Thursday, February 29, 2024

TOP SPOOF. California Cowards. The Palestinian Two Handed Treatment Continues. IDF Attacked. More.

There are spoofs then there are truly great spoofs.  This even tops the great ones:
https://x.com/KosherCockney/status/1762974148865749498?s=20
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 As previously noted California University Administrators wimp out like the pitiful giants they are.

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Berkeley Lets Loose an Anti-Semitic Mob

Rioters attack Jewish students, and leaders claim to be helpless.

Antisemitism took a frightening turn Monday at the University of California, Berkeley, where a pro-Palestinian mob surrounded a campus auditorium, broke a window, and harassed Jewish students trying to enter the building.

Israeli lawyer Ran Bar-Yoshafat was invited by a Jewish student group to address the subject of Israel and international law. This included “the rules of wartime conduct and how the [Israel Defense Forces] can better protect civilians,” according to an Instagram post by Students Supporting Israel at Berkeley.

But the speech never happened, as besieged Jewish students gathered inside a nearly empty auditorium in Zellerbach Playhouse while some 200 protesters chanted “intifada” and “free Palestine” and banged on windows, surrounding and shouting at those trying to enter. Students and the speaker were evacuated for their personal safety.

Shouting down unpopular speakers is common on campus, but the vitriol directed at students sets this incident apart. One student captured on a video clip said the protesters shouted “Jew Jew Jew” in his face and spat at him. Other students reported heckling and harassment as they tried to get past the mob. There’s no way to know how many other students stayed away out of fear of the mob or social ostracism merely for showing up.

Silencing and intimidation are the intended outcome, and anti-Jewish groups script their messages in the campus vernacular of white imperialism. In a “campus wide call to action,” Bears for Palestine said Mr. Bar-Yoshafat, who served in the Israel Defense Forces, had been invited to speak “to spread settler colonial Zionist propaganda about the very genocide he has participated in.” The group declared it would “not allow for this event to go on.” In their moral confusion, the same students wearing “Ceasefire Now” shirts were shouting “intifada, intifada,” endorsing violent protests.

In a statement after the event, Berkeley chancellor Carol Christ and executive vice chancellor Benjamin Hermalin wrote that the incident “violated not only our rules, but also some of our most fundamental values.” The letter notes that the university took precautions to add security, including campus police. They said the goal was to keep students safe and let the event go forward, but “it was not possible to do both given the size of the crowd and the threat of violence.”

That’s some admission. When the hate directed at Jewish students on campus is so extreme that the university can’t protect them, the failure rests with school officials as much as with the harassers. All the more so if the offenders aren’t punished with suspensions or expulsions. Progressives claim that being anti-Israel or anti-Zionist isn’t the same as being anti-Semitic. Tuesday at Berkeley shows how dishonest that claim is.

And

If Berkeley Wants to Protect Free Speech It Will Expel Its Rioters

Campuses must have the highest tolerance for expression, but no

tolerance at all for violence like that exhibited by an anti-Israel mob

this week.

by Greg Lukianoff 


It’s sad that civilization was founded the moment a man flung a word at his enemy instead of a spear. On our most elite college campuses—most recently, the University of California, Berkeley—the plan seems to be to unfound it.

Earlier this week, a student group called Bears for Palestine published on Instagram its intention of “combatting lies” by shutting down an event featuring Israeli Defense Forces reservist and lawyer Ran Bar-Yoshafat.

“This individual is dangerous,” the post continued. “He has committed crimes against humanity, is a genocide denier, and we will not allow for this event to go on. . . . SHUT IT DOWN.”

Before the event was scheduled to begin Monday evening, hundreds of student protesters descended on the building where it was supposed to take place—banging on doors and windows, preventing students from entering, forcing their way in, and shouting “intifada, intifada.” 

Protesters broke glass doors. One male student alleges being spit on by a protester. Another student—a woman—was injured. Yet another student claims that “Jew” was screamed as an epithet.

The mob got their way. The event was canceled. Bar-Yoshafat, along with the students who had attended the event, were escorted out the back of the theater. 

This has to stop.

UC Berkeley Chancellor Carol Christ and Executive Vice Chancellor and Provost Benjamin Hermalin posted a note the next day on the university website expressing their “deep remorse and sympathy to those students and members of the public who were in the building, fearing for their safety.” 

They went on to say that, in the days ahead, they would “decide on the best possible path to fully understand what happened and why; to determine how we will address what occurred; and to do everything possible to preclude a repeat of what happened.”

Please. We know exactly how this eruption should be addressed. 

Any students who took part in the violence should be expelled—assault is a crime and most certainly violates the school’s code of conduct. As for the students who organized the shutdown but did not participate in the violence, they should be punished.

Everyone has a right to due process. But violent rioters have no place at any institution devoted to the fearless pursuit of truth. Certainly not at Berkeley, home of the Free Speech Movement.

Violence is not extreme speech, but the antithesis of speech—and the antithesis of what higher education is supposed to be all about.

Over the past decade, freedom of speech, and academic freedom more generally, have suffered terribly. Since 2014, more professors have lost their jobs for expressing an unpopular viewpoint than at any point in the past 80 years—especially in 2020 and 2021.

While the cancellations have tapered off somewhat in 2023—even the most rabid cancelers eventually run out of witches to burn—something just as awful has replaced them: a huge uptick in campus shout-downs, some of which turned violent.

Berkeley, of course, was the site of one of the worst demonstrations against freedom of speech in recent memory: in 2017, when 1,500 rioters caused $100,000 in damages and injured six to protest a planned speech by right-wing provocateur Milo Yiannopoulos.


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More two handed treatment from Palestinians. One hand strikes, the other caresses'.  What frauds they continue to be. No wonder they are rejected by their own nd despised.

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Abbas’ advisor prays for America to be punished while Abbas begs US for more money

By Itamar Marcus

Mahmoud Abbas’ advisor prays that Palestinians or Allah will punish the US:

“[America] Satan of the period, the devil of the period, Antichrist of the generation, the plague of the generation”

“I swear by Allah, this [US] war is a war on religion, a war on Islam. They want us to adopt their morality and describe ourselves in their terms, the inferior and lowly terms and characteristics [such as] homosexuals, nudity, fraud, and [financial] interest.”

"He [Allah] will punish the Pharaoh of this age [America], the criminals of this age... by our hands or by His punishment. In our hands or pain from Him." 

While Mahmoud Abbas begs the head of USAID for money:

"It is important to increase the amount of humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip... it is important to renew the American aid programs in the West Bank and Gaza in the fields of infrastructure, health, education, energy and revitalization of the Palestinian economy."

As the United States continues to be the most important international force advocating for Gaza to be handed to the Palestinian Authority after Hamas is defeated, the PA continues to demonize the US as if it were its worst enemy, yet at the same time, it begs the US for money.

In a recent tirade against the US, the most important religious figure in the PA, Mahmoud Abbas’ Advisor on Religious Affairs, defines America as the most evil force in the world endangering all of humanity:

“[America] Satan of the period, the devil of the period, Antichrist of the generation, the plague of the generation.”  

He further accuses the United States of going to war against Islam by trying to impose Western liberal values, including acceptance of homosexuals, on the Palestinian Authority:

"America, which is fighting today – not only against the Palestinian people – it is fighting against Islam... I swear by Allah, this war is a war on religion, a war on Islam. They want us to adopt their morality and describe ourselves in their terms, the inferior and lowly terms and characteristics [such as] homosexuals, nudity, fraud, and [financial] interest." 

While it is known that the PA emphatically rejects many liberal Western values and rejects accepting homosexuals in society, this topic has not been an issue lately. This demonization of the US by the PA’s top religious figure has nothing to do with any current American policy but is using Islamic teachings to prove that America in its essence is evil.   

In a subsequent sermon, Abbas' advisor cursed the US - that Allah should punish the US with pain either by His hands or by the Palestinians:

"The Pharaoh of this period, America... just as He [Allah] punished the wicked in the past, so He will punish the wicked of this period. He will punish the Pharaoh of this age [America], the criminals of this age, sooner or later... by our hands or by His punishment. By our hands, or by pain from Him." 

Abbas' advisor is telling Palestinians that if they attack Americans they will be inflicting Allah's punishment on the Americans that they deserve. 

Incredibly, at the same time that the PA is demonizing "Satan" and "Antichrist" America, and notifying Palestinians that Palestinian terror against the US would make them the hand of Allah, PA leader Mahmoud Abbas feels no shame in turning to the US to beg for aid money:

“The President of the State of Palestine, Mahmoud Abbas, today (Thursday) received the Director of USAID, Samantha Power... His Excellency noted the role that the American agency can play when it comes to providing aid to the Palestinian people, especially in the difficult circumstances resulting from continued Israeli aggression, in particular in the Gaza Strip. He emphasized that it is important to increase the amount of humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip, including the north of the Gaza Strip, and it is important to renew the American aid programs in the West Bank and Gaza in the fields of infrastructure, health, education, energy and revitalization of the Palestinian economy.”

While it may seem surprising that the PA is ‘biting the hand that feeds it,’ by insulting and cursing the “plague of the generation” American, this is nothing new. The PA has demonized the US under all administrations, Republicans and Democrats, and it continues because the PA has learned that the US will continue to support the PA’s political aspirations and supply the PA with financial aid, regardless of its behavior. The PA rewards terrorists, names schools after terrorist mass murderers of children, pays monthly stipends to families of suicide bombers, glorifies murderers of civilians as heroes and role models, and presents the extermination of Jews as an Islamic goal. Yet, the US has never defined the PA as the terror entity that it is, and has never stopped funding the PA. The PA has been demonizing and calling for Allah to punish America for years and now joins Iran in defining the US as Satan, yet the PA has nothing to fear. The PA has learned that it can strike America as often as it wants, and America will always be there supporting it.

The following are longer excerpts from the cited items: 

"[America] Satan of the period, the devil of the period, Antichrist of the generation, the plague of the generation, America... America, which is fighting today –, not only against the Palestinian people – it is fighting against Islam... I swear by Allah, this war is a war on religion, a war on Islam. They want us to adopt their morality and describe ourselves in their terms, the inferior and lowly terms and characteristics [such as] homosexuals, nudity, fraud, and [financial] interest." 

“Some of the world's powers imagine to themselves - as Pharaoh imagined to himself in the old days, when he said "I am your supreme sovereign" (Quran, 79, verse 24) ... This is also how the Pharaoh of this period, America imagines... which thinks it can do anything without any draw back, and without any consequences... America is using its veto for the third time, to prevent the cessation of the war against our people in the Gaza Strip... May Allah be exalted is justice... and we are sure that he will not let these oppressors go... just as he punished the wicked in the past, so he will punish the wicked of this period. He will punish the Pharaoh of this age [America], the criminals of this age, sooner or later... by our hands or by his punishment. In our hands, or in pain from him. The oppressor will not last.”    

Mahmoud Al-Habbash also serves as Chairman of the Supreme Council for Shari'ah Justice and PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas’ Advisor on Religious Affairs and Islamic Relations.

“The President of the State of Palestine, Mahmoud Abbas, today (Thursday) received the Director of the American Agency for International Development USAID, Samantha Power...

His Excellency noted the role that the American agency can play when it comes to providing aid to the Palestinian people, especially in the difficult circumstances resulting from continued Israeli aggression, and in particular in the Gaza Strip. He emphasized that it is important to increase the amount of humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip, including the north of the Gaza Strip, and it is important to renew the American aid programs in the West Bank and Gaza in the fields of infrastructure, health, education, energy and revitalization of the Palestinian economy.”

And:

Does Might Preclude Morality: Reevaluating Israel's Military Priorities

by Gregg Roman


Israel is increasingly under fire for the conduct of its military in Gaza. However, the only thing it is doing wrong is being less lethal than it should be.


President Biden issued a directive to cut off military aid to countries violating international civilian protection. While it does not specify Israel, the implication that Israel's war in Gaza triggered it is evident.


The president also called Israel's response to Hamas's October 7 attack "over the top."

Continue reading the full article >


Gregg Roman is director of the Middle East Forum.

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The U.S. and Israel Play Into Iran’s

Hands

Treating Hamas and other proxies as discrete threats

allows Tehran’s regional power to accumulate.

By Seth Cropsey

As Israel pushes deeper into Gaza and prepares for war with Hezbollah in the north, Iran’s campaign against the Jewish state and the U.S. is approaching an inflection point. Jerusalem and Washington need a new strategy that recognizes Tehran as their true enemy, whose proxies function like an empire. Instead of telegraphed American airstrikes or the Israeli Octopus Doctrine of punishing Iranian proxies, both nations must work to collapse Iranian power in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon.

Israel’s greatest failure since Oct. 7 is political. Much of the world considers the massacre another round of Israeli-Palestinian violence, not an Iran-orchestrated attack. Since 2021 Hamas has been a full-fledged member of what Tehran calls its “axis of resistance,” a proxy network that spans the Levant, Lebanon and Yemen. Each proxy has a distinct character, but all are united in their hatred of Israel and the U.S. From 2021 on, Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad and Hezbollah have reportedly planned and coordinated operations jointly from a nerve center in Beirut with direct Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps supervision.

America has insisted on a fictitious distinction between Tehran and its proxies. But the threat this pseudo-empire poses to the U.S.—as well as countries across Europe and Asia—is real.

Iran’s goal is regional dominance, by which it plans to export the Islamic revolution throughout the Mideast. An Iran with proxies across the Levant, and in time the Arabian Peninsula, would be a bona fide great power capable of competing with Europe, Russia, China and India for Eurasian influence. It would be able to challenge America directly in military, diplomatic and economic terms. Eurasia has never been able to secure itself absent a stable Middle Eastern order. Even ignoring its oil flows, the Mideast is the nexus point between Europe and Asia and therefore the linchpin of the Eurasian economic power on which the U.S. depends and a key transit route for U.S. military forces.

Yet rather than consider the Israeli struggle as a key to greater geopolitical stability, Washington treats it as merely another Gaza war. Attacks by Iran-backed militants in the Red Sea and on U.S. bases in Iraq and Syria are considered aftershocks of the Israel-Palestinian conflict. This plays into Tehran’s hands.

Iran’s difficulty is that it can neither win a conventional war against the U.S. nor physically conquer Israel so long as America remains in the region. Tehran therefore seeks other means to force the U.S. out of the Mideast, leaving Israel and Jordan exposed in a manner consistent with the Soviet concept of “reflective control.” Rather than straightforwardly coercing an opponent with military force, the idea is to trick an adversary into doing something against its interest.

Tehran wants to convince the U.S. that simply to abandon the Middle East on the grounds that it’s too much trouble to maintain its position and defend its allies. In particular, Tehran needs the U.S. to abandon the al-Tanf complex, a series of Levantine bases that provide a buffer between Iraq, Syria and Jordan. The complex dominates the most natural Iranian logistics route from Baghdad to Damascus, while shielding Jordan from direct Iranian pressure through Iraq. U.S. access to other Iraqi bases cuts secondary Baghdad-Damascus logistics routes. Under the pretext of rage over the war in Gaza, Iranian proxies are executing missile and drone attacks against these bases.

With the U.S. gone, Iran could unify Iraq, Syria and Lebanon into a single strategic space. Tehran could then incorporate the West Bank into its strategy more directly, pouring more arms and Iranian-trained fighters into it through smuggling routes in Jordan, while also undermining the Jordanian state. With its logistics freed up and Amman under pressure, Tehran could contemplate even more-direct attacks on Israel, including, with a requisite pretext, a proxy-force ground assault from Lebanon and Syria and mass bombardment of Israeli critical infrastructure. The goal is to make the Jewish state unlivable for all but those most dedicated to the Zionist cause. If only a few hundred thousand Israelis remain, Iran and its network can overwhelm them with relative ease.

Neither Jerusalem nor Washington is acting to prevent this outcome. Neither country treats Iran’s proxy network as the veritable empire it is. Tehran hides behind implausible deniability by claiming that it has no direct control over these proxies. Because Lebanon, Syria and Iraq are legally independent states with standard sovereign rights and privileges, any reprisals impose a higher political cost on Israel and the U.S. That deters serious military actions to degrade Iran’s capabilities.

Israel conducts tit-for-tat strikes against Iranian proxies, but that doesn’t put a meaningful cost on Tehran’s actions. The Jewish state doesn’t have the military capability to strike Iran directly and cause crippling damage. An Israeli partnership with Gulf Arabs could threaten Iran’s domestic stability, and thereby the core of this empire, but that’s out of the question. Since 2019, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have studiously avoided escalation. Neither clearly has any interest in serving on the front lines of regional conflict.

To counter Tehran’s strategy, Jerusalem and Washington should invert Iranian logic by forcing the regime to feel the costs of an empire. Those costs must exceed the ineffective airstrikes the U.S. has executed in recent months. In the short term, this should include a more aggressive targeted killing campaign against Iranian and proxy operatives in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon. Eventually, Israel and America should apply enough pressure to force Iran to step into the open and take actual control over these territories, with the requisite costs of daily administration.

Iran has cash, but a more expansive sanctions regime, a change in oil prices or other macroeconomic disruptions would undermine the resources it has to fund its proxy conquest campaign. Adding direct rule to this set of tasks would overwhelm Iranian capacity, transforming Tehran’s proxy network into a costly, restive empire, populated primarily by Sunnis with few sympathies for Tehran’s Shiite mullahs. This strategy would cut each head off the Iranian imperial monster, until it is left only with the core.

The issue is the degree to which Iranian manipulation of the U.S. has already succeeded. Washington has failed to respond seriously to an Iranian attack since Oct. 7, holding to the lie that Tehran isn’t in control of an axis it quite obviously is. The result is American paralysis, which will only intensify as Iranian pressure increases.

Mr. Cropsey is president of the Yorktown Institute. He served as a naval officer and as deputy undersecretary of the Navy and is author of “Mayday” and “Seablindness.”

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Another lie byBiden. 
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Israel’s 146th Day of War
By Sherwin Pomerantz



Day 146 and two more soldiers were killed on Wednesday in north Gaza. Seven other soldiers were seriously injured in the fighting as well.  This brings the total killed since Hamas invaded Israel on Oct 7th to 582 of whom 242 have been killed in combat  May their souls be blessed with a special place in the heavenly court.

A coordinated effort between Israel, Jordan, the US, UK and others has been dropping humanitarian supplies into Gaza from the air in order to increase the probability that the people who need it most will actually receive it rather than it being diverted by Hamas for their own use.  The supplies are also partially designated for a field hospital organized by the Jordanians.

In a related story dozens of Palestinians have been killed in a three-part disastrous delivery of humanitarian aid to northern Gaza.  The picture is still far from clear, but according to the IDF, the vast majority of Palestinians were killed while trampling each other to get to around 30 aid trucks around 4:00 a.m. today.  Hamas, without providing evidence, accused the IDF of committing a "massacre."  The trucks had come from the Keren Shalom and Rafah crossings, traveled along the coastal road to a part of northern Gaza close to Rimal, and then cut into residential areas to make deliveries.

According to the IDF, and with a 100-second satellite video in support, thousands of Palestinians converged on the aid trucks and attempted to take supplies by force.  It is unclear in the video if and when Palestinians trampled each other, though the scene from the satellite footage is extremely chaotic and does show many Palestinians occupying the same space.  A second incident occurred a short time later at another spot at El-Nabusi Square, where unidentified armed Palestinians fired on the trucks and stole supplies. It was unclear who or how many people may have been injured at this stage, but IDF forces did not fire on anyone.

In the third stage, a large group of Palestinians descended on the aid trucks but also came close to a surprise protective force stationed nearby.  According to the IDF, once the large group of Palestinians progressed to only being a couple dozen meters away from them, the IDF forces fired in the air and issued warnings to stay away. When the same Palestinians continued to come closer to IDF forces to a point where the forces felt threatened, they were directed to fire at the Palestinians' legs.  During this incident, an estimated 10 Palestinians were killed. It was unclear if these Palestinians had aggressive intentions or were civilians caught up in a chaotic moment.

The families of hostages still being held by Hamas in Gaza have begun a four-day march to Jerusalem to press for the immediate release of the remaining hostages.  The march will arrive in Jerusalem on Saturday and the intent is for the group to meet with members of the government on Sunday.


In a twist to the offer Israel has reportedly made to Hamas for a hostage deal, The New York Times reported that Jerusalem is ready to exchange senior terrorists specifically for the five female IDF soldiers whom Hamas is holding captive.  Karina Ariev, Liri Albag, Agam Berger, Daniel Gilboa, and Naama Levy were all abducted from the Nahal Oz army base on the Gaza border on October 7th.  According to “two officials with knowledge of the talks,” Israel is willing to free 15 high-profile terrorists for these soldiers.  This would be the same 3 to 1 ratio that was used for the previous hostage deal in late November. 

The soldiers would be among 40 hostages who are included in the deal reportedly woven in Paris last week between high-level officials from Israel, Qatar, Egypt and the U.S.  The other 35 would be those over the age of 50 or under 19, the ill and wounded, and other females.  They, too, would be freed at a 3 to 1 ratio, according to the paper, meaning a total of 120 Palestinian prisoners would be released.  This is different than previous reports that Israel was offering to release 400 Palestinian prisoners, a ten-to-one ratio.  In either case, there is still a large gap between the two sides.

Meanwhile, Hamas chairman and former Palestinian Authority premier Ismail Haniyeh (who resides in style in Qatar while his citizens fend for scraps of food) called for mass riots on the Temple Mount during the upcoming Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in the hopes of escalating tensions at the holy site.  During an interview with the Hezbollah-aligned Lebanese television network Al-Manar, Haniyeh on Wednesday called on Palestinian Arabs to “barricade themselves” inside the Al-Aqsa Mosque ahead of Ramadan, in order to break “the siege” on the Temple Mount.  (n.b. For the record, the Temple Mount is, of course, not under siege.)

Given the ongoing war against Hamas and Hezbollah and the elevated terror risk throughout the country, Israel is considering limiting the number of visitors to the Temple Mount during Ramadan, which begins on March 10th.  The Palestinian Authority condemned the plan, saying it constituted a declaration of a “holy war” on Muslim pilgrims.  National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir said last week there would be a quota for members of Israel's 18% Muslim minority who wish to take part in peace prayers at Al Aqsa. But Israel's Channel 12 TV reported on Wednesday that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will overrule Ben-Gvir.  "The specific issue of prayer on the Temple Mount, in Al Aqsa, is currently still under discussion by the cabinet," government spokesperson Avi Hyman said in a briefing on Thursday. He added that a final decision would take security and public health, as well as the freedom of worship, into account.    
 
As we prepare for the onset of Shabbat here in Israel, experience  a good feeling in time of war and be inspired by the resilience of our combat soldiers.  To that end, take a moment to view this romantic episode which took place in a hospital here in Israel.
 
http://tinyurl.com/4bnddx5u
 
Am sure you will be moved as I was while watching a real-life experience that gives all of us hope for the future.  
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On a visit to my doctor, I asked him, "How do you determine whether or not an older person should be put in an old age home?" 

"Well," he said, "we fill up a bathtub, then we offer a teaspoon, a teacup and a bucket to the person to empty the bathtub." 

"Oh, I understand," I said. "A normal person would use the bucket because it is bigger than the spoon or the teacup."

"No" he said. "A normal person would pull the plug.  Do you want a bed near the window?

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More Hamas lies, more wanon killings of Israeli's by Palestinians.

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Dear Dick,

This morning, Hamas and media outlets once again manipulated the facts around a tragic incident to accuse and attack Israel – suggesting that the IDF killed more than 100 Palestinians who tried to get access to humanitarian aid.

What actually happened:

The IDF is helping to facilitate the transfer of humanitarian goods into Gaza. Over the past four days, the military has been escorting trucks from the border crossing into the northern Gaza Strip.

This morning as a convoy of more than 30 trucks moved through the territory, thousands of Gazans rushed the trucks and caused a deadly stampede. According to the IDF, truck drivers (private contractors who were not Israeli) then tried to avoid the stampede and struck and killed additional people.

The tragedy was compounded by a separate event in which a mob rushed the last aid truck in the convoy. The group started to move toward Israeli troops who were securing the corridor. Soldiers fired warning shots to try to disperse the threatening crowd. Fearing for their safety, the troops used live fire aiming at the legs of those who posed a threat and refused to move away.

The IDF said that fewer than 10 of the casualties were a result of Israeli fire.

IDF Spokesperson Daniel Hagari gave a press conference following the military’s probe of the incident.

"No IDF strike was conducted toward the aid convoy," he said. "On the contrary, the IDF was there carrying out a humanitarian aid operation, to secure the humanitarian corridor, and allow the aid convoy to reach its distribution point, so that the humanitarian aid could reach Gazan civilians in the north who are in need."

Watch the full IDF press statement below.

2 Israelis murdered in West Bank terror attack

Three Palestinian terrorists, including a Palestinian Authority police officer, carried out a deadly terror attack in the West Bank today murdering two Israelis in the West Bank town of Eli. The two victims – a 57-year-old father of three and a 16-year-old high school student – were sitting in a car at a gas station when they were ambushed by the terrorists. All three attackers were neutralized after the attack.

The gas station was the site of another deadly terror attack last year, in which four Israelis were killed.

The hunt for Sinwar

Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar is on the run, moving from place to place underground as the IDF closes in on him.

According to IDF intelligence, the Hamas leader intended to conduct fighting from an underground fortified base in Khan Yunis called "Room 6," which was equipped for extended stays with military personnel and communications lines.

"Sinwar, who is very suspicious by nature, will make mistakes, and when he makes mistakes, we have to be there," said one Israeli source who believes Sinwar has moved to Rafah. "One way or another, we will get him, even if it takes us hours or months."

Israel has now eliminated more than 13,000 terrorists since the war began, according to the IDF. That includes over 450 in the last ten days alone.

Continue to follow AIPAC on social media for the latest updates.

Sincerely,

Alisha Tischler

AIPAC Southeast Regional Director

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Wednesday, February 28, 2024

My Speech For Biden. Trump Win. Afghan Cone Cost. More.

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If Biden wanted to win re-election or lose the presidency by going down in defeat but rising to the level of statesman, and was capable of doing so rather than licking ice cream, he would make a speech along these lines:

He would tell voters the right and moral thing to do is to continue to support Israel's victory over radical Islamist marauders and if that means I lose the presidency so be it.

Second, those who support Hamas are on the wrong side of both history and morality. I refuse to pacify and support their anti-Semitic biases.

Third, America remains the world's best hope.  Yes, our history, as with any nation, has blights, we have made significant mistakes but the greatness of our nation is because our constitution is the foundation on which it rests and I will not put politics above doing what is right. The beauty of America is that we are a free people.  Eventually, we have always sought to correct our misguided decisions and, because of our belief in God, we have been blessed with leadership that recognized America's role is to remain the  leader of those who long to be free.

America remains a republic whose government continues to serve "we the people" and always will.  Therefore, it remains my responsibility as your president, as your leader, to speak truth, to do what is right and not yield to the majority. As I said earlier, if that means you elect my opponent then so be it. You are free to do so.

President Truman went against some of his most loyal supporters when he said America would cast the vote to create The State Of Israel because the world had a moral responsibility to the Jewish People. I refuse to trash Truman's decision because of the misguided cacophony coming from those who support Israel's demise. 

I will not have the blood of Israelis on my hands not the betrayal of Israel as my legacy.
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Finally, some justice:
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DONALD TRUMP
Appeals Court Approves Partial Stay for Trump, Requiring $464 Million to Appeal

  READ MORE

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DISGUSTING. Think how many ICE Cream Cones
  
Biden could have bought.
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Everyone needs to see this and understand what a terribly horrific blunder that withdrawal.  It is not speculation, but the findings of the Government Accounting Office audit.


Final account of USA military equipment and cash left behind in Afghanistan per GAO Report

Thanks to the Government Accountability Office, we now have a clear picture of just how much U.S. military equipment has fallen into the hands of the Taliban, thanks to Joe Biden's bungled withdrawal from Afghanistan. Here's a look…

 
Aircraft: The Taliban now ranks #26 in the world in total military aircraft, thanks to us leaving behind

208 planes and helicopters:

110 helicopters

60 transport/cargo planes

20 light attack planes

18 intelligence/surveillance planes

Vehicles: You've probably seen the footage of the Taliban riding around in our humvees.

We left a total of 75,898 vehicles:

42,604 tactical vehicles

22,174 humvees

8,998 medium tactical vehicles

1,005 recovery vehicles

928 mine-resistant vehicles

189 armored tanks

Weapons: Get ready for this…

599,690 of our weapons are now in the hands of the Taliban:

358,530 rifles

126,295 pistols

64,363 machine guns

25,327 grenade launchers

12,692 shotguns

9,877 RPGs

2,606 howitzers

And you can throw in a couple thousand night-vision goggles, surveillance drones, 
and communication devices on that list as well.

Price tag: In total, it adds up to nearly $84 billion dollars in tax-payer-funded U.S. 
military equipment.

 
None of this equipment should not have fallen into the hands of the enemy.  It could
have been removed or destroyed with a minimum of notice and a plan with competent 
leadership......
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MEF Exposes How Western Islamists Support the 


Taliban

News from the Middle East Forum 

By Greg Roman.


PHILADELPHIA – February 28, 2023 – An MEF investigation published at Focus on Western Islamism (FWI) has uncovered a network of Western Islamists working to provide ideological and material support to the terrorist-supporting Taliban rulers of Afghanistan.

In footage reviewed by FWI, the network's officials and supporters, including members of registered public charities in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany, proclaim Afghanistan an "opportunity for the entire Muslim Ummah to see full-fledged complete Sharia being implemented" and a base for re-establishing a global caliphate.

The Western network, including members of the Deobandi movement in South Asia and international Islamist organization Hizb ut-Tahrir (Party of Islamic Liberation), has met repeatedly with Taliban officials and was praised publicly by the Taliban prime minister's office in Kabul. At least one of the network's projects in Afghanistan was paid for by the Taliban's Ministry of Public Works.

Predictably, given Islamists' long and effective practice of using innocuous-sounding charities for malign ends, the two key organizations supporting the Deobandi jihadist Taliban are Islamic Oasis (Chicago) and Qamar Charity Foundation (German-British).

Among its findings:

  • Direct engagement and endorsement: Taliban leadership, including the prime minister's office, praised and funded these charities for their infrastructure projects and educational initiatives promoting the Taliban's ideology.
  • Supporting wider Islamist ambitions: The Western organizations promote strict Sharia law in Afghanistan by hosting discussions with Islamist leaders and lending strategic support for the Taliban's governance.
  • Recruitment and mobilization efforts: Luring Muslims from the West to Afghanistan, with Islamic Oasis and Qamar assisting visa processing and recruiting skilled professionals for development projects.
  • Financial operations and funding: The network openly discusses establishing cryptocurrencies and other new financial instruments as a means to "bypass" U.S. financial oversight.

"How can an international network of terrorist-supporters thrive in Western countries – time after time – without law enforcement's knowledge, much less action?" said MEF Islamist Watch director and report author Sam Westrop. "There are designated terrorists involved in the Taliban government, and Afghanistan is subject to sanctions. The Justice Department and other federal offices must finally take these threats seriously," he added.

"Why are Western charitable systems allowed to funnel money to a violent theocracy that seeks to reestablish the caliphate?" asked MEF director Gregg Roman. "It boggles the imagination."


The Middle East Forum, a non-profit organization, promotes American interests in the Middle East and protects Western civilization from Islamism. It does so through a combination of original ideas, focused activism, and funding allies. For more information, visit www.meforum.org.

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The jig is up 'cause the rig is in.

https://thefederalist.com/2024/02/29/9-ways-the-feds-are-using-bidenbucks-to-rig-the-2024-election/

And:

Hamas: 'The Israelis are right where we want 

them'

Hamas leader in Gaza sending optimistic messages to terror group's fighters on the ground, WSJ reports.

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Biden only cares about enriching himself and his family. His wife is also a gold diggerand apparently does not wantto give up the treasures of The WhiteHouse.  They care not a whit about the nation.
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Why is Biden pushing for an immoral hostage deal?
By Jonathan Tobin- JNS

Pressure on Israel to agree to pay an exorbitant ransom for the hostages that will grant victory to Hamas isn’t just politically motivated. It’s a betrayal of American interests

A late-night comedy show isn’t the place you generally go for insights on the prospects for stability in the Middle East. But the appearance this week of President Joe Biden on NBC’s “Late Night with Seth Meyers” gave us more than just another example of the broadcast network’s daily in-kind contributions to the Democrats and Biden’s re-election campaign.

The fawning interview served up softballs to the 81-year-old president, intending to undermine concerns about his age and declining abilities. It also served as an opportunity for him to tell us just what the United States stands for in international affairs. The fuzzy rhetoric of the president about being a “Zionist” notwithstanding, his statements about what he wants to happen in the Middle East showed that he was primarily interested in currying favor with his party’s intersectional left wing that despises Zionism and that is well-represented in Hollywood. Working to ensure that Islamist terrorists no longer pose a threat to Israelis or Americans wasn’t high on his “To Do” list.

That was evident in his comments about the imperative for a ceasefire in the current war against Hamas as part of a deal to free Israeli hostages, for Israel to halt its campaign to eradicate the last strongholds of Hamas in Gaza and to pause the fighting before the start of Ramadan. It was also inherent in his insistence that the Palestinians should be rewarded for the Oct. 7 massacres with a diplomatic process that will lead to statehood that they don’t want, but which they can use to continue their genocidal campaign to destroy the one Jewish state on the planet.

An immoral hostage deal

For nearly five months, the Jewish world has been calling for the release of hostages taken by Hamas during the Oct. 7 massacres in southern Israel—all of them. Indeed, the freedom of the hostages is one of Israel’s two main war goals alongside the elimination of Hamas. But as ongoing negotiations for the release of the more than 100 Israelis still being held captive by Hamas in Gaza continue with flurries of diplomatic activity involving the United States, as well as Hamas’s ally Qatar, something is missing from the discussion of the proposed terms for such a deal. And that is a moral compass.

Trading the lives of innocent Israeli civilians who were kidnapped from their homes amid an orgy of mass slaughter, rape and torture that took place on Oct. 7 for the release of Palestinians who have been convicted of acts of violence against Jews, including murder, is a bizarre and immoral concept that has already become normalized. Indeed, it is Israel’s government that has done more to normalize this idea because of its record of paying exorbitant prices to free Israelis held by terrorists. The most recent was in 2011, when Jerusalem traded 1,027 prisoners, including hundreds with Jewish blood on their hands, to gain the release of Gilad Shalit, a young soldier who had been kidnapped by Hamas in 2006. That decision by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu now hangs over the current negotiations as not just a terrible precedent but a benchmark of extortion that Hamas—and its foreign enablers—believe can be made to look as if it were a bargain.

That’s because Israel is reportedly willing to trade large numbers of terrorists for each individual hostage with the number of female Israelis held captive by Hamas (undergoing who knows what torment at their hands) being especially high. The hostage releases are supposedly also going to be strung out over weeks as part of a process in which Hamas can play with the emotions of Israeli families as they hope and pray that their relatives will be let go—and that they are among those still alive (dozens of those still unaccounted for are believed to be dead). Hamas doesn’t want to include captured soldiers, particularly female soldiers, in the early stages of the deal, preferring to hold them as bargaining chips for even higher prices. The terror group that ruled Gaza as an independent state in all but name until Oct. 7 also wants many of the terrorists released to return to the Strip, thus giving them the opportunity to kill more Jews.

More than that, each hostage released, in addition to terrorists freed, will gain Hamas a day of halted fighting and increased supplies to go into the parts of Gaza controlled by the Islamist group. As such, the freedom of Israelis will not just ensure that Palestinians who have committed acts of violence will evade justice; it will mean that the terrorist group itself—pledged to the destruction of Israel and the genocide of its population—is the main beneficiary of the deal. It will be allowed to regroup, resupply and prepare to continue its war on the Jews.

With Biden promising to treat any pause in combat as an excuse to work for a permanent ceasefire, the main outcome of the next hostage deal (and there inevitably will be another) will be not so much an egregious act of extortion as a political victory for Hamas that will solidify its hold on Gaza and its place as the preeminent voice of the Palestinian people.

Pressure on Netanyahu

We know that as far as the families of the hostages are concerned, no price is too high to pay for their loved ones. They are fully entitled to advocate for a deal at any price, and no one should blame them for doing so. Who wouldn’t trade the whole world to save our children or other relations?

It’s true that the campaign inside Israel to pressure Netanyahu to accede to Hamas’s terms is inextricably tied to the country’s politics. To listen to the speeches at weekly Saturday-night rallies in Tel Aviv’s “Hostages Square,” as I did recently, you’d think it was Netanyahu and not Hamas who was the kidnapper, and that he was holding them in his basement rather than desperately waging military and diplomatic campaigns to free them from captivity inside the Islamist group’s remaining tunnel strongholds.

But as sensitive as the prime minister is to that kind of political pressure, the most worrisome aspect of the effort to force Israel to halt the war against Hamas is not coming from within the Jewish state but from its closest ally.

If the reported terms of a hostage deal—the prospects for which seem to change every day, if not every hour—are true, then it’s an astonishing result that ought to give everyone in the civilized world pause. The hostages are important. Still, those tasked with keeping the world safe from terrorism and working against forces that threaten the stability of the Middle East should not just be appalled by the terms, even if they mean freedom to the hostages. They should be actively using all of their political, military, economic and diplomatic leverage to ensure that it doesn’t happen. A Hamas victory in the war, sealed by a hostage deal, would not simply be a defeat for Israel but a devastating blow to the interests of the United States with implications that go far beyond the conflict with the Palestinians.

American interests at stake

Yet it is exactly the outcome that the president of the United States seems most interested in achieving.

Hamas’s leverage would ordinarily only depend on the number of hostages it holds. But in these negotiations, it has other assets. It has an international movement of sympathizers—wittingly and unwitting—and an American government that is more eager to end the war than to eliminate the group that started it with unspeakable atrocities on Oct. 7.

Biden has been at pains to appease those voters who support Hamas. The results of the Michigan Democratic primary this week, in which 13.2% of voters cast ballots as “uncommitted,” will only heighten the pressure on him to do more to please those who regard the terrorist group’s survival as an imperative.

In an act of unintended irony, during his late-night appearance, he claimed that his likely opponent in November—former President Donald Trump—was the candidate of “old ideas” that were discredited. Yet Biden’s position on the Middle East and his insistence that Israel must, sooner or later for the sake of its “survival,” accept a two-state solution is the oldest and most discredited policy option that could be imagined. At this point, it’s not just something that has been tried and failed repeatedly. Palestinians have made it clear they have no interest in a state if it means living in peace next to a Jewish one.

It’s bad enough that Biden still pretends, by every measure of public opinion notwithstanding, that Hamas isn’t broadly popular and representative of the Palestinian people. That’s made all the more egregious by his comments to Myers, in which he called for the toppling of Netanyahu’s democratically elected government because it’s “incredibly conservative.”

It’s also absurd that Biden pretends that the whole world is behind Israel but that it will lose that support unless it stops its campaign against Hamas due to Palestinian casualties falsely labeled as “genocide,” which are regrettable but only continue because the terrorists refuse to surrender. This is much like the Nazis—whose ideology is echoed in Hamas’s goals—in the last days of World War II as they preferred to see Germany destroyed and its people slaughtered rather than concede to the inevitable. His talk of the need for a holiday pause for Ramadan is equally off-base since no one in the international community seems to think it was wrong for Hamas to start a war on the Jewish holiday of Simchat Torah.

Israelis have their own reasons for their views on a hostage deal. Some will support it because of their sympathies for the hostages and their families, or because they think it will hurt Netanyahu. Others oppose it because it will likely mean more Jewish bloodshed in the future. But American interests are also involved. This is a deal that will not just grant a victory to the perpetrators of the largest mass murder of Jews since the Holocaust; it will mean that Hamas would exist as the main force in Palestinian politics for the foreseeable future with unknowable consequences for regional stability. It will be a gift to their Iranian funders and allies elsewhere, like the Houthis, who are threatening the global economy because of Biden’s foolish pre-Oct. 7 appeasement of Iran. Above all, in a world in which the United States still plays an irreplaceable role as the defender of Western values and security, the eagerness with which Biden is pursuing this amoral deal is a measure of just how far American foreign policy has fallen on his watch.
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Erdogan A Menace.145th Day. Ramadan Explosion? Berkley Disgrace.


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Body Language Experts Think Fani Willis Wearing Her Dress Backwards Was the Least of Her Problems
https://pjmedia.com/victoria-taft/2024/02/27/heres-what-the-body-language-experts-say-about-fanis-performance-n4926825
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I agree Turkey is a threat to western unity and NATO but, if what Roman suggests were to occur, it would, in my opinion, throw Turkey into Russia's arms.  Erdogan has options. He is a dangerous menace.
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Turkey Must Be Isolated and Condemned
by Gregg Roman - Israel Hayom

https://www.meforum.org/65604/turkey-must-be-isolated-and-condemned

The Turkish parliament voted to accept Sweden as a member of NATO last month, but this should not distract us from how outrageous Turkish rhetoric and behavior have been under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party (AKP).

Turkey is wildly out of step with other NATO members. Turkish language about Israel is unhinged. Erdogan accused Israel of carrying out "the most heinous attacks in human history"; equated Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with Adolf Hitler, giving Netanyahu the moniker the "butcher of Gaza"; and accused Israel of being a "terror state" that is committing genocide in Gaza.

On the other hand, Erdogan referred to Hamas as a "liberation group" and refused to categorize it as a terrorist organization. Turkish behavior toward Israel has been no less reprehensible and sets it apart from the rest of NATO. Ankara removed Israel as a favored export target to discourage Turkish companies from engaging in commerce with Israel. The Turks also assisted South Africa in that country's ludicrous case against Israel in the International Court of Justice, furnishing Pretoria with "evidence" of Israeli "genocide." When an Israeli soccer player, Sagiv Jehezkel, expressed solidarity with Israeli hostages, he was detained by Turkish authorities. Turkey's Justice Minister said that Jehezkel was under investigation because he had "openly incited the public to hatred and hostility" with "an ugly gesture in support of the Israeli massacre in Gaza."

 
Gregg Roman is director of the Middle East Forum
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Israel’s 145th Day of War
By Sherwin Pomerantz

On the 145th day of the war Israel continues its efforts to move Palestinians in southern Gaza to areas way from Rafah in anticipation of a military operation there sooner rather than later.  Fighting continues nevertheless in all parts of Gaza.  Sadly rocket alerts continue to come in to communities located near the Gaza border.

In the north, Hezbollah has fired some 100 rockets at northern Israel since the beginning of the week in response to an IDF strike on its stronghold deep in Lebanon Monday.  About 40 rockets were launched over the course of Tuesday morning towards the Galilee and Meron alone, causing no casualties.

The IDF did take rare credit for an assassination in southern Lebanon Monday. Senior Hezbollah terrorist, Hassan Hussein Salami was killed while in a moving car in between villages.  Salami was the equivalent of a brigadier general and was responsible for co-ordinating attacks on civilian and IDF sites in Israel, including the launching of anti-tank missiles at the Kiryat Shmona area and the headquarters of the 769th Brigade.  The launches are Hezbollah’s way of showing support for Hamas in its war with Israel. The question is now whether Hezbollah will limit its reaction to just these rocket launches, and whether the IDF will expand its attacks on the terrorists to regain security for tens of thousands of Israeli citizens who were evacuated in October and have yet to come back home.

Details of a revised hostage deal awaiting Hamas’ agreement that would only cover some of the abductees were reported by Reuters on Tuesday.  The latest Israel offer is for 40 hostages who are over the age of 50 and under 19, those who are ill, and all remaining women. In exchange, Israel will stop all military activity for 40 days (i.e. probably the period of Ramadan), release 400 terrorists, including those with blood on their hands, increase the number of humanitarian aid trucks going into Gaza to 500 per day, and deliver thousands of tents and mobile homes for those who fled their homes ahead of the IDF incursion into the Strip.  In addition, Israel reportedly agreed to restore the functioning of bakeries and rehabilitate hospitals in the coastal enclave. The IDF has already given fuel and medical supplies to several of the hospitals they cleared of terrorists so that they could continue to function.

Humanitarian aid to Gaza is a controversial subject in Israel, as its critics say it Is stolen by Hamas instead of being given to civilians, thereby prolonging the war.  According to this outline, Israel stood firm in rejecting Hamas’ demand for a cessation of the war and complete withdrawal of IDF troops from the Gaza Strip.

Qatari media outlet Al Jazeera meanwhile reported Monday night that in exchange for the 40 hostages, Israel has agreed to withdraw its troops from Gazan population centers, stop patrol flights over Gaza for eight hours a day, and allow the gradual return of non-military age civilians to the northern end of the Strip.  In both reports, Israel agreed not to rearrest those terrorists whom it releases.

Hamas officials said on Tuesday night that there had been no breakthrough in the mediated talks with Israel aimed at pausing the war and freeing the remaining hostages in the Gaza Strip, one day after President Biden said he was hopeful that a cease-fire would be in place by next week.  Basem Naim, a Hamas spokesman, said in a text message that the militant group had yet to formally receive “any new proposals” since senior Israeli officials met with Qatari, Egyptian and U.S. mediators in Paris last week to advance a possible deal.

Another Hamas official, Ahmad Abdelhadi, said that the group was sticking to its demand that Israel agree to a long-term cease-fire and that leaks about the talks were designed to pressure Hamas to soften its position.  “We are not interested in engaging with what’s been floated, because it does not fulfill our demands,” Mr. Abdelhadi said Tuesday in a televised interview with al-Mayadeen, a Lebanese broadcaster.

Qatar, a key mediator in the talks, also expressed caution on Tuesday, saying it could not comment on Mr. Biden’s view that negotiators were nearing an agreement.  “The efforts are ongoing; all the parties are conducting regular meetings,” Majed al-Ansari, a spokesman for the Qatari foreign ministry, told reporters in Doha. “But for now, while we certainly hope it will be achieved as soon as possible, we don’t have anything in our hands so as to comment on that deadline.”

Future Leadership  
 
Another potential leader for the post ware government is Sapir Harosh, currently a director on the board of Grip Security. Previously Sapir was with Pitango, Israel’s largest venture capital fund with over $2.5 billion under management. During her time at the fund, Harosh was involved in 20+ investments in early-stage tech start-ups, overseeing 8 of them from sourcing to transaction. She also served as an observer in the boards of 7 companies, including Komodor, PayEm, Frontegg, Swimm, and companies that are still in stealth mode.

Harosh has an extensive network of relationships, skillfully used to locate teams in preliminary stages as potential companies for investment. This network includes colleagues from elite military units, start-ups, angel investors, accelerators, local and global venture capital funds, and start-up service providers. She works closely and regularly with the entrepreneurs and management teams of all companies, assisting them with client relations, talent recruitment, strategic thinking, product development, introductions to the world’s leading capital funds, etc.

Harosh began her career while serving in IDF's elite 8200 unit. In her last position there, she was the recipient of the Unit Commander’s Award of Excellence for her work. Following professional service in the IDF, she relocated to New York, where she served as a procurement manager in the Ministry of Defense’s Mission to the US for two years – while taking part in sensitive procurement processes between the two countries, valued at hundreds of millions of dollars.

Harosh has 5+ years of experience in software engineering with expertise in cloud tech and DevOps and, before joining the venture capital world, had worked as a software engineer at RAFAEL (Rafael Advanced Defense Systems) and some start-ups. Harosh holds a  B.Sc.. in Software Engineering.  She is the youngest board member of the 8200 Alumni Association, where she founded the Young Alumni Community. Since founding the community in 2015, she has overseen all operations, including providing opportunities, employment options, networking, and events to the 4,000 community members who, in return, give back by promoting entrepreneurship and technology in the Israeli society. Harosh has volunteered to establish the community, teaming up with 10 other alumni to oversee its affairs.

Harosh is also a board member of Wize, one of Israel's largest content providers, making science, technology, politics, culture, and other content worlds available to 100,000+ Israelis by providing a platform for speakers in over 2,000 venues throughout Israel. In the past year, she has received recognition for her business and social efforts by being featured on Forbes 30 Under 30, a list of Israel’s 30 most influential people under 30 years old, published annually by Forbes Magazine.

For those who wonder if we have the talent to take Israel to its next stage of growth, Sapir is a shining example of people who can make a difference.
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Preventing a Ramadan Explosion in the Holy Land
by Jonathan Schanzer and Mark Dubowitz_The Liberal Patriot


https://schanzer.pundicity.com/27574/preventing-a-ramadan-explosion-in-the-holy-land


The Muslim holiday of Ramadan begins on March 11 this year. How Israel handles this month-long festival of fasting by day and feasting by night will exert significant influence on the wider conflict in the Middle East—and a possible hostage deal between Israel and Hamas that yields a pause in the current war in Gaza could help mitigate the prospects of unrest. Other players may have significant roles to play, too.

First, it is important to understand the role Ramadan has played in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict over recent years.

The 11-day war between Israel and Hamas in 2021 was undeniably connected to Ramadan. It began after Israeli police, amidst security concerns, closed the plaza outside one of the gates of Jerusalem's Old City at the start of Ramadan. Nightly clashes erupted in the city, holy to all three monotheistic faiths. Tensions further escalated over reports of the possible eviction of Arab families from homes in the Jerusalem neighborhood of Sheikh Jarrah (the eviction never occurred). Soon enough, the Iran-backed terrorist group Hamas began to fire rockets out of Gaza. In the final days of Ramadan, the violence spiraled into all-out war.

Not surprisingly, the Islamic Republic of Iran played a significant role in stoking that clash in 2021. On al-Quds Day—a day created in 1979 by the regime's first Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini to make the last Friday of Ramadan a flash point between Israel and the Palestinians—current supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei exhorted Palestinians to "continue their legitimate, morally correct fight" against Israel. He hailed the use of "precision missiles," and glorified "martyrs" from terror groups.

The following year's Ramadan also proved violent. Hamas leader Khaled Meshal threatened that his group would "escalate in Ramadan, and we are on the verge of hot days." He was not wrong. The month of fasting was preceded by a week of terror that left 11 dead in Israel. After the holiday began, a terror shooting attack rocked Tel Aviv. Senior terrorist leaders encouraged their followers to attack Israel and warned of a "crime against al-Aqsa Mosque during Ramadan." Clashes soon erupted on the Temple Mount, where Palestinian agitators threw stones and shot fireworks at Israeli police who responded with tear gas and rubber bullets.

All signs pointed to another major conflict in 2022. But the policy of Naftali Bennett's government was an important factor in preventing a large conflagration. As Prime Minister Bennett's national security advisor Eyal Hulata, now a colleague at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, told us, "the key was making sure that the Palestinians saw blue, not olive, uniforms." In other words, the presence of police rather than military troops was a psychological distinction that may have helped keep a lid on a wider conflict. Admittedly, a short war between Israel and Palestinian Islamic Jihad did erupt that August, with some 1,100 rockets fired into Israel eliciting nearly 150 strikes by the Israeli Air Force.

Ramadan in 2023 passed without major incident. This was early in the tenure of the current government led by Benjamin Netanyahu. If anything, political unrest on the streets of Israel in response to the government's attempts at a judicial overhaul overshadowed the Palestinian arena.

This Ramadan could look a lot more like 2021. War has been raging in the Gaza Strip since Hamas perpetrated a mass slaughter of 1,200 Israelis on October 7 and took 241 Israelis and foreigners, including Americans, hostage. The subsequent war has brought destruction to Gaza, even as the Israeli military tries to limit civilian casualties in a brutal urban warfare environment where Hamas uses human shields. War on Israel's northern border kicked off one day after the Hamas assault when Hezbollah attacked Israel; Hezbollah has since carried out more than 700 attacks on Israeli territory.

As it fights Hamas in Gaza and against Hezbollah on Israel's northern border, the Israeli military has also operated almost nightly in the West Bank, arresting as many as 7,000 suspects, killing more than 200 terrorists, and destroying homes of those convicted of carrying out violence against Israel. The last few days alone have witnessed a terrorist attack near Maale Adumim, a drone strike against an Islamic Jihad commander in Jenin, and rock-throwing by Palestinians at Israeli vehicles. The West Bank is so volatile that today there are more Israeli military battalions operating there than in Gaza, according to a former Israeli official we spoke to earlier this month. This is to say nothing of the Iran-backed militias attacking Israel and the United States out of Iraq, Syria, and Yemen.

In short, the region is on fire. The White House desperately seeks to prevent a wider war, particularly as America enters a presidential election cycle. Israel continues to work with Washington to this end, focusing primarily on the war in Gaza, while endeavoring to prevent other fronts from exploding. Israeli solutions have ranged from aggressive action to pre-empt terrorist attacks in the West Bank, to potentially offering greater freedoms to Arab residents of Jerusalem, to offering financial perks to the Palestinian Authority. While this might all sound helpful, none of these measures will matter amidst efforts by Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas to forge a unity government with Hamas. This initiative is deemed a nonstarter by the government in Jerusalem, which seeks to delegitimize (if not destroy) Hamas above all else.

But there's another factor that could undermine efforts to contain a violent Ramadan: Israel's right-wing minister for national security, Itamar Ben Gvir. The minister has vowed to bolster security in the West Bank and Jerusalem since the war began, messaging directly to his right-wing and religious supporters. His rhetoric has been troubling to some, including statementspromoting the re-settlement of Palestinians outside of Gaza.

Israeli forces under Ben Gvir's command—regardless of whether they wear blue or olive—have the potential to set off a chain reaction that nobody wants. Tensions are already rising over the security-related limitations that Israel may impose on prayers at the al-Aqsa Mosque during Ramadan.

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu must now consider sidelining Ben Gvir to the extent possible, for the sake of Israeli national security. The prime minister has the authority to take control of the Israeli police and other internal security forces under his command—and he should do so, at least temporarily during Ramadan. Doing so won't be easy, given that Ben Gvir is a key pillar of the Netanyahu government. Should Ben Gvir decide to walk away, Netanyahu would have to either replace his party in the coalition or face the prospect of new elections.

In the end, the real key to preventing a Ramadan explosion this year likely lies in a hostage deal between Hamas and Israel. Obviously, the Israelis are eager to make a deal that would see the release of more than 100 hostages held by Hamas for more than four months—and they are pushing hard for a deal before Ramadan begins. The French hosted meetings in Paris last Friday to that end, and those talks yielded an outline agreed upon by all sides. Negotiations are ongoing in Qatar, with some further signs of optimism.

Should a deal be reached in the next few days and weeks, it could lower the temperature across the region. If the last ceasefire was any indication, it could lead to a cessation or reduction of violence on the northern border with Lebanon, and perhaps mitigate security crises in the West Bank and Jerusalem. The United States could tout such a deal as providing respite to the Palestinian population in Gaza. Such a message might resonate across the Arab world during Ramadan, and ultimately make it easier for the Saudis to reengage on normalization talks with Israel.

A hostage deal during Ramadan might have one other positive impact. It could provide the Israelis and Egyptians the time they need to iron out a plan to deal with the estimated 1.4 million Palestinians currently sheltering in tents and temporary housing in the town of Rafah. The Israeli military will need to conduct ground maneuvers in Rafah soon to destroy the remaining Hamas battalions, block tunnels between Egypt and Gaza, and stop the transfer of weapons to Hamas. But a plan to evacuate civilians is urgently needed before this crucial battle can occur.

As always, there are many moving parts. Several malign actors—Iran, Qatar, Turkey, Hamas, Hezbollah—could play the role of spoiler. If there was ever a time for the United States to wield its influence as a superpower on these actors, this would be it. Washington must convey clearly to Qatar that it is time to get Hamas in line. The U.S. must also convey to Iran, Turkey, and the other Hamas backers that this year's Ramadan cannot spin out of control.

Calm must be brokered soon. A ceasefire during Ramadan is urgently needed. After that, war will almost certainly resume, with the goal of defeating Hamas's military in its entirety. But this objective must be achieved without sparking a regional conflict. With a little effort, a wider conflagration could be contained... at least for now.

Jonathan Schanzer is senior vice president for research at Foundation for Defense of Democracies, where Mark Dubowitz is chief executive officer. Follow them on X @JSchanzer and @MDubowitz.
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