We're a lame duck country run by a lying quack and not even the AFLAC one! (See 1 below.)
Why Sharks Circle Before Attacking... Interesting:
Two great white sharks swimming in the ocean spied survivors of a sunken ship. "Follow me son" the father shark said to the son shark and they swam to the mass of people.
"First we swim around them a few times with just the tip of our fins showing."
And they did.
"Well done, son! Now we swim around them a few times with all of our fins showing."
Two great white sharks swimming in the ocean spied survivors of a sunken ship. "Follow me son" the father shark said to the son shark and they swam to the mass of people.
"First we swim around them a few times with just the tip of our fins showing."
And they did.
"Well done, son! Now we swim around them a few times with all of our fins showing."
And they did.
"Now we eat everybody."
And they did.
When they were both gorged, the son asked, "Dad, why didn't we just eat them all at first? Why did we swim around and around them?"
His wise father replied, "Because they taste better if you scare the shit out of them first!"
And Obama has!
Israel tourists never see but can if they want to book this tour. I have been on parts of it.:
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The Middle East Mudslide Obama help create, because of his inept and misguided policies, is sliding towards Israel as it engulfs the entire region
Wherever Arabs/Muslims go and whatever they touch it always seems to end in tragedy. One day they will come after Presbyterians!(See 2 and 2a below.)
Foud Ajami was different and thus stood apart. (See 2b below.)
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Respected scientists debunk Obama's global warming claims.
More poisonous "Kool Aid" served up by a lying president who must appeal to his Greenies? You decide! (See 3 below.)
The fastest way to destroy our fragile Republic, whose foundation is based on trust and effective government, is to cause a break in that trust.
Faith in the effectiveness of Congress and veracity emanating from the Oval Office was already low when Obama assumed the presidency and his campaign and glowing inaugural promises of change served to encourage and give hope. His callous betrayal of those very words has not brought renewed faith in government. It has lowered it both in himself and government bringing both to new lows that are dangerous.
I am becoming more and more convinced this has been his goal all along.
His criticism of America, his belief we were not exceptional were not matters of happenstance but were planned to diminish America's foot print and his rhetoric that has caused racial divide and class warfare were also not thoughtless but were purposeful.
This is why I consider him the most dangerous president ever.
More raw evidence why I believe the federal Judiciary is our last bastion of hope! (See 3a below.)
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Unfinished business. (See 4 below.)
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A prospective Hillary presidency visited by Dorthy! (See 5 below.)
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Now for some Italian humor!
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A bus stops and 2 Italian men get on. They sit down and engage in an animated conversation.The lady sitting next to them ignores them at first, but her attention is galvanized when she hears one of them say the following:'Emma come first.
Den I come.
Den two asses come together.
I come once-a-more! ....
Two asses, they come together again.
I come again and pee twice.
Then I come one lasta time.'The lady can't take this anymore, "You foul- mouthed sex obsessed pig!", she retorted indignantly. 'In this country, we don't speak aloud in public places about our sex lives!"'Hey, coola down lady,' said the man, 'Whooza talkin' about sex? I'm a justa tellin' my frienda how to spell ' Mississippi .'
Dick
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1) A Lame Duck Country?
By Thomas Sowell
Pundits are pointing to President Barack Obama's recent decline in public opinion polls, and saying that he may now become another "lame duck" president, unable to accomplish much during his final term in office.
That has happened to other presidents. But it is extremely unlikely to happen to this president. There are reasons why other presidents have become impotent during their last years in office. But those reasons do not apply to Barack Obama.
The Constitution of the United States does not give presidents the power to carry out major policy changes without the cooperation of other branches of government. Once the country becomes disenchanted with a president during his second term, Congress has little incentive to cooperate with him -- and, once Congress becomes uncooperative, there is little that a president can do on his own.
That is, if he respects the Constitution.
President Obama has demonstrated, time and again, that he has no respect for the Constitution's limitations on his power. Despite his oath of office, to see that the laws are faithfully executed, Barack Obama has unilaterally changed welfare reform laws, by eliminating the work requirement passed by Congress during the Clinton administration.
He has repeatedly and unilaterally changed or waived provisions of the ObamaCare law passed by Congress during his own administration.
President Obama has ordered Border Patrol agents not to carry out provisions of the immigration laws that he does not like. We see the results today in the tens of thousands of illegal immigrants entering the country unimpeded.
President Obama's oath of office obviously means no more to him than his oft-repeated promise that "you can keep your own doctor" under ObamaCare.
Why do we have a Constitution of the United States if a president can ignore it without any consequences?
The Constitution cannot protect our rights if we do not protect the Constitution. Freedom is not free, and the Constitution is just some words on paper if we do not do anything to those who violate it.
What can ordinary citizens do?
Everything! Theirs is the ultimate power of the ballot that can bring down even the most powerful elected official.
The most important thing the voters can do is vote against anyone who violates the Constitution. When someone who has violated the Constitution repeatedly gets re-elected, then the voters are accomplices in the erosion of protection for their own freedom.
Laws without penalties are just suggestions -- and suggestions are a pitiful defense against power.
After voters have failed to protect the Constitution, the last-ditch remedy is impeachment. But Barack Obama knows that he is not going to be impeached.
Who wants to provoke a Constitutional crisis and riots in the streets? And, worst of all, end up with Joe Biden as President of the United States? Some cynics long ago referred to Barack Obama's choice of mental lightweight Biden to be his vice president as "impeachment insurance."
With neither the Constitution, nor the voters, nor the threat of impeachment to stop him, Barack Obama has clear sailing to use his powers however he chooses.
Far from seeing his power diminish in his last years, President Obama can extend his power even beyond the end of his administration by appointing federal judges who share his disregard of the Constitution and can enact his far-left agenda into law from the bench, when it cannot be enacted into law by the Congress.
Federal judges with lifetime tenure can make irreversible decisions binding future presidents and future Congresses. If Republicans do not win control of the Senate in this fall's elections, a Senate controlled by Majority Leader Harry Reid can confirm judges who will have the power to extend Barack Obama's agenda and complete the dismantling of Constitutional government.
Barack Obama can, as he said before taking office, fundamentally "change the United States of America." Far from being a lame duck president, Obama can make this a lame duck democracy.
Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.
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2)
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Sadly, it’s safe to assume that the death of a 14-year-old named Muhammad would have aroused a hue and cry around the world, generated condemnation by the UN, and sparked disturbances in the Arab/Muslim sphere, had it been possible to blame the death on Israel. But the Israeli teenager Muhammad Karaka of the Galilee village of Arrabe is one of many thousands of youngsters whose life was snuffed out by the cruel Syrian conflict. Therefore, there no hue and cry was heard when he was slain last Sunday. Foreign news outlets tersely and indifferently referred to an “Israeli killed on the occupied Golan Heights” if they mentioned it at all. Israel’s Arab sector expressed no rage. Muhammad’s tragedy is compounded by the fact that he was seemingly safe, far from Syrian bloodletting. He went to the Golan with his father, who was driving a water tanker near the border. It should have been a pleasant outing on his first day of summer vacation. But the calm was shattered by an anti-tank missile from Syria, which scored a direct hit on his father’s truck. Muhammad, sitting inside, was beyond help. The learned conclusion of Israel’s security establishment is that the missile was not fired at the Israeli side of the Golan unintentionally. Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon holds the Damascus command directly answerable for the cross-border attack. This reading of the situation prompted the IAF to strike at nine Syrian army targets. In a statement, Ya’alon emphasized that the incident is not regarded as another, negligible trickle of violence from Syria into Israel: “We see the regime of Bashar Assad and the Syrian military as responsible for what occurs in the territory under their control, and we will respond aggressively and harshly against any provocation and violation of our sovereignty.” Ya’alon warned all combatants in the Syrian civil war against the temptation to freely vent hostility on the IDF or Israeli civilians. He specifically mentioned forces loyal to Assad, the broad gamut of Syrian opposition elements, and the bewildering hodgepodge of Jihadist/terrorist fighters vying in the country. A heavy price, Ya’alon stressed, awaits anyone in Syria trying to disrupt life in Israel. The truth is that none of this should surprise us in the least. The writing was not just on the wall; it was daubed boldly in florescent colors. If anything unites the most extreme fanatics on both sides of the Syrian divide, it is visceral hatred for Israel. This is what Shiite Hezbollah warriors on the Assad side have in common with their al-Qaida foes and ISIS Sunni arch-zealots. With Israelis in their sights daily, it is unrealistic to expect these trigger-happy belligerents to forgo the satisfaction of deliberately diverting some of their firepower against the most reviled enemy of all. If anything destabilizes this region, it certainly is not publishing construction tenders for Jewish homes in Israel’s capital; it is the terrorist free-for-all that has been allowed to entrench itself nearby. Signs of mounting unrest were already evident on the Golan for the past couple of years. We were just uncommonly lucky they did not claim lives until this week. It was only a matter of time before seemingly errant projectiles that used to hit us sporadically escalated into carefully aimed sniper fire. Three months ago IDF paratroopers were booby- trapped by a roadside device in the Golan’s northern sector. That was already too close for comfort to the Gaza model, where the border area is targeted via explosives, mortars, ambushes, and sniper fire. Not that our highest defense echelon fails to notice any of this. One sign of shifting responses on the Golan is the construction, already under way, of a security fence, much like the one separating the Negev from anarchic Sinai. That said, an exhaustive reconsideration is essential. Ingrained concepts that constituted Israel’s strategic premise for decades no longer seem valid. Syria’s well-controlled, strenuously disciplined border zone is gone. The global jihad is in full fury next door. Much as we prefer it were different, the Middle East’s mayhem is inexorably moving our way. 2a)
Abbas' Fatah movement to
Israelis:
"Stop and consider, sons of Zion,
that death is near,
All you'll get from us is death"
by Itamar Marcus and Nan Jacques Zilberdik
Only four days after the kidnapping of the three Israeli youths, Mahmoud Abbas' Fatah
movement posted a video on its Facebook page promising Israelis: "Death is near."
[Facebook, "Fatah - The Main Page," June 16, 2014]
The song promotes violence and destruction in the name of Allah, as it calls to "smash the
fortress of the hopeless" and "shout: 'Allah is Greater'" and states that "the remains of our
bodies and our blood are a song of rage."
Fatah's military wing, the Al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades, is described as "the rival in the land who
burns the foreign enemy" and who will "reach the enemy everywhere." Israelis and/or Jews are
addressed directly and promised death:
"Stop and consider, sons of Zion, that death is near...
All you'll get from us is death
Stop and consider a thousand times
That a revolution sparks with a flame
Fatah is like a rock, whose soldiers love to fight"
The visuals of the video promote violence through numerous images of Fatah fighters engaged
in fighting and holding weapons. The video also shows pictures of grieving Israelis, a wounded
Israeli soldier and Israeli medics with a stretcher at the scene of a terror attack.
Palestinian Media Watch has documented other explicit threats made by Fatah against Israelis.
In January, a video promised to "turn the beloved [Gaza] Strip into a graveyard for your [Israel's]
soldiers," and to "turn Tel Aviv into a ball of fire."
In May, Fatah posted a film glorifying some of the most lethal terror attacks against Israelis as
"great operations" -- including the Coastal Road massacre, in which 37 were murdered, and the
killing of 11 Israeli athletes at the Munich Olympics.
Fatah is headed by PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas. Its military wing, the Al-Aqsa Martyrs'
Brigades, has been declared a terrorist organization by the US, Canada, the EU and others.
Click to view numerous examples of Fatah's extensive use of its Facebook page to promote
The following is a longer excerpt of the Fatah song promising death to Israelis:
"Fatah, mother of men
Smash the fortress of the hopeless
And shout: 'Allah is Greater' Every chain will break... The remains of our bodies and our blood are a song of rage... For you, sun of truth, gallop forward... Gallop and fight bravely Today you'll achieve your victory Fatah soldiers, rise and saddle the noble steed Announce that [you are] the rival in the land who burns the foreign enemy O [Al-Aqsa Martyrs'] Brigades, draw your determination from us and react Announce that [you will] reach the enemy everywhere... Stop and consider, sons of Zion, that death is near... All you'll get from us is death Stop and consider a thousand times That a revolution sparks with a flame Fatah is like a rock, whose soldiers love to fight... Cry out loud with me Cry out loud with me: Long live Fatah! Long live Fatah!"
[]
2b) Global View 3) Scientists Rebut White House Global Warming Claims By Jennifer G. Hickey A group of independent scientists, economists, and meteorologists has issued a pointed response to the scientific foundation of the Obama administration's claims that humans are drastically changing the climate by burning fossil fuels. With expertise in multiple disciplines, including climate research, weather modeling, physics, geology, statistical analysis, engineering, and economics, the 15 signers make the case that the foundation of the White House National Climate Assessment (NCA) is a "masterpiece of marketing" that crumbles like a "house of cards" under the weight of real-world evidence. "They promote their 'Climate Models' as a reliable way to predict the future climate. But these models dramatically fail basic verification tests. Nowhere do they admit to these well-known failures. Instead, we are led to believe that their climate models are close to perfection," assert the scientists. The 829-page NCA report was released on May 6 and was characterized by administration officials as "the most comprehensive, authoritative, transparent scientific report on U.S. climate change impacts ever generated." The administration seized on the NCA findings as justification for its push to further regulate the fossil-fuel industry and to bolster alternative green-energy sources. The scientists' rebuttal, however, strongly challenges the theory of Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW), which it says is "based on a string of inferences that begins with the assumptions" that human burning of fossil fuels is driving up atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide and "is so grossly flawed it should play no role in U.S. Energy Policy Analyses and CO2 regulatory processes." The scientists do not have any affiliation with any particular organization and have worked together pro bono for several years. Among the signatories are: Dr. George Wolff, who formerly chaired the Environmental Protection Agency's Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee; Joseph S. D'Aleo, a fellow with the American Meteorological Society; Dr. Neil Laverne Frank, former director of the National Hurricane Center in Florida; and William M. "Bill" Gray, emeritus professor of atmospheric science at Colorado State University. The authors criticize the NCA report for a lack of objectivity and its failure to include input from scientists who may question whether climate change is irrefutable and that a robust regulatory response is required. "Science derives its objectivity from robust logic and honest evidence repeatedly tested by all knowledgeable scientists, not just those paid to support the administration's version of "Global Warming,' 'Climate Change,' 'Climate Disruption,' or whatever their marketing specialists call it today," they said. The NCA and the White House assert that urgent action is needed because increasing average temperatures in the United States are responsible for a greater frequency of extreme weather events. According to the NCA, average temperatures have increased between 1.3 degrees Fahrenheit and 1.9 degrees Fahrenheit since 1895 and forecasting models show a potential increase of an additional 4 degrees Fahrenheit if countermeasures are not adopted, including cap-and-trade, greater subsidization of green energy, and reduced fossil fuel production. According to the NCA, "human influences are the primary driver of recent climate change is based on multiple lines of independent evidence." The scientists describe that contention as "grossly flawed" and take issue with the EPA's claim — used to justify greenhouse gas regulation — that there is "90-99 percent certainty that observed warming in the latter half of the twentieth century resulted from human activity." That claim "is totally at odds with multiple robust, consistent, independently-derived empirical datasets, all showing no statistically significant positive (or negative) trend in temperature," they wrote. "Therefore, EPA's theory … must be rejected." The group of scientists made similar points in a Supreme Court amicus involving EPA regulation of greenhouse gas emissions from new motor vehicles. In the brief the scientists assert EPA's entire hypothesis that CO2 emissions endanger human health and safety has been falsified by real-world evidence. "As the most important example, EPA asserts as its central 'line of evidence' for CO2 'endangerment' that CO2 will warm the surface temperature of the earth through a mechanism by which rising CO2 concentrations in the troposphere in the tropics block heat transfer into outer space." They said that if EPA's hypothesis were accurate there would necessarily be an observable "hot spot" in the tropical upper troposphere. But that has not been proven to exist, therefore, they write "the basis that EPA has for this rulemaking is no basis," they wrote. According to their rebuttal report, "over the last 130 years the decade of the 1930s still has the most U.S. state high temperatures records." Their assertion that climate disruptions are not increasing, ironically, is echoed in the most recent report issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which the White House often cites to support its own argument. Globally, according to the IPCC in its 2012 special report on extreme events, "since the 1950s some regions of the world have experienced a trend to more intense and longer droughts, in particular in southern Europe and West Africa, but in some regions droughts have become less frequent, less intense, or shorter, for example, in central North America and northwestern Australia." Furthermore, the IPCC in 2013 concluded that "current datasets indicate no significant observed trends in global tropical cyclone frequency over the past century" and "no robust trends in annual numbers of tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes counts have been identified over the past 100 years in the North Atlantic basin." The scientists also dispute the administration's claims that proposed regulation of carbon dioxide can be achieved in a cost-effective manner that will create jobs and produce economic benefit. Rather, they argue, those policies will restrict economic growth causing harm to the poor. "Unilateral CO2 emission control by the United States promises to damage the economy of the United States without any benefits. In fact, increasing CO2 in the atmosphere facilitates achieving the goal of raising the poor out of poverty through increasing food production," the scientists wrote in their amicus brief. 3a) A Constitutional Tutorial for Obama The President doesn't possess 'an unheralded power' to rewrite laws.The Obama Administration's abuse of executive power is emerging as this Supreme Court term's defining theme, and on Monday the Justices applied some basic constitutional law to the White House's anticarbon agenda.
In Utility Air Regulatory Group v. EPA, the Justices feed several major climate regulations into the
wood chipper. "When an agency claims to discover in a long-extant statute an unheralded power to
regulate a significant portion of the American economy," the majority observes, "we typically greet its
announcement with a measure of skepticism."
EPA
The ruling amounts to an overdue correction to
Massachusetts v. EPA, the 5-4 ruling in 2007 that held
greenhouse gases can be "pollutants" under clean air
laws that were written decades before the carbon
panic. That decision wrongly rewrote the Clean Air Act,
but it was also always narrower than liberals made it
out to be and never the license for policy rewrites that
became the EPA's interpretation.
The problem for the agency is that the Clean Air Act sets precise emissions thresholds for "major
sources" of a given pollutant, defined as more than either 100 or 250 tons annually. Congress had in
mind traditional industrial byproducts like SOX or ozone, but the ceilings make no sense for ubiquitous
carbon. Any CO2 rule would thus reach well beyond power plants and factories to millions of small
carbon sources like hospitals, grocery stores, shopping centers, farms and churches, with penalties
of $37,500 per day for violations.
To obey the law as written, the EPA estimated, permit applications under one program would have
climbed to 6.1 million a year from 15,000 today, while administrative costs in another would have
exploded to $1.5 billion from $12 million. The agency conceded that such a regime would be
"unrecognizable" to Congress. Yet in 2009 the EPA regulated anyway and asserted unilateral power
to "tailor" the law. It baldly increased the thresholds by as much as a thousandfold to avoid having to
supervise elementary schools the same as cement mixers.
Amid a tangle of partial concurrences and dissents, Justice Antonin Scalia wrote the controlling 5-4
opinion striking down this tailoring as illegal. He writes that it is "patently unreasonable—not to say
outrageous—for EPA to insist on seizing expansive power that it admits the statute is not designed to
grant."
Justice Scalia catches the EPA climateers selectively citing statutes, claiming that they are compelled
to regulate by the Clean Air Act but uncompelled to abide by its text. The act is "not a command to
regulate," and neither is Mass. v. EPA, he reiterates. More to the point, "An agency has no power to
'tailor' legislation to bureaucratic policy goals by rewriting unambiguous statutory terms."
Even better, Justice Scalia's opinion explicitly defends the structure of the Constitution. Blessing the
EPA's tailoring rule would be "a severe blow to the Constitution's separation of powers" where
Congress enacts laws and the President enforces them, he writes. This remedial civics lesson ought
to be unnecessary but with the Obama crowd it's essential. "We are not willing to stand on the dock
and wave goodbye as EPA embarks on this multiyear voyage of discovery" that ignores the will of
Congress, Justice Scalia writes.
The Court did still preserve 7-2 the Mass. v. EPA prerogative to regulate carbon in other contexts,
such as requiring new or substantially modified power sources to install "best available control
technology." But the ruling says this authority is not "unbounded," which suggests the Court is warning
EPA to tread carefully when exercising "extravagant statutory power over the national economy."
That could include the rules for existing power sources that the EPA rolled out earlier this month. They
are grounded in an obscure catch-all clause of the Clean Air Act that wasn't before the Court in
Monday's case. Section 111(d) runs only a few hundred words, yet the EPA is claiming
unprecedented authority to command the states to create cap-and-tax programs or otherwise ration
energy use. A less willful Administration would heed this warning and restrain its ambitions, but this
one refuses, so the High Court will have to keep issuing Constitution 101 tutorials.
In any other Administration, such a Supreme Court smackdown on so important a regulation would
also invite more media scrutiny of executive overreach. When the 2008Boumediene decision gave
terrorists the right to make habeas corpus challenges to their detention, the story was that the High
Court was reining in a power-mad President.
Mr. Obama's regulatory abuses are far more corrosive to the Constitution than anythingGeorge W.
Bush did on war powers, but the press corps has barely noticed. Maybe it will start now that the
Supreme Court is calling out President Obama's lawbreaking.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------4) The United States Has Unfinished Business in Ukraine and Iraq By George Friedman
In recent weeks, some of the international system's unfinished business has revealed itself. We have seen that Ukraine's
fate is not yet settled, and with that, neither is Russia's relationship with the European Peninsula. In Iraq we learned that the withdrawal of U.S. forces and the creation of a new Iraqi political system did not answer the question of how the three parts of Iraq can live together. Geopolitical situations rarely resolve themselves neatly or permanently. These events, in the end, pose a difficult question for the United States. For the past 13 years, the United States has been engaged in extensive, multidivisional warfare in two major theaters -- and several minor ones -- in the Islamic world. The United States is large and powerful enough to endure such extended conflicts, but given that neither conflict ended satisfactorily, the desire to raise the threshold for military involvement makes logical sense. U.S. President Barack Obama's speech at the U.S. Military Academy at West Point sought to raise the bar for military action. However, it was not clear in the speech what Obama meant in practical terms when he said: "Here's my bottom line: America must always lead on the world stage. If we don't, no one else will. The military thatyou have joined is and always will be the backbone of that leadership. But U.S. military action cannot be the only -- or even primary -- component of our leadership in every instance. Just because we have the best hammer does not mean that every problem is a nail." Given events in Ukraine and Iraq, the president's definition of a "nail" in relation to the U.S. military "hammer" becomes important. Military operations that cannot succeed, or can succeed only with such exorbitant effort that they exhaust the combatant, are irrational. Therefore, the first measure of any current strategy in either Ukraine or Iraq is its sheer plausibility. The Ongoing Ukraine Crisis
In Ukraine, a pro-Russian president was replaced by a pro-Western one. The Russians took formal control of Crimea,
where they had always had overwhelming military power by treaty with Ukraine. Pro-Russian groups, apparently supported by Russians, still fight for control in Ukraine's two easternmost provinces. On the surface, the Russians have suffered a reversal in Ukraine. Whether this is truly a reversal will depend on whether the authorities in Kiev are able to rule Ukraine, which means not only forming a coherent government but also enforcing its will. The Russian strategy is to use energy, finance and overt and covert relationships to undermine the Ukrainian government and usurp its power.
It is in the interest of the United States that a pro-Western Ukraine emerges, but that interest is not overwhelming enough
to warrant a U.S. military intervention. There is no alliance structure in place to support such an intervention, no military bases where forces have accumulated to carry this out, and no matter how weakened Russia is, the United States would be advancing into a vast country whose occupation and administration -- even if possible -- would be an overwhelming task. The Americans would be fighting far from home, but the Russians would be fighting in their backyard. Ukraine is not a nail to be hammered. First, its fate is not of fundamental American interest. Second, it cannot be driven into the board. The United States must adopt an indirect strategy. What happens in Ukraine will happen. The place where the United States can act to influence events is in the countries bordering Ukraine -- most notably Poland and Romania. They care far more about Ukraine's fate than the United States does and, having lost their sovereignty to Russia once in the last century, will be forced to resist Russia again. Providing them support with minimal exposure makes sense for the United States. The Complexities of Iraq
Iraq consists of three major groups: Shia, Sunnis and Kurds. The United States left Iraq in the hands of the Shiite-
dominated government, which failed to integrate the Kurds or the Sunnis. The Kurdish strategy was to create and maintain an autonomous region. The Sunnis' was to build strength in their region and wait for an opportune moment. That moment came when, after the recent election, Iraqi President Nouri al-Maliki failed to quickly form a new government and seemed intent on recreating the failed government of the past. The Sunnis did not so much invade as arise, taking control of Sunni areas and to some extent coordinating activities throughout the region. They did not attack the Kurdish region or predominantly Shiite areas. Indeed, the Shia began to mobilize to resist the Sunnis. What has happened is the failure of the central government and the assertion of regional power. There is no native power that can unite Iraq. No one has the strength. The assumption is that the United States could hold Iraq together -- thus the demand by some in Iraq and the United States that the United States massively intervene would make sense. As in Ukraine, it is not clear that the United States has an overriding interest in Iraq. The 2003 invasion was more than a decade ago, and whatever decisions were made then belong to historians. The Sunni uprising brings with it the risk of increased terrorism and obviously gives terrorists a base from which to conduct attacks against the United States. By that logic, the United States ought to intervene on behalf of the Kurds and Shia. The problem is that the Shia are linked to the Iranians, and while the United States and Iran are currently wrapped up in increasingly complex but promising negotiations, the focus is on interests and not friendship. The 2003 invasion was predicated on the assumption that the Shia, liberated from Saddam Hussein, would welcome the United States and allow it to reshape Iraq as it desired. It was quickly discovered, however, that the Iraqi Shia, along with their Iranian allies, had very different plans. The U.S. invasion ultimately failed to create a coherent government in Iraq and helped create the current circumstance. As much as various factions would want the United States to intervene on their behalf, the end result would be a multi-sided civil war with the United States in the center, unable to suppress the war with military means because the primary issue is a political one. That, of course, leaves the possibility of an increased threat of terrorism. There are 1.6 billion Muslims in the world, and some of them are prepared to engage in terrorist activity. It is extremely difficult, however, to figure out which are inclined to do so. It is also impossible to conquer 1.6 billion people so as to eliminate the threat of terrorism. Given the vast territory of the Islamic world, Iraq may be a convenience, but occupying it would not prevent Sunni or Shiite terrorism from arising elsewhere. Defeating an enemy army is much easier than occupying a country whose only mode of resistance is the t terrorism that you intend to stop. Terrorism can be defended against to some extent -- mitigated, observed perhaps -- bu in the end, whether the Sunni regions of Iraq are autonomous or under extremist rule does little to reduce the threat. The Kurds, Sunnis and Shia are hostile to each other. Saddam controlled the country through the secular institutional apparatus of the Baath Party. Absent that, the three communities continue to be hostile to each other, just as the Sunni community in Syria is hostile to the Alawites. The United States is left with a single viable strategy: to accept what exists -- a tripartite Iraq -- and allow internal hostilities to focus the factions on each other rather than on the United States. In other words, allow an internal balance of power to emerge. The Limited Use of the U.S. "Hammer"
When we consider Ukraine and Iraq, they are of course radically different, but they have a single thing in common: To the
extent that the United States has any interest in the regions, it cannot act with direct force. Instead, it must act with indirect force by using the interests and hostilities of the parties on the ground to serve as the first line of containment. If the United States intervenes at all, it will do so by supporting factions that are of interest to Washington. In Ukraine, this would mean supporting the former Soviet satellite states in Central Europe. In Iraq, it would mean applying sufficient force to prevent the annihilation of any of the country's three major groups, but not enough force to attempt to resolve the conflict. Americans like to have a moral foundation for their policy; in the cases of Ukraine and Iraq, the foundation is simply a necessity. It is not possible for the United States to use direct force to impose a solution on Ukraine or Iraq. This is not because war cannot be a solution to evil, as World War II was. It is because the cost, the time of preparation and the bloodshed of effective war can be staggering. At times it must be undertaken, but those times are rare. Constant warfare with insufficient forces to impose political solutions in countries where the United States has secondary interests is a prescription for the worst of both worlds: a war that ends in defeat. Limiting wars to those that are in the national interest and can be won eliminates many wars. It substitutes a much more complex, but no less realist and active, approach to the world. Underwriting nations that find themselves in a position of having to act in a way that supports American interests is one step. Another is creating economic bonds with nations that will shape their behavior. There are other tools besides war. The simultaneous fighting in Ukraine and Iraq proves two things. First, the United States cannot avoid global involvement because in the end, the globe will involve itself with the United States. Becoming involved earlier is cheaper. Second, global involvement and large-scale warfare are not the same thing. The situation in Ukraine will play itself out, as will the one in Iraq. It will give the United States enough time to determine whether and how much it cares about the outcome. It can then slowly begin asserting itself, minimizing risks and maximizing rewards. This is not a new strategy for the United States, which has vacillated from pretending it is immune from the world to believing it can reshape it. Dwight Eisenhower was an example of a U.S. president who avoided both of those views and managed to avoid involvement in any major war, which many would have thought unlikely. He was far from a pacifist and far from passive. He acted when he needed to, using all means necessary. But as a general, he understood that while the threat of war was essential to credibility, there were many other tools that allowed Washington to avoid war and preserve the republic. Eisenhower was a subtle and experienced man. It is one thing to want to avoid war; it is another to know how to do it. Eisenhower did not refuse to act, but instead acted decisively and with minimal risk. Obama's speech at West Point indicated hesitancy toward war. It will be interesting to see whether he has mastered the other tools he will need in dealing with Ukraine and Iraq. It helps to have been a warrior to know how to avoid war. I once wrote that the United States, stunned in 1991 to discover it was the world's only superpower, emerged into a natural period of adolescence, swinging from a belief in its omnipotence to a sense of worthlessness. I argued that this was a necessary passing phase that ultimately forced the United States toward a coherent path. Today, it is not yet on that path, but it is beginning to find its way. Eisenhower should be borne in mind. 5) A Glimpse of Hillary asPresidentIt is hard to imagine Margaret Thatchercomplaining, as Mrs. Clinton did, that 'it was allabout my hair.'
The past few weeks of Hillary Clinton's book tour have given Americans more than a modest whiff of
what a future Clinton presidency would bring. Nothing has brought home with more immediacy the
role we can expect gender to play in that administration—or more to the point, the focus on
anti-women bias about which we would evidently be fated to hear a great deal.
That would come as a change, after what will by then have been eight years of a different ruling
focus in the White House—that being, of course, the president's race. Years in which Obama
administration staff members, congressional allies and advocates in the political culture regularly
nurtured the view—when they weren't making outright accusations—that vociferous opposition to
this president, and his policies, was largely fueled by white racism. Jay Rockefeller (D., W.Va.) just l
"because maybe he's the wrong color."
Attorney General Eric Holder in turn delivered himself of bitter complaints to Al Sharpton's National
Action Network in April about the lack of respect accorded him by a House committee. "What
attorney general has ever had to deal with that kind of treatment? What president has ever had to
deal with that kind of treatment?" Barack Obama had barely taken office, which he could not have
won without the vote of white America, when his attorney general charged that the American people
were "a nation of cowards" in their dealings with race. Mr. Holder would go on to attack states
attempting to curtail voter fraud, to refuse prosecution of members of the New Black Panther Party
who had menaced white voters at a Philadelphia polling place, and to become, in all, the most
racially polarizing attorney general in the nation's history.
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in a public appearance at the Long Center in Austin, Texas, June 20. Getty Images
A Hillary Clinton administration would bring change,
yes, but much about the change would feel familiar.
We were given a small foretaste last week in a
statement by Lanny Davis, former special counsel to Bill Clinton and indefatigable Hillary supporter. Mr. Davis had taken offense at the press description of Mrs. Clinton's performance on a National Public Radio program—one that had not gone smoothly for her. He was offended at certain language that had been used to describe Mrs. Clinton's reactions when the NPR interviewer questioned the consistency of her support for gay marriage. Reporters had described her as "testy," "contentious" and "annoyed." Mr. Davis opined that "had it been a man, the words 'testy' and 'annoyed' would not have been used."
Mr. Davis's reflexive discovery of insult to Mrs.
Clinton—to women—in those words comes as no surprise. The idea that certain words are
demeaning to women, because they're deemed unlikely to be used about men, is by now deep-
rooted political faith. Many people were doubtless unaware, until Mr. Davis brought the odd news,
that testy is a word not used for men—that hitherto standard descriptive words and phrases might
now be subjected to close examination and be rendered illegitimate on the grounds of their potential
offensiveness to women.
None of this would come as a shock to anyone with experience of the speech codes and all similar
products of the ideological fervor on the nation's campuses today—institutions of learning where any
text, any class reference, can be considered harassment or gender bias, should any student raise a
claim of discomfort. That ideological fervor wasn't going to be confined to universities and colleges,
and it hasn't been. Determining the words that may or may not be used to describe a woman
candidate for the presidency is only its bare reflection—the beginning. We will be seeing that fervor
full-blown should Mrs. Clinton win election to the White House.
In her conversation with Diane Sawyer on ABC, Mrs. Clinton herself recalled the unwelcome
attention to her appearance during her travels as secretary of state. People mentioned her hair, the
scrunchie she wore to keep it in place. Try as one may, it's impossible to imagine Margaret Thatcher
complaining to an interviewer, as Mrs. Clinton did, that "it was all about my hair."
There are other signs that the tone of a Hillary Clinton presidency would bear strong resemblance to
that of Mr. Obama's. Under questioning during her recent media interviews, the former secretary of
state deflected all challenging questions—when any were put—with her characteristic unyielding
aplomb. Whether queried on al Qaeda's triumphant march to power despite the administration's l
ong-continued assurances that al Qaeda was a spent force—or about disaster in Bashar Assad's
Syria, or her own role in the Benghazi catastrophe in Libya—she exuded a serene assurance. And
with it, the faintest hint of amazement that such queries should actually be put to her—a cheery
puzzlement that anyone should think she had anything to do with what might have gone wrong.
"Let's talk about what was accomplished," she briskly instructed Diane Sawyer, who had asked
about Syria and al Qaeda and Benghazi.
Mrs. Clinton could not at that moment have sounded more like the current resident of the White
House. Or more like a future one who would be, much like her predecessor, a leader of boundless
self-confidence. One also inclined, when presented with the evidence of catastrophic policies of her
own making, to wonder what any of that had to do with her.
Ms. Rabinowitz is a member of the Journal's editorial board
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