the fighting against Islamic State, but ISIS is mostly defeated and Turkey threatens to enter
northeastern Syria and come into conflict with Kurdish forces. That creates a potential cost—and
for Mr. Trump, why should the U.S. be in Syria anyway? Withdraw and you reduce the cost. The
gains from the Kurds fighting ISIS have been largely realized, so the Kurds are no longer of
much use. If the Turks want to be there, let them; if the Iranians or the Russians want to move in
deeper, go ahead.
The belligerent isolationist measures costs and benefits narrowly and in the short term. It is all
tactics and no strategy—but since the desire is never to be encumbered, and to be able to switch
allegiances or make deals with anyone, strategy is not even required.
Regrettably, the world is not so simple; there is a strategic cost when no nation feels it can count
on the U.S. Moreover, when America shirks responsibility for taking the lead in response to
transnational threats, it creates vacuums that worse forces are only too happy to fill. The
Russians and Chinese are seizing the opportunity to extend their spheres of influence and bully
other nations, including traditional American allies and partners.
Consider developments in the Middle East: After Russia erroneously blamed Israel when Syrian
government forces shot down a Russian aircraft, killing 15, Israel felt compelled to scale back its
attacks against Iranian and Shiite militia targets in Syria. Israel’s security establishment knows
Mr. Trump has left them alone to deal with the threats from the north. But it is unclear how long
Israel will wait as the Iranian presence grows not only in Syria, but also in Lebanon, where Iran
seeks to provide precision guidance to thousands of Hezbollah rockets aimed at Israeli population
centers and other high-value targets.
When America’s friends and partners believe they are on their own, they will either act
unilaterally, in a way that may not be well-considered, or feel they must make suboptimal deals
with those who threaten them. Recall that the Saudis intervened in Yemen to impose limits on
Iranian expansion largely because they believed the Obama administration would not. The
expected U.S. retreat from Syria now forces Riyadh to confront a new dilemma. If the Saudis
believe Russia can manipulate Iranian threats against them by offering mafia-style “protection,”
they may feel unable to withstand Russian pressure to cut oil production significantly to drive up
the price.
Mr. Trump’s approach ultimately will increase the likelihood of conflicts that draw American
involvement—even while he is president. Israel, for examples, is not going to allow Iran to remain
untouched if its Hezbollah proxies launch tens of thousands of rockets from Lebanon and Syria
into the Jewish state. And how would Iran respond? It can’t add much to the Hezbollah rockets,
so does it hit Saudi Arabia or others in the Gulf? If it does, what happens to the oil supply?
Ignoring the risks and retreating today could drag America back into a larger conflict tomorrow.
Uncertainty about American leadership does not make the world safer. Belligerent isolationism
means others cannot count on the U.S.; consequently, the U.S. cannot count on them. Threats like
terrorism and the rise of China require partners, and America risks losing them. A belligerent
isolationist America may well be unencumbered, but it is also likely to be alone.
Mr. Ross has held senior national security positions in several presidential administrations and is
at the Washington Institute.
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