Thursday, May 30, 2019

Still Wading Through Accumulation of Op Eds and Cartoons etc.

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https://thehill.com/opinion/judiciary/445983-dershowitz-shame-on-robert-mueller-for-exceeding-his-role?amp
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If you believe America is destroying itself from within there is no comparison when it comes to Israel.

The political hatred for Bibi equals Democrat's hatred of Trump, even in the face of a first happening  Bibi helped to bring about. (See 1, 1a and 1b below.)
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A random op ed re Social Security.

When government concocts a name and affixes it to legislation you should not trust it will accomplish what it implies. (See 2 below.)
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Avi update. (See 3 below.)
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Affirmation about my thoughts regarding France and, for that matter, most of Europe. (See 4 below.)
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Random thoughts of yours truly. (See 5 below.)
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Dick
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1)Trump Has Become the Democrats' Great White Whale
By Victor Davis Hanson
   
    
 President Trump boards Air Force One after a reelection rally in
Montoursville, Pa., May 20, 2019. (Carlos Barria/Reuters) 
Even if the quest to destroy Trump eclipses all else, it seems not to matter
to these modern Ahabs. 
One way of envisioning the Democratic obsessions with Donald Trump is as an
addiction. We have seen the initial impeachment efforts; the attempt to get
him under the emoluments clause, the Logan Act, and the 25th Amendment; the
Russian collusion hoax; the Mueller investigation; the demand for his tax
returns; and the psychodramas involving Michael Avenatti, Michael Cohen, and
Stormy Daniels. Relentless progressives have needed a new Get Trump fix
about every two months.
More practically, their fixation also substitutes for a collective poverty
of ideas. The Democratic party has no plan to secure the borders other than
to be against whatever Trump is for. They would not build a wall, deport
illegal entrants, end sanctuary cities, fine employers, or do much of
anything but allow almost anyone to enter the U.S.
The homeless crisis is reaching epidemic proportions in our cities, almost
all of them run by progressive mayors and city councils. None have any
workable plan to clean the sidewalks of needles and human excrement. None
know what to do with the hundreds of thousands who have camped out in public
spaces, endangering their own health and that of everyone around them due to
drug addiction and inadequate sanitation and waste removal.
On abortion, the new Democratic position seems to be that the unborn can be
aborted at any time the mother chooses, up to and including the moment of
birth.
The Green New Deal has been endorsed by most of the current
Democratic-primary candidates, even though they privately know its utopian
fantasies would shut down the U.S. economy and destroy the present
prosperity fueled by record energy production, deregulation, and tax reform
and reduction.
Abroad, were Democrats for or against abrogating the Iran nuclear deal,
moving the U.S. embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, and prodding
China to follow reciprocal trade rules? How do they propose to deal with
North Korean nuclear-tipped missiles that seemed to suddenly appear as
Barack Obama left office?
Have Democrats proposed canceling the new pipeline construction that Trump
has fast-tracked? Would they scale way back on the natural-gas and oil
production that has made America energy-independent and on the cusp of
becoming the world's greatest energy exporter?
Democrats have occasionally talked of implementing reparations for slavery,
a wealth tax, and free college tuition, and of eliminating college debt,
Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and the Electoral College. Yet they
have never spelled out exactly how they would enact such radical proposals
that likely do not appeal to a majority of the population.
Would they reverse Trump tax cuts, stop hectoring NATO members to pay their
promised defense contributions, restore NAFTA, or revive the Trans-Pacific
Partnership trade agreement?
For now, no one has much of an idea what Democratic candidates would
actually do, much less how they would do it.
Instead, the fallback position is always that "Trump stole the 2016
election," "the Mueller report did not really exonerate Trump of collusion
and obstruction," and "Trump must be impeached or somehow stopped from
finishing his first term."
When the Mueller report found no collusion and no indictable grounds for
obstruction of the non-crime of collusion, for a moment, progressives
suffered an identity crisis. The temporary paralysis was prompted by the
terror that without a crusade to remove Trump, they might have to offer an
alternative vision and agenda that would better appeal to 2020 voters.
The Democratic establishment has become something like novelist Herman
Melville's phobic Captain Ahab, who became fatally absorbed with chasing his
nemesis, the albino whale Moby Dick. The great white whale once ate part of
Ahab's leg, and he demands revenge - even if such a never-ending neurosis
leads to the destruction of his ship and crew.
Democrats can never forgive Trump for unexpectedly defeating supposed sure
winner Hillary Clinton in 2016 and then systematically - and loudly -
undoing the eight-year agenda of Obama.
So far, Trump seems to have escaped all of their efforts to spear and remove
him before the 2020 election. Trump, like Moby Dick, seems a weird force of
nature whose wounds from constant attacks only seem to make him more
indestructible and his attackers even more obsessed with their prey.
Even if the quest to destroy Trump eclipses every other consideration and
entails the destruction of the modern Democratic party, it seems not to
matter to these modern Ahabs.
Getting Trump is all they live for - and all they have left.


1a) Israel goes back to elections as Netanyahu fails to form coalition
By GIL HOFFMAN,LAHAV HARKOV
Exactly one month after the 21st Knesset was sworn in, a majority of the Knesset voted late Wednesday night to disperse and initiate an unprecedented repeat election on September 17.

It was the first time in Israeli history that a candidate for prime minister failed to form a coalition after being given the task by the president after an election.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the Likud faction ahead of the vote that he had not succeeded in reaching a compromise with Yisrael Beytenu leader Avigdor Liberman on the controversial haredi (ultra-Orthodox) conscription bill, and that he had also tried unsuccessfully to woo MKs from the opposition to join his government.

“The State of Israel is going to elections because of the Likud’s refusal to accept our proposal,” Liberman said as he entered the Knesset plenum. “This is a complete surrender of the Likud to the ultra-Orthodox. We will not be partners in a government of Jewish law.”

Tourism Minister Yariv Levin, head of the Likud’s negotiating team, told reporters “it’s over,” as he arrived at the Likud meeting after his last negotiation had failed.


Environmental Protection Minister Ze’ev Elkin said that there was no choice but to hold new elections, due to Liberman’s intransigence and refusal to accept “1,000 compromises” that had been offered throughout the last week.



The vote – taken just after the midnight deadline by which Netanyahu needed to tell President Reuven Rivlin whether he had been able to form a governing coalition – was 74 to 45 in favor of dispersing.

Opposition MKs shouted “shame, shame, shame” in unison ahead of the vote.

The Likud initiated the bill to dissolve the Knesset rather than give Rivlin a chance to appoint someone other than Netanyahu to form a government.

In presenting the bill to the Knesset, Likud MK Miki Zohar said that he is “disappointed by the situation, but we were forced into it.” He admitted that the decision “would not be remembered positively in our history.”

“The Left asks us why we didn’t give [Blue and White leader] Benny Gantz a chance to form the coalition,” Zohar said. “Two and a half million people voted as if they had two votes, for their party and for [Netanyahu]... despite knowing about the [pre-indictment] hearing [for the prime minister on corruption charges]. They didn’t want Gantz.”

According to Zohar, those calling to let Gantz form the government are “saying to give the opportunity to the minority to form the government at the expense of the majority. The majority rules, while the minority has rights. That is the meaning of democracy.”

The bill called the election for September 17, but there were several other options the coalition was set to vote on in the second reading. Netanyahu asked the other parties to back September 17, because that is what Yisrael Beytenu preferred, and he needed them to have a majority in favor of dissolving the Knesset.

In the unsuccessful coalition talks, the Likud had proposed that as soon as the government would be formed, Liberman’s original conscription law would be presented, as written and in his language, for the approval of the Knesset plenum. After its approval, there would be more negotiations when the law would be prepared for its final readings.

If that agreement is not reached by the end of July, the party said, and in accordance with the decision of the High Court of Justice, the current arrangement that has exempted haredim from being drafted would expire, and the compulsory service law would apply to all. The ultra-Orthodox parties would therefore have to choose between Liberman’s version of the law or a return to the original law, which means full mobilization for haredim, the Likud said.

“The proposal has now been submitted to the parties, and we await their positive response in order to form a right-wing government tonight and prevent unnecessary elections,” the party wrote.

In response, United Torah Judaism said that it would back another party to lead the coalition.

“We won’t retreat beyond what we have agreed to,” UTJ leader Deputy Health Minister Ya’acov Litzman said in his initial response to the Likud statement. “I still believe that a government can be formed. I’m on my way to sign on the coalition agreement.”

Liberman also initially rejected the proposal, saying it was not exactly what he had said all along about the conscription bill needing to be passed into law as is.

The proposal was made after the Likud reported that it had secured agreements with 60 MKs from the Likud, Kulanu, UTJ, Shas and the Union of Right-Wing Parties, leaving it only one MK short of a majority coalition.

After Kulanu denied that it had signed any documents and insisted it won’t sign unless the coalition would include 61 MKs, the Likud said the deal with Kulanu was complete and ready to be signed, pending Liberman joining the government.

Hours ahead of the deadline, Liberman stood his ground on the matter of haredi conscription.

“We repeatedly said we want the original [haredi] conscription bill, nothing else,” Liberman said. “People claiming that there’s a compromise, when it was just 10 millimeters of movement, are not familiar with the bill.”

Liberman said that proposed compromises “empty the bill of all content,” and he will not agree to them.

The bill, which the Defense Ministry drafted under Liberman’s leadership, sets rising annual targets for haredi conscription in the IDF.

“The bill is good for the IDF, for the haredim and for Israel,” Liberman stated. “We have to be reasonable. I am appealing to the haredi MKs’ reason.... There is no better bill than this. Let it pass with you abstaining.”

The Likud attacked Liberman fiercely throughout the day.

“Liberman continues to mislead,” the Likud said in an official statement. “He says ‘I will consider’ to every offer and stalls for a few days. His goal is to end Netanyahu’s career and replace him.”

The Likud mocked Liberman for portraying himself as the defender of secular people, after he prevented there being a secular mayor of Jerusalem.

“For a few seats and his hunger for power, he is dragging an entire country to elections,” the Likud concluded.

Yisrael Beytenu responded by condemning the Likud’s tone and reiterating that Liberman’s views on the conscription bill have been consistent.

Earlier, a Likud spokesman confirmed that offers were made to the Labor Party and the Blue and White Party. In talks with Labor head Avi Gabbay, Netanyahu offered him the Defense or Finance ministries and three other ministerial positions, in an effort to convince him to join his government.

A Labor spokesman confirmed that the party received an offer from the Likud that included stopping bills that the party believes would harm democracy, including the Immunity Law. But the spokesman said the offer was considered and rejected.

Labor MKs expressed outrage that Gabbay mulled the offer for a full day before telling them. By contrast, Blue and White said no immediately.

Opposition MKs took advantage of the nearly 12-hour debate to bring up their grievances against the government that was never formed.

Many lamented the estimated NIS 475 million that the election will cost, according to the Finance Ministry, saying that taxpayer money would be better spent elsewhere. In addition, industry experts estimated that the day off for Election Day will cost the economy NIS 2 billion.

“Likud MKs, you also have the option of showing some courage and saying no to Netanyahu,” Blue and White MK Miki Haimovich said.

Another MK from Blue and White, Yoaz Hendel, said: “Have an opinion. If you’re on the Right, then Right; Left, then Left. But say something other than ‘Bibi!’ Is that Right? When it comes to Hamas, you turn into Peace Now. When there are [corruption] allegations, you become defense attorneys. You turned into dishrags.”

Blue and White MK Ram Shefa hosted a trivia game from the Knesset stage, asking who said various quotes from politicians, and offering champagne, cigars and trays of take-out meals – references to Netanyahu’s corruption investigations.

Alon Einhorn and Tzvi Joffre contributed to this report.


1b) Jerusalem to host ‘unprecedented’ Israel-Russian-US security summit

US National Security Advisor John Bolton and Russian counterpart Nikolay Patrushev expected to discuss Syria, Iran with Meir Ben-Shabbat next month


Jerusalem will host next month an unprecedented trilateral meeting of top security officials from Israel, Russia and the US, the White House announced on Wednesday.
“In June, United States National Security Adviser Ambassador John Bolton, Israeli National Security Adviser Meir Ben-Shabbat, and Russian Secretary of the Security Council Nikolay Patrushev will meet in Jerusalem, Israel, to discuss regional security issues,” the White House press secretary said in a statement issued minutes before the Knesset voted to disband and to set new elections for September 17.
Minutes after the vote, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu referred to the planned meeting, stressing its unique nature and importance for Israel’s national security.
 “We have a lot of things that we want to do,” a visibly upset Netanyahu told reporters. “This is what we want to do, not unnecessary elections… A meeting like has never taken place before in Israel. Never.”
He did not reveal what would be on the agenda.
The rare tripartite meeting is expected to deal mostly with Syria, specifically Iran’s efforts to entrench itself militarily near Israel’s borders, and the planned withdrawal of US troops from the war-torn country.
Moscow is a close ally of Tehran and Damascus, while Jerusalem and Washington are the Islamic Republic’s arch-enemies.
Ben-Shabbat met Bolton last month in Washington, mainly to discuss Iran and “other destabilizing actors,” the senior US administration official said at the time.
He and Ben-Shabbat reiterated their “shared commitment to countering Iranian malign activity & other destabilizing actors in the Middle East and around the world,” Bolton tweeted.
Ben-Shabbat last met with Patrushev in September 2018 in Moscow to discuss “regional issues in the Middle East, including the situation in Syria,” according to a readout provided by the Prime Minister’s Office. “National Security Adviser Ben-Shabbat emphasized that Israel insists that Iranian forces must leave all of Syria,” the readout read.
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2)
WHO TOOK MY MONEY?

Actually, Democrat President Kennedy and Sergeant Shriver were the first ones to misuse the Social Security account.  They used Social Security funds to start the Peace Corps.   Not the first or last time our money has been taken from American citizens and given to foreign nations.

Things every US citizen should know and remember about Social Security and changes made:

A History Lesson on Your Social Security Card . . . Just in case some of you young whippersnappers (& some older ones) didn't know this.   It's easy to check out, if you don't believe it.   Be sure and show it to your family and friends.   They need a little history lesson on what's what and it doesn't matter whether you are Democrat or Republican . . .

Facts are Facts

Social Security Cards, until the 1980s, expressly stated that the number and card were NOT to be used for identification purposes.   Because nearly everyone in the United States now has a number, it became convenient to use it anyway and the message, NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION, was removed.

Franklin Roosevelt, a Democrat, introduced the Social Security (FICA) Program.

He promised:

1.) That participation in the program would be completely voluntary.
No longer voluntary.

2.) That the participants would only have to pay 1% of the first $1,400 of their annual Incomes into the program.
Now 7.65% on the first $90,000.

3.) That the money the participants elected to put into the Program would be deductible from their income for tax purposes each year.
No longer tax deductible

4.) That the money the participants put into the independent 'Trust Fund' rather than into the general operating fund, and therefore, would only be used to fund the Social Security Retirement Program, and no other government program.
Under Democrat President Lyndon Johnson, the money was moved to the General Fund and Spent.

5.) That the annuity payments to the retirees would never be taxed as income.
Under Democrats Clinton & Gore, up to 85% of your Social Security can be taxed.

Because many of us have paid into FICA for years and are now receiving a Social Security check every month and then finding that we are getting taxed on 85% of the money we paid to the Federal government to 'put away' -- you may be interested in the following:

Q: Which Political Party took Social Security from the independent 'Trust Fund' and put it into the general fund so that Congress could spend it?
A: It was Lyndon Johnson and the Democrat-controlled House and Senate.

Q: Which Political Party eliminated the income tax deduction for Social Security (FICA) withholding?
A: The Democrat Party

Q: Which political party started taxing Social Security annuities?
A: The Democrat Party. Al Gore cast the 'tie-breaking' deciding vote as President of the Senate while he was Vice President of the U.S.

Q: Which political party decided to start giving annuity payments to immigrants?
A: That's right! Jimmy Carter and the Democrat Party. Immigrants moved into this country, and at age 65, began to receive Social Security payments! The Democrat Party gave these payments to them, even though they never paid a dime into it!

Then, after violating the original contract (FICA), the Democrats turn around and tell you that the Republicans want to take your Social Security away!
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3)



Humanity First: Saving Lives through Crowdsourcing Emergency Responders
By Avi Jorisch

When people think of Israel, so often the word “conflict” comes to mind, yet the reality is far more complicated than news reports make it appear. Despite the conflict – or perhaps because of it – Israel has one of the most advanced systems in the world for saving lives. As Jared Kushner crafts his comprehensive peace strategy for a “shared society” for Israelis and Palestinians, he should note some harrowing statistics that reflect tragedy but actually offer the hope of facilitating coexistence.

Terror
 statistics in Israel are heartbreaking. From the state’s founding in 1948 through the end of 2017, 1,362 terrorist attacks resulted in 3,699 dead and 14,734 injured. These numbers are shocking when compared to the United States, where over the last thirty years, the average death rate per million from terrorism is 0.44, compared to Israel’s 11.9.Furthermore, though Israel is also known to have many fatal accidents, ambulances take about twenty minutes on average to arrive at the scene.

Yet there is a silver lining. One extraordinary organization, United Hatzalah, has leveraged technology and some 5,000 people to save an awe-inspiring number of lives – Jewish, Christian and Muslim, Israeli and Palestinian. “Hatzalah” means rescue in Hebrew, and the organization provides rapid, professional, pre-ambulance emergency care with a record-breaking average response time of three minutes and in major cities, often 90 seconds. Its free services operate 24 hours a day, seven days a week, and its volunteer emergency responders include Jews, Muslims, Christians, Arabs, Druze and Bedouins.

Hatzalah fulfills its mission using “ambucycles,” retrofitted motorcycles that act as mini-ambulances and are equipped with a trauma kit, oxygen canister, blood-sugar monitor and defibrillator. Ambucycles are not meant to replace traditional ambulances, but they can shorten the time it takes EMTs to provide first aid and life-saving support. Eli Beer, who founded the organization, calls it “a lifesaving flash mob.”

Ten years ago, Hatzalah created an Uber-like app for emergency responders. Using a standard smartphone GPS, the system draws a perimeter around an incident and alerts the five closest volunteers through a series of loud beeps on their phones. Anyone who identifies an emergency can call a toll-free number in Israel that is routed to the United Hatzalah nerve center, which blasts out the alert.

As a result of its unique mission and the single-minded focus of its founder, United Hatzalah has become the most financially successful Jewish or Israeli nonprofit founded since the turn of the century. According to Charity Navigator, which provides financial information on charities, the organization has an annual budget of about $15 million dollars, the vast majority of which goes directly to funding life-saving equipment and training volunteers. This is a testament to the value the organization’s donors place on savings lives – be they Muslim, Christian or Jewish - and making the world a better place.

United Hatzalah has chapters not only in East Jerusalem, whose population is heavily Arab, but in three predominantly Arab Israeli cities: Tira, Kafr Kana and Kafr Qasim. It also has a total of some 450 Arab and Bedouin volunteers of various faiths – Druze, Christian and Muslim – throughout Israel, who wear vests with United Hatzalah logos in Arabic and English. Today, both Jewish and Arab volunteers answer calls in Jerusalem, in Arab cities within the Green Line, and even in West Bank towns that each group normally considers to be dangerous. “We started hand in hand,” says Beer. “Arabs were saving Jews. Jews were saving Arabs. Something special happened … it’s an unbelievable situation . . . all of a sudden they had a common interest.”

United Hatzalah has helped break down preconceived notions and stereotypes among the volunteers. People who would normally never interact with members of one of the other groups –ultra-Orthodox and secular Jews, Christians, Muslims, Bedouins and Druze – now work together. There is “so much tragedy, so much hate. It’s not about saving Jews. It’s not about saving Muslims. It’s not about saving Christians. It’s about saving people,” says Muhammad Asli, an Arab medic and Jerusalem native. When Asli’s uncle fell ill, it was a religious Jew from the disputed territories who took care of him. Beer had a similar experience. A few years ago, when his father collapsed from a heart attack, one of the first volunteers to arrive on the scene was Muslim. “He saved my father,” Beer says. “Could you imagine?” He adds: “Saving lives is important to all religions.”

There is no reason why this initiative cannot be expanded to Palestinian-controlled areas of the West Bank and Gaza. Israeli and Palestinian areas of the West Bank saw 28 fatal 
car accidents and 34 people killed in 2015, and 32 accidents with 42 people killed in 2016. There are many moving stories of Jews savings Arabs and vice versa. For example, in the winter of 2017, a Palestinian family administered first aid to victims of a fatal bus crash just north of Ramallah. Rushing out in their pajamas with flashlights, “they didn’t think about it or consider it,” says Cpt. Sivan Raviv, an Israeli medical officer. “They saw saving lives as their first priority. When we got there we saw the family trying to extract passengers and treating them.”

“United Hatzalah is the essence of saving human lives before anything else,” says Professor Alan Dershowitz. “It grows out of the heart and souls of people who just want to do good. There is no reward more important than the knowledge that you made the difference between life and death.” Saving lives is a universal yearning, and United Hatzalah has proven it can be successful even across religious and political divides.
 

Avi Jorisch is the author of Thou Shalt Innovate: How Israeli Ingenuity Repairs the World (Gefen Publishing). He is also a Senior Fellow at the American Foreign Policy Council and The Israel Project

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4)

France Is Dead as a Cohesive Judeo-Christian Nation

by 
Originally published under the title "Is France Dead? As a Cohesive Western, Judaeo-Christian Nation: Yes."

The recent religious and architectural disaster at Notre Dame marks the passing of France as the distinct Judeo-Christian nation.
There was something darkly symbolic about the fire that nearly destroyed the cathedral of Notre Dame in Paris on April 15 – the morrow of Palm Sunday — and the fall amid heavy smoke of its 93-metre iron spire. One couldn't help linking the religious and architectural disaster with a deeper crisis: the passing of France as a distinct country, or at least as the Western, Judeo-Christian nation it had hitherto been presumed to be.
Writing in Causeur the morning after, Hadrien Desuin, a conservative journalist, conveyed some of these feelings as he observed: "Beyond the cathedral's fire, France itself is burning ...We have witnessed the Church's slow death ... and now even the old stones are collapsing... Yes, France may die... That's what Notre-Dame's flames tell us."
Prophesying imminent doom is admittedly as old as civilisation itself. While most such warnings remain merely rhetorical, many others are however validated by ensuing events, from the forebodings of Cassandra of Troy three thousand years ago – as recorded by Homer — to Winston Churchill's statements in the wake of the Munich accords in 1938.
A momentous and hazardous transformation is in the making in France.
Regarding France in 2019, it can no longer be denied that a momentous and hazardous transformation, a "Great Switch", is in the making. Jerôme Fourquet, an analyst for the very mainstream Ifop polling institute, garnered in a book released last February, L'Archipel français (The French Archipelago), a wide range of figures in this respect. According to him, Catholicism, once France's main religion, is indeed waning. So is, by implication, a traditional view of life, death, family, individual destiny and politics. By the same token, immigrant Muslim communities with completely different outlooks and values are rising within French society at a rapid pace, and getting ever more assertive. L'Archipel français was awarded the 2019 Political Book Prize by a jury comprised of the political editor of thirty leading newspapers and media.

Catholicism is waning as immigrant Muslim communities with completely different outlooks and values are rising within French society.
"The spectacular decline of Catholicism has been France's main religious phenomenon over the past fifty years," Fourquet writes in his opening chapter. In 1961, Catholicism was the social norm and baptism a near universal practice: 92 per cent of the French were then baptised. Today, 80 per cent of the present population is still reported as baptised. However, this is largely an optical illusion resulting from higher life expectancy: 46 per cent of the present French population were more than 50 years old in 2012, hence born before 1961. The figures are quite different when it comes to younger citizens: the younger the bracket, the fewer are baptised.
While 79 per cent of middle-aged citizens (35-49 years old) were baptised in 2012, the proportion fell to 70 per cent among the young adults (25-34) and to 65 per cent among the very young adults (18-25). Moreover, only 58 per cent of the baptised French were considering baptising their own children, and an even lower proportion actually did it. Among the children aged 0 to 7, "48.8 out of 100 were baptised in 1999, 40 out of 100 baptised in 2005, 34 in 2010, and 30 in 2015."
Quite naturally, a decreasing interest in Catholicism's prime sacrament translates into a decreasing interest in other sacraments as well, and indifference towards the most pressing teachings of the Church. In 1961, 38 per cent of baptised Catholics said they attended Mass "every Sunday" or "as often as possible". In 2012, just 7 per cent attended Mass.

The most immediate reason for the decline of French Catholicism is a growing shortage of priests and other clergy.
The most immediate reason for the decline of French Catholicism is a growing shortage of priests and other clergy, a very severe difficulty for a priest-based religion. "There were as many priests, monks and nuns in France in 1950 as at the beginning of the Revolution in 1789: 177,000 against 170,000. Their number fell to 51,500 in 2015." That is to say to less than one third of the original number.
The turning point, according to Fourquet, was Vatican II: the Ecumenical Council of 1962-65, which undertook drastic reforms in the Church's life. Priests were requested to forgo much of their traditional authority, and at the same time to stay poor, obedient and celibate. Many of them felt that was too much, and left the Church; likewise, many Catholic seminarians desisted from taking vows. This combined trend – an exit of older priests and a shortage of new priests – accelerated over the years, reducing France's Catholic parish clergy from 25,203 priests in 1990 to 11,908 in 2015. Half of what is left of the clergy today are old and beyond the age of retirement, a situation "that will lead mechanically to a further decrease in the coming years". The French Church is relying nowadays on "Southern countries' priests", a euphemism for African, Latin American and Asian recruits, to keep a minimum of 7-8,000 parishes operational. Quite a reversal of fortune for a country that in the 19th century provided three quarters of the missionaries who actually founded the African and Asian churches.

Quoting historian Guillaume Cuchet, Fourquet notes that Catholicism was until 1962 "commensurate with the French nation-state itself", and as such played an important conservative and stabilising role in French society at large, especially as the custodian of family values. Once the Church withered, the West's late 20th century and early 21st century "anthropological revolution" — sexual laisser-faire and the end of the family – went on unchecked, among practising as well as nominal Catholics or unbaptised post-Catholics. Marriage, either religious or civil, was quietly discarded for cohabitation or civil partnerships. From more than 400,000 marriages a year in the early 1970s, the numbers fell to less than 250,000 in the 2010s; divorce rose from 40,000 a year (one in ten marriages) to 100,000 (one in 2,5). Births out of wedlock grew from 10 per cent fifty years ago to 30 per cent in 1990 and 60 per cent in 2018. Support for abortion rose from 48 to 75 per cent; acceptance of gay lifestyles and same-sex marriage grew from less than 50 per cent in 1995 to almost 70 per cent in 2014; support for LGBT procreation and adoption rights grew from 33 per cent in 1996 to 53 per cent in 2014. No wonder that the birthrate spiraled down: the total fertility rate dropped below replacement level – two children per woman – from 1975 on. Admittedly, it did not fall as much as in other Western countries: 1.3 in Spain, 1.5 in Germany, 1.8 in the United Kingdom and in the United States. But this may have to do with the presence in France of a very large, and largely Muslim, immigrant community.
Census figures based on origin, religion or ethnicity are banned or restricted in France by law. As a result, very low and unrealistic demographic estimations of French Islam have been circulated for decades. As of today, many academics and some government agencies still routinely contend that the Muslim population does not exceed 6 to 8 per cent of the general population in Metropolitan France (the overseas counties not included), that is to say 3.9 to 5.2 million out of 65 million. According to Fourquet, these numbers do not fit squarely with other data, such as the very high proportion of Muslim first names among French children born in 2016: 18.8 per cent nationwide, 25 to 35 or 40 per cent in highly urbanised counties in Greater Paris, Greater Lyons, the Mediterranean area, Eastern France, Northern France. Such a discrepancy means, to say the least, that French Muslims have many more children than non-Muslims. It may also imply, as many demographers or analysts had always suspected since the 1990s (1), that the authorised data on Muslim immigration, including illegal immigration, had always been flawed, and that there were far more Muslim parents to start with than assumed.

The French have shown a remarkable ability to absorb and assimilate immigrant communities, but this pattern does not seem to be working with Muslims.
One reason why French Islam has been demographically underestimated is that surveys, when conducted, have focused on first generation immigrants from Muslim countries, rather than on second generation as well or on converts. True enough, the French showed in the past a remarkable ability to absorb and assimilate many immigrant communities, including non-Christian or non-European groups. But this pattern does not seem to be working when it comes to Muslims.
Fourquet draws a comparison between two well-documented 20th-century immigrant groups, the Catholic Polish immigrants in Northern France and the Eastern Orthodox Armenian refugees in Marseilles, and the 21st-century Muslim immigrant community. First generation Poles and Armenians tended to be very conservative, to marry among themselves and to give their children Polish or Armenian first names. Second generation Poles and Armenians stayed fairly true to their roots and religion, but otherwise fully integrated into the French mainstream, opened up to intermarriage and gave their own children French first names.
Second-generation Muslims are just as conservative and ethnocentric as their parents, and even more so in many respects.
21st century second generation Muslims are, on the contrary, just as conservative and ethnocentric as their parents, and even more so in many respects. Outwardly expressed religiosity has been increasing over the past two decades: 71 per cent of all Muslims fast nowadays on Ramadan, against 60 per cent in the 1990s; only 22 per cent of all Muslims admit drinking alcohol in 2016, against 39 per cent in the 1990s; 35 per cent of all Muslim women wear the hijab, against 24 per cent in 2003. Intermarriage with non-Muslims has been steadily declining: even Muslim men who in the 20th century felt free, as "dominant partners", to consort with non-Muslim women, now prefer to restrict themselves to Muslim women. And most second generation Muslim parents still insist giving Muslim first names to their infants.
According to Fourquet, there is an even deeper "anthropological" divide between the non-Muslim majority and a rapidly growing Muslim minority: the emphasis on female premarital virginity. While premarital "purity" is seen as "important" by only 8 per cent of the French nationwide and only 23 per cent of practicing Catholics, it is described as required by 67 per cent of the citizens who claim a "Muslim cultural heritage" and by 74 per cent of strictly religious Muslims.
Fourquet does not question the French Muslims' right to a distinct identity, nor their right to uphold family and marriage values that, a few decades ago, were favored by non-Muslims as well. Yet he makes clear that a drastic Muslim separation from the mainstream French in everyday life bears consequences.
First and foremost, segregation – or "partition", as François Hollande, the then Socialist President of France, warned in 2016 – is a recipe for civil war. The less they mingle and interact with the global population, the more French Muslims are mired in salafism, jihadism and other Muslim supremacy ideologies. And the more they may be tempted to act according to them.
Outbursts of high intensity terrorism (attacks against military or police personnels, murder of Jews, including children and senior citizens, the assassination of an 80-year-old Catholic priest during Mass, the mass killings in Paris and Nice in 2015 and 2016) are only one side of the coin. It is likely that the elections this week will strengthen the evidence of "low-intensity" terrorism against non-Muslims in Muslim-dominated areas: neighbours or retailers pressured to leave, churches or synagogues attacked by arson or defaced, public buildings torched. Once the area is cleared of a non-Muslim presence, a Sharia-based State within the State is established, where everybody must conform to Muslim ways, especially women, and non-Muslim visitors are either banned or closely monitored. More often than not, Sharia rule is enforced by Muslim mobsters, specialising in drugs, who have a vested interest into the existence of such "no-go zones". Fourquet dwells at length on Grand Mirail, a neighbourhood in Toulouse of 40,000 people turned into an Islamic enclave. It is a case, according to the French police, of a rampant "hybridisation" of petty theft, drug trafficking and religious radicalisation that ultimately leads to jihadist terrorism.
A further consequence of Muslim separatism is poverty. While Greater Toulouse, the home of Airbus, is one of France's most developed metropolises, scoring well ahead of the national average in science, science-related business, industry, media and communication, the art and performing arts, Islamic enclaves such as Grand Mirail are among the less developed, with a 30 per cent unemployment rate (even 50 per cent among the young adults) and 50 per cent of the households living below the poverty line. The more Islamic a neighbourhood is, the less effective the school system, and the less likely its younger inhabitants are to get a job. This is a vicious circle that usually reinforces Islamic conformity, hostility towards the outside world and support for delinquent or terrorist networks. Similar patterns can be found everywhere.
France as a nation is giving way to an "archipelago" of competing subsocieties.
Fourquet is forced to conclude that France, once proudly self-defined as a "one and single nation", is collapsing "at amazing pace" into "ethnocultural heterogeneity", and that its once extensive state-controlled and state-funded administrative and social framework is unravelling in the process. The Gilets Jaunes (Yellow Vests) crisis, which erupted while he was writing his book, may be in a large way a response of the ordinary French to an unprecedented disaster – and to the insensitivity displayed by President Emmanuel Macron and parts of the elite towards them. It may also indicate, as Fourquet suggests, that the process has reached such a point that France as a nation has given way to an "archipelago" of competing subsocieties.
Naturally, other factors have been at work as well: the transfer of political and economic power from the elected French government to the opaque, unelected, EU Commission; the advent of the euro, in place of the old national currency; the end of military conscription, which used to bring together young citizens from very different backgrounds. All in all, France may be well beyond repair. An Ifop poll released last February that Fourquet was not able to include in his essay, but on which he commented in an interview with Atlantico, shows that 67 per cent of the French don't believe anymore in such things as "the Republic" or "Republican values", and that 66 per cent are not moved by such concepts as "national identity" — even among Marine Le Pen's National Rally sympathisers.
Michel Gurfinkiel is the Founder and President of the Jean-Jacques Rousseau Institute, a Ginsburg-Ingerman Fellow at Middle East Forum, and editor emeritus of Valeurs Actuelles.
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5) Random personal thoughts. 

a) Why would China, Russia and/or Iran want Trump to be re-elected.  I have to believe they would prefer Biden and certainly any one of the other Democrat zany dunces seeking to become president.

A cable Trump should send to Xi if he has not already conveyed this message:

Dear Xi:  As I have said before, I do not blame you or hold China responsible for taking advantage of our own trade stupidity.

Times have changed and now China  must recognize this.  If you alter your trade behavior our nations  can have amicable trade relations. If China continues to steal our intellectual property and persist in wanting to impose tariffs where we.do not then we will not have amicable trade relations and both our peoples will suffer.

The ball is in your court.  

b) If the various drug companies lied about their knowledge of the danger of opiods, like tobacco companies did regarding the addictive effect of tobacco,  they deserve to be found guilty notwithstanding, this would be a judicial break with legal tradition which held the intermediary (doctor) liable.

c) It is all despicable politics when Trump is accused for attacking Biden. This from Democrats who have accused Trump of everything under the sun including insanity, treasonous behaviour etc. Worse, deranged anti-Trumpers extended their hatred to his young son and other family members.  We have never witnessed such levels of contempt and calumny heaped upon a president and  his family members.

Mueller seems to have embraced the new Democrat  judicial approach that accused are guilty until they have proven they are not. He used the Justice Department's guidelines pertaining to the president  to break with the judicial foundation on which our nation's protection of the accused has been based. Previously it took facts to prove one's guilt not the other way round.

I believe Mueller ducked his investigative responsibility as a prosecutor. He should have  concluded a finding of guilt or exonerated and  (purposely or not) left the issue hanging in the air.  Maybe that was his subtle intent.

d) Progressive radicals argue socialism is preferable to capitalism because, when capitalism is viewed through an equitable prism, it fails to produce equanimity for all.  Meanwhile, they refuse to acknowledge
there is no historical instance where socialism has worked and their economic proposals border on insane.

I would be the first to acknowledge capitalism is wasteful, does not always produce
equality for all for a variety of reasons. However, there has never been any
economic system that betters productivity, freedom and opportunity for all than
capitalism.


Since radicals have no rational and/or factual explanation where socialism betters
capitalism their insane desire for socialism can only  be explained  as a Trojan
Horse effort to bring America to its knees. In order to accomplish this nefarious
pursuit they resort to attacks on all of our institutions from education, our judicial
system and most certainly our constitutional dictates and protections.  They also
seek to divide through disrupting  our social stability by spreading discord among
the races even to the point of using sexual identity as a weapon.


Virtually everyone of the Democrat Candidates are beyond mainstream.
e) In a future memo I am going to devote it entirely to the matter of anti-Semitism and it's increasing embrace.  Suffice it to say that whenever anti-Semitism, which is always beneath society's surface, breaks out into the open, there is something rotten and disturbing that does not bode well down the road.  What causal factor will eventually surface is unpredictable but it could be economic related, an outbreak of war, a disturbing political upheaval  etc.  Time will tell.
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